On Jul 11, 2004, at 1:51 PM, The Fool wrote:
<<http://seetheforest.blogspot.com/ 2004_07_01_seetheforest_archive.html#10
8953205344575353>>
The blogster who wrote the above also offered what he calls a "Futures Market for Elections" in the form of a bet (original odds 10:1, recently upped to 30:1) that the November election will be cancelled, postponed, or otherwise compromised. Clearly, on this very anti-Bush blog, the author thinks that the election *will* be compromised. Oddly, though, his 30:1 odds are in reverse -- he expects someone to put up $1500 to say that the election will /not/ be compromised against his $50 that it will.
I don't expect him to find any takers. It seems so backwards that I posted a comment on his blog wondering if I just misunderstood his offer because of his writing. As a result, I offered $50 for /him/ to take the risk. Although I agree that it's likely that the Bushies will engage in some kind of chicanery, I'm willing to part with $50 if they don't. If he believes so strongly that the Usurper-in-chief will pull some trick again, he'll put some real money on the line.
I'll let you know if I get a reply. I don't expect him to take my bet any more than I expect anyone else to take his.
Dave
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