Hi,

I wrote that you can't change the luckanalysis setting from the GUI as in
there are no graphical elements to do that, but in an indirect way, you
actually can:

>From the menu: View -> Panels, check "Command"; this opens a command line.

>From there you can enter the command  "set analysis luckanalysis plies 2" .
The status line at the bottom should respond with "luck analysis will use 2
-ply evaluation."

I guess it is possible to include this command in a start-up script as
well, so that it is always set to 2-ply. Maybe somebody on the forum knows
which file to edit for that?

Cheers,
Robert-Jan Veldhuizen



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On Mon, Sep 29, 2025 at 4:46 PM Francesco Ariis <[email protected]> wrote:

> Hello Robert-Jan,
>
> Il 28 settembre 2025 alle 23:35 Robert-Jan Veldhuizen ha scritto:
> > Hi Francesco,
> >
> > Your formulas are correct.
>
> Very good!
>
> > An important distinction  between error analysis and luck analysis, is
> that
> > the latter is unbiased. Which means that in the long run, the luck
> analysis
> > numbers will approach the real values (inaccuracies of the bot will
> cancel
> > out).This is not the case for error analysis, where inaccuracies of the
> bot
> > may not cancel out and sometimes  even pile up.
>
> Many thanks for the explanation. I fetched pencil and paper, and indeed
> it is easy to see L is an unbiased estimator, by construction. [1]
>
> [1] Detailed in https://www.bkgm.com/articles/Zare/HedgingTowardSkill.html
>
> > With GnuBG, I believe the default luck analysis is unfortunately (still)
> > set to 0-ply and not changeable from the GUI. 0-ply luck analysis is
> quite
> > inaccurate. With a command "set analysis luckanalysis plies 2" (or even
> > higher, although that might be slow) you can improve the quality of the
> > luck analysis significantly. You'll probably find that doing luck
> analysis
> > at higher settings reduces (but does not remove) the discrepancies
> between
> > error analysis and luck analysis.
>
> This would indeed be very useful.
> Browsing the code, I think this is the place
>
>     https://cgit.git.savannah.gnu.org/cgit/gnubg.git/tree/analysis.c#n205
>
> Alas, I am far from proficient in C.
>
> Thanks again!
> —F
>
> Il 29 settembre 2025 alle 01:36 Murat Kalinyaprak ha scritto:
> > BTW: This is not DailyGammon owned by your "control freaks"...
> > You may get deservedly slapped for any garbage you spew...
>
> Please, let us not abuse people answering questions!
>

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