Is Cambodia ready for its own stock market?
Posted By: The Asia File at Oct 20, 2008 at 09:30:23 [General]

Capital markets can be vital tools of development, helping the better 
companies in poorer countries to get access to the money they need to 
grow, creating wealth and employment in the process.

However, given the fragile nature of stock markets, it is important that 
countries don't run before they can walk. Which is why Cambodia's 
decision to press ahead with the launch of its own stock exchange next 
year is slightly concerning.

After all, this is a country where business and personal disputes are 
still routinely settled with a late night shoot-out in the capital, 
Phnom Penh. Is Cambodia really ready for the wild fluctuations, the 
speculators and the scams that typically dominate new equity markets in 
developing economies?

Whatever you think, you have to commend the Cambodian government's 
resilience in sticking to its plans for a 2009 launch, despite the 
ongoing global turbulence.

Hang Chuon Naron, secretary general of Cambodia's Ministry of Economy 
and Finance, told the Phnom Penh Post that he hopes a stock market will 
provide a more long-term source of finance than the foreign aid (around 
$600m annually) that the country is currently reliant upon.

"We hope the stock exchange will provide longer-term finance compared to 
what we have relied on in the past, such as banks, national budgets, 
foreign aid and foreign investment," he said. "I think in five or ten 
years, the stock exchange will play a key role in strengthening 
Cambodia's financial sector, but we must proceed carefully to build 
trust from our people and investors."

But while he's right about the long-term benefits of a stock market as a 
cheap place to raise capital, the problem across the developing markets 
of Southeast Asia is the pre-dominance of short-term speculators, 
chancers and crooks.

This article in today's Bangkok Post sums up the dodgy share trading 
scene over the disputed border in Thailand rather nicely.

"On any given day, investor cliques can join hands, even sometimes with 
company management and major shareholders, to push share prices one way 
or the other," the article notes. "For these investors, fundamentals are 
meaningless - indeed, the larger and more prominent the company, the 
less attractive it is for speculators, due to the greater difficulty in 
manipulating prices for large-cap stocks." While Southeast Asia's 
comparatively inexperienced and poorly funded regulators do their best 
to get on top of these types of market abuse, they are generally 
fighting a losing battle against the better-funded and more powerful crooks.

But trading scams on illiquid markets are not just the preserve of Asia. 
When I covered London's Aim market for The Telegraph, I would get a 
complaint at least once a week from an investor concerned about alleged 
insider trading or ramping/deramping. And, on more than one occasion, I 
shared lunch or a drink with small-cap executives and brokers who showed 
a well-hardened disdain for market rules and minority shareholders.



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