NETWORK WORLD NEWSLETTER: JOANIE WEXLER ON WIRELESS IN THE 
ENTERPRISE
08/23/04
Today's focus:  WISP outlook dark, guru Andy Seybold says

Dear [EMAIL PROTECTED],

In this issue:

* Industry veteran shares wireless outlook
* Links related to Wireless in the Enterprise
* Featured reader resource
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Today's focus:  WISP outlook dark, guru Andy Seybold says

By Joanie Wexler

Wireless veteran and straight-shooter Andy Seybold last week 
presented his no-nonsense take on the state of the industry to 
the Wireless Communications Alliance, a Silicon Valley group 
that meets monthly to discuss industry goings-on.

Seybold predicted that in two to three years, wireless ISPs 
(WISP) "will go out of business in droves, helped along by the 
WiMAX threat and [continued] 3G network rollouts."

The hands-on wireless consultant (he owns his own radio tower), 
who heads the Andrew Seybold Group consulting firm, published a 
report last year severely questioning the business models of hot 
spot providers making Wi-Fi services their sole business. At the 
time, he had asked to see a business model from WISP Cometa 
Networks, but didn't get one. Cometa closed its doors in May 
2004, after 17 months in business.

"Wi-Fi will end up where it was originally intended: in the last 
100 feet," Seybold predicted. "No single network will be all 
things to all people." 

Amen to that. Marketing folks, please make a note.

Seybold observed that many establishments have caught on that 
telecom has become an amenity that might get hidden in the cost 
of a hotel room or a cup of coffee. But others have not. Near 
where he lives in Southern California, for example, coffee shops 
adjoining Starbucks offer free Internet access as long as you 
purchase something, he said.

"So people sit at Starbucks [piggybacking on] the free Internet 
service next door rather than paying for the T-Mobile Wi-Fi 
service [which Starbucks offers for a fee]. If T-Mobile ends up 
making money on Wi-Fi, it will be because of Wi-Fi-WAN [3G] 
integration."

Other things on Seybold's mind:

* He opposes the FCC giving more spectrum to Wi-Fi and believes 
��spectrum should go to WiMAX instead.

* Rather than the WiMAX Forum attempting to harmonize spectrum 
��around the world - an endeavor he considers nearly impossible - 
��he suggests the WiMAX Forum Regulatory Working Group (RWG) ask 
��the FCC for 700 MHz of existing TV spectrum. "More cell sites 
��are required at higher frequencies," he explained. The RWG is 
��currently focused on harmonizing the 2.5 GHz, 3.5 GHz and 5 GHz 
��bands.

* He predicted that bidders on future spectrum could be 
��non-traditional players, including AOL, Intel and Microsoft.

RELATED EDITORIAL LINKS

Cometa succumbs; Wi-Fi carries on
Network World, 05/24/04
http://www.nwfusion.com/news/2004/0524cometa.html

WiMAX Forum tackles global spectrum issues
Network World Wireless in the Enterprise Newsletter, 06/14/04
http://www.nwfusion.com/nlwir524

Wireless Communications Alliance home page
http://www.wca.org/

Infonet beats hot-spot expectations
Network World, 08/23/04
http://www.nwfusion.com/news/2004/082304infonet.html?nl2
_______________________________________________________________
To contact: Joanie Wexler

Joanie Wexler is an independent networking technology 
writer/editor in California's Silicon Valley who has spent most 
of her career analyzing trends and news in the computer 
networking industry. She welcomes your comments on the articles 
published in this newsletter, as well as your ideas for future 
article topics. Reach her at <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>.
_______________________________________________________________
This newsletter is sponsored by Dupont (TM) 

In the event of a fire, securing your business uptime is 
critical, introducing DuPont (TM) certified limited combustible 
cable.  To learn more, read the DuPont (TM) whitepaper now, 
Limiting the Plenum Cable Fire Risk, no registration required. 
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ARCHIVE LINKS

Archive of the Wireless newsletter:
http://www.nwfusion.com/newsletters/wireless/index.html

Wireless research center
Latest wireless news, analysis and resource links
http://www.nwfusion.com/topics/wireless.html
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