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STRATEGIC DEVELOPER: JON UDELL                  http://www.infoworld.com
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Thursday, September 16, 2004

DOING THE IMPOSSIBLE WITH LONGHORN

By Jon Udell

Posted September 10, 2004 3:00 PM Pacific Time

It's funny how circumstances can change your perception of what's
possible. A few months ago, key Microsoft architects were telling me
that it would be impossible to decouple the Avalon presentation
subsystem from the Longhorn OS. Now they're huddling in conference rooms
trying to figure out how to do just that. It makes me wonder what else
might turn out to be possible after all.

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In our July 19 cover story on Longhorn, I evaluated the three "pillars"
-- Indigo, WinFS (Windows File System), and Avalon -- in terms of
benefit and lock-in. The Indigo communication system has the most
attractive benefit/lock-in ratio. It's firmly rooted in Web services
standards, and it isn't tied to the Longhorn OS. So last Friday's
announcement that Indigo will be made available in 2006 -- for Windows
XP and Windows Server 2003 -- came as no surprise.

Demoting WinFS from a Longhorn pillar to an optional component that will
be slipstreamed in later was a bit more surprising. But that's what can
happen when you try to do something genuinely innovative, as I believe
WinFS is. My interview with Quentin Clark , director of program
management for WinFS at Microsoft (see also the extended version on my
blog), explores the subject in depth. I think WinFS embodies a correct
and historically inevitable strategy that can, with appropriate mappings
to XML standards, yield an attractive benefit/lock-in ratio. I never
expected such an ambitious synthesis of object, relational, and XML data
management disciplines to be fully baked anytime soon, so the recent
announcement of a WinFS delay is hardly shocking.

Here's an interesting footnote to the WinFS news: According to John
Montgomery, director of product management for the developer division at
Microsoft, good old full-text search will play a larger role in
Longhorn. Empowering us to find and organize our stuff was, after all,
one of the major goals of the project. The early rhetoric discounted
full-text search in favor of the highly structured WinFS approach and
suggested it would be impossible to deliver the desired benefits any
other way. Now architects are huddling in conference rooms trying to
figure out how to do the impossible. Of course, Apple had already
previewed a similar strategy for the forthcoming Tiger version of OS X.
If Steve Jobs can demonstrate Spotlight in 2004 and if Apple can ship it
in 2005, Microsoft ought to be able to match that by 2006.

The problem pillar, for me, is Avalon. Initially, the benefit/lock-in
ratio looked especially bad for enterprise customers. The "presentation
experiences" envisioned by the Avalon architects, who aim to create a
seamless blend of document, user interface, and media elements, played
to the consumer desktop more than to the enterprise desktop. And
businesses that deploy consumer-facing software, as nearly all do, were
presented with a brutal choice: To develop for Avalon meant sacrificing
not only Web reach but also Windows reach. The advice to businesses was
to suck it up and invest in a software stack that few existing PCs are
even able to run. When push came to shove, they wouldn't take that leap
of faith. So now, Avalon will also show up on Windows XP and Windows
Server 2003.

It remains an article of faith in Redmond that the Web platform has run
out of gas. Do you think there might be some unacknowledged
possibilities there as well? I do.

Jon Udell is lead analyst at the InfoWorld Test Center.


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