Poker Wisdom of the Day � �Once you've established that
you can't be bluffed out, stop trying to prove it.�

Nelayan, her is your Championship Poker Guide
Part 13 - Semi-Bluffing

Semi-bluffing is a sort of bluff where you have a poor
hand or a drawing hand that can possibly improve. Against
players with nothing it functions a lot like a bluff.
Against players with something it functions as a form of
aggression. It is a powerful tool, as it can lead to a
deceptively powerful hand if the cards come to you. It
can also be a source of great loss if overused or misused.

Semi-bluffing in Texas Holdem is used best in bluffing
situations. Its usefulness comes from the fact that
players who recognize a bluff won't necessarily recognize
when you make your draw. It is more useful (and preferable)
against a lot of players, as opposed to outright bluffing,
since the odds tend to be better. Other than that, you'll
want to use semi-bluffing in late position, usually on the
flop or turn, against mediocre flops, and against poor
players.

Let's look at two examples of semi-bluffing from a
perspective of odds and from a perspective of bluffing:

1. You have a Jack of Hearts, and a Ten of Hearts. The
pre-flop betting round concludes with six players investing
two bets each. The flop is Ace of Hearts, Queen of Spades,
Seven of Hearts. 

You are in a middle position, and decide to semi-bluff.
Why? You've got draws, that's why! Any Heart or King will
give you a hand. Whenever you have multiple draws like
that, start thinking of what would be ideal. If a Heart
pops up you have to worry about a higher flush draw, so
you probably want the King of Hearts, as he is the most
likely to be in someone's hand. A Queen of Hearts would
be dangerous for you, since you'd be looking at a royal
flush draw vs. a potentially made full house. Ideally
you want a non-Heart King and the straight. That would
be the nuts. 

For simplicity's sake though, let's say that in your
evaluation, either a flush or straight will give you a
winning hand. You have twelve outs (don't count the King
of Hearts twice). That's a little better than a 25% chance
of hitting a winning card on the turn. Even re-raising or
check-raising would be a good idea in this position based
purely on odds. Even if you miss on the turn, it would be
in your interests (based on players reactions) to continue
to bet it right out.

2. You have a pair of sixes in the pocket. Pre-flop
eliminates all but you and another player who was in
early position before you. You get a rainbow flop of
Four, Five, Ten. 
Semi-bluff! In this case you have to think of it more
as a bluff. If this only player played a hand in early
position, they probably have some overcards in this case.
You want the pot right then and there. Most players will
bluff back at you in this case with just an Ace in the
pocket. Stick to your resolve. Bluff. 

Your chances of getting that six are pretty slim, and
not worth the odds. You only have to worry about your
opponent having overpairs and matching the Ten. So you
really have to evaluate the player, as opposed to the
math in this case. I'd always try to be on the aggressive.
You need information about his hand. Betting is a real
good way to get information. Also, a casual semi-bluffing
check-raise can be all you need to scare another player
if you think they'll bluff at the pot.

Remember with any bluff, you need to know your players,
and not to use any bluffing tactic habitually.

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To your success,

May all your Pots be Monsters!

Dan
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