Hi Peter

It has nothing to do with linear vs. non-linear models, it has everything to do 
with errors in the data and the model.  Sure, if there are no errors you can in 
general solve for N unknowns exactly from N equations (obs/param ratio = 1) 
whether there's a linear relationship or not (though of course there may be 
specific problems with non-linearity, such as multiple and/or imaginary 
solutions).  If there are errors in the observations (which is always true for 
any experimental data) then the equations must be over-determined (obs/param 
ratio > 1) in order to minimise the effect of the errors on the derived 
parameters.  Then you are into estimation theory and I would say that as good a 
place as any to start is the Wikipedia page on maximum likelihood estimation 
and references therein:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximum_likelihood

-- Ian

> -----Original Message-----
> From: Peter Adrian Meyer [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
> Sent: 01 October 2007 16:50
> To: Ian Tickle
> Cc: ccp4bb@jiscmail.ac.uk
> Subject: Re: [ccp4bb] R-sleep
> 
> This raises a slightly tangential question though - how do we know how
> what obs/param ratio is good enough?  My understanding was 
> that obs/param
> of 1 was sufficient for linear systems; but it doesn't seem 
> that any of
> the objective functions used for refinement are linear (and I 
> haven't been
> able to track down anything on this topic for non-linear systems).
> 
> With my level of math background (aka low), I'm not even sure if I'm
> asking the right question...it seems like it might make more 
> sense to ask
> how many observations are needed to define a unique optima for the
> refinement function(s) that's convex in all dimensions of the 
> model.  But
> if this made sense, that's probably what we'd be talking about.
> 
> Any suggestions for reading material?
> 
> Thanks,
> 
> Pete
> 
> 
> > The question is how significant is this bias, and is the cure (i.e.
> leaving out more reflections from the working set) worse than the
> disease?
> >  For refinements at 'medium' typical resolution (around 2.5 
> to 2 Ang) we
> > are working with an observation/parameter count ratio of say < 3
> (naturally I'm counting the geometric restraints with the X-ray
> > observations).  The amount of bias in Rwork and other 
> statistics derived
> from the working set depends critically on how close the 
> obs/param ratio
> is to 1.  The Rfree optimisation is used only to determine weighting
> parameters (including sigma-A) and it's unlikely there will 
> be more than
> say 20 of these.  Typically there are at least 1000 refls in 
> the test set,
> > so for the Rfree optimisation the obs/param ratio will be around 50.
> This
> > is much larger than the obs/param ratio for Rwork and may 
> well mean that
> the biasing effect on Rfree is negligible.  It should be easy 
> to do some
> tests comparing Rfree with Rsleep to check the bias (taking 
> into account
> errors to limited sample sizes of course), and also to see 
> what are the
> effects of leaving out the sleeping set on the refinement and 
> the maps.  I
> > don't think it would be wise to rush into this until we 
> have done proper
> evaluations.
> >
> > -- Ian
> >
> >> -----Original Message-----
> >> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> >> [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Mark J. van Raaij
> Sent: 01 October 2007 14:58
> >> To: CCP4BB@JISCMAIL.AC.UK
> >> Subject: R-sleep
> >> Dear All,
> >> the short paper by Gerard Kleywegt (ActaD 63, 939-940) treats
> >> an interesting subject (at least I think so...). I agree that
> >> what we are now doing in many cases is effectively refining
> >> against Rfree. For example, the standard CNS torsion angle
> >> refinement does n refinement trials with randomised starting
> >> points. If you then take the one with lowest Rfree (or let a
> >> script do this for you), you are biasing Rfree!
> >> Therefore, his proposal to put an extra set of reflections in
> >> a dormant "vault" (R-sleep) sounds like a good idea to me.
> >> However, how would the "vault" be implemented to be
> >> effective? If left to the experimenter, it would be very
> >> tempting to check R-sleep once in a while (or often) during
> >> refinement, rendering it useless as an unbiased validator.
> >> or am I being paranoid and too pessimistic?
> >> Mark J. van Raaij
> >> Unidad de Bioquímica Estructural
> >> Dpto de Bioquímica, Facultad de Farmacia
> >> and
> >> Unidad de Rayos X, Edificio CACTUS
> >> Universidad de Santiago
> >> 15782 Santiago de Compostela
> >> Spain
> >> http://web.usc.es/~vanraaij/
> >
> >
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> 
> Pete Meyer
> Fu Lab
> BMCB grad student
> Cornell University
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 


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