“Binay Still Way Ahead!” in Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow by
Linggoy Alcuaz in OpinYon, May 5 – 11, 2014.
  A year after the May
13, 2013 elections, Vice President Jejomar Cabauatan Binay is still way ahead
in the race for President in 2016. Pulse Asia conducted its regular Ulat ng
Bayan Nationwide (1,200 respondents with a + or – 3 % margin of error.) Public
Opinion Survey from March 19 to 26, 2014. If the national elections for
President, Vice President and twelve Senators had been held then, the following
would have been the results (Assuming that the candidates were the same ones on
the list chosen by Pulse Asia below.):
  For President (% of
a hundred.): Binay 40, Poe 20, Santiago 10, Escudero 9, Roxas 6, Marcos 5,
Cayetano 4, Kris Aquino 4, Revilla 3 and Lacson 2.
  For Vice President
(% of a hundred.): Poe 24, Escudero 20, Roxas 8, Trillanes 7, Cayetano 6,
Marcos 5, Kris Aquino 5, Lacson 5 , Vilma Santos 5, Jinggoy Estrada 4,  Bam 
Aquino 3, Revilla 3, J V Ejercito 2 and Leni
Robredo 1.
  For Senators: Sotto,
Drillon, Roxas, Recto, Pangilinan, Lacson, Zubiri, Gordon, Marcos, Osmena,
Madrigal, Pacquiao (12th), Hontiveros, de Lima, Kris Aquino (15th),
Lino Cayetano, Herbert Bautista, Jackie Enrile, Tootsie Guingona, Mitos 
Magsaysay
(20th), Lani Mercado, Ruffy Biazon, Gwen Pimentel, Ed Hagedorn, Leni Robredo
(25th), Shalani, Dingdong Dantes, Gina de Venecia, Dinky Soliman and
Teddy Casino (30th).
  The above results
belong to the portion of the survey for public release. These are the subject
matter and answers to questions that are regularly formulated and included by
Pulse Asia in their regular surveys. However, there are subject matter and
questions that are included and initiated and therefore paid for by individuals
or organizations for their own purposes. These are not released to the mass
media and to the public for a certain period of time.
  In the said private
portion of the above survey was the same question regarding who the respondent
would vote for for President if the elections were held during the period of
the survey. However, the list of candidates included former President and
present Manila Mayor Joseph “ERAP” Ejercito Estrada. ERAP made it to second
place, behind Binay but ahead of Poe.
  As a matter of
public disclosure, I would like to put on record my campaign preference and
voting record for all the Presidential and Vice Presidential elections since I
was born on October 12, 1948.
  1948 - No memory of
any political consciousness, preference or activity on my part.
  1953 – Ramon
Magsaysay for President. Contempt and hatred for Elpidio Quirino. No
consciousness or preference for Vice President.
  1957 – PPP*. Manuel
Manahan for President, Uncle Vicente Araneta for Vice President.
   1961 –
United Opposition Party (LP/PPP/GA). Vice President Diosdado Macapagal for
President, Emmanuel Pelaez for Vice President. Raul Manglapus and Manuel
Manahan for Senators.
  1965 – PPP*. Raul
Manglapus for President, Manuel Manahan for Vice President.
  1969 – I turned
twenty one in October 1969. I must have registered and voted but cannot
remember for whom – the NP Marcos/Lopez or the LP Osmena/Magsaysay. I
volunteered for CNEA with Jimmy Ferrer, Chino Roces, Charito Planas and my
classmate Edgar Jopson. I remember operating in the Quirino Ave, area of Quezon
City. As early as November 1969, I already felt and foresaw that Marcos’s
reelection and victory would lead to a pressure cooker effect in our society. 
  1973 – We were for
consolidating the Moderate and Reformist Political and Protest Movement with
the active and organized sectors like the farmers and labor (We did so under
the Kapisanan ng mga Anakpawis ng Pilipinas.). We were united under the KAP
with the FFF, FFW, PAFLU, PHILCONTU and YCW. We intended to coalease with the
LP under the Presidency of Senator Gerardo “Gerry” Roxas. We were pushing for a
South North tandem of Roxas (Capiz) and Manglapus (Candon, Ilocos Sur).
  1986 – LABAN/UNIDO.
Cory Aquino and Doy Laurel.
  1992 – PRP. Miriam
Santiago and Jun Magsaysay.
  1998 – Kampi. ERAP
and GMA.
  2004 – FPJ and Loren
Legarda. After Binay took over the campaign from the ASO during Holy Week of
2004 and after he and ERAP led the UNO and together with the NP’s Senate 
President
Manny Villar won a majority of the Senate seats in the 2007 Senatorial
elections, I believed that Binay should run for Senator in 2010. My biggest
ever mistake in political analysis was believing that Binay had no chance at
all of winning as Vice President in 2010.
  2010 – Noynoy for
President. Balimbing (sometimes Binay, sometimes Mar.) for Vice President.
Binay  won, beating Noynoy’s LP running
mate, Mar Roxas, as well as long time leading Vice Presidentiable Loren
Legarda. Loren and Chiz Escudero had led in Vice Presidential surveys for the
past three years since 2007 until 2009.
  After his unexpected
victory in the 2010 elections, Binay was way ahead of everybody else for
President in 2016. There was nobody else tall enough to challenge him on the
horizon. For three years, he even led President Pnoy in popularity and
satisfaction ratings in the two major survey outfits: SWS and Pulse Asia. 
  However, in 2012,
PNoy learned his politics. He bribed the members of the Lower House to Impeach
Chief Justice Renato Corona. He bribed the majority of Senators to convict him.
Despite his sliding popularity, he was able to cobble together an opportunistic
coalition for the 2013 mid elections. He made bilateral alliances with the
Nacionalista Party, the LDP and even the Magdalo. He neutralized the Lakas and
GMA’s allies and stalwarts.

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