Nate Silver has a great analysis of the IBD/TIPP poll that Robert linked to. He was looking at it and noted that the poll showed 18-24 year olds voting for McCain 74 to 22% which seems very unlikely. Then he digs into the poll and explains why that might be and what it means about that poll in particular and polling in general.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/whats-wrong-with-this-picture-aka-nate.html Judah On Thu, Oct 23, 2008 at 6:28 PM, Sandra Clark <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > A good site that does state by state analysis is > http://www.electoral-vote.com/. The algorithms used on the site are > explained and he has the raw data if you want to look at it. The site is > above board and honest. > > He even points to a site that does the same thing albeit with republican > leanings. http://www.electionprojection.com/index.shtml which ironically is > giving Obama 364 electoral votes to McCain's 174 vs. electoral-vote.com's > projection of Obama with 337 electoral votes to McCain's 171. Looks like the > republican site is giving both Florida and North Dakota to Obama while > electoral-vote.com is declaring both states a tossup right now. > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Adobe® ColdFusion® 8 software 8 is the most important and dramatic release to date Get the Free Trial http://ad.doubleclick.net/clk;207172674;29440083;f Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:276405 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=11502.10531.5
