What's been quite amusing is the common dismissal that since these MSM (that's an important designation apparently) polls are invalid, they supposedly over sample democratic party supporters. Funny though the sampling for these polls are statistically acceptably random, and the so called oversampling is just reflecting the proportion of democrats to republicans in the population. So if polling firms sample more republicans then that skews if from the norm.
On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 10:10 AM, GMoney <gm0n3...@gmail.com> wrote: > > Yeah i know, but Jerry doesn't seem to agree with any of those polls...so > i'm trying to make a quick 5 cents :) > > On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 8:56 AM, Larry C. Lyons <larrycly...@gmail.com>wrote: > >> >> RCP Average 9/12 - 9/19 -- -- 48.3 45.0 >> Obama +3.3 >> >> Rasmussen Tracking 9/17 - 9/19 1500 LV 3.0 47 45 >> Obama +2 >> Associated Press/GfK 9/13 - 9/17 807 LV 4.3 47 46 >> Obama +1 >> Gallup Tracking 9/12 - 9/18 3050 RV 2.0 47 46 Obama +1 >> Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun 9/13 - 9/16 1344 LV 2.7 48 45 >> Obama +3 >> Pew Research 9/12 - 9/16 2268 LV 2.4 51 43 Obama +8 >> NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 9/12 - 9/16 736 LV 3.6 50 45 >> Obama +5 >> >> No bet with the trending in polls. Its was only President Clinton's >> reelection where the spread was greater. >> >> On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 9:50 AM, GMoney <gm0n3...@gmail.com> wrote: >> > >> > On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 8:35 AM, Jerry Barnes <critic...@gmail.com> >> wrote: >> > >> >> >> >> "The connotations are yours, not mine, not Jerry's and not that of most >> >> Americans." >> >> >> >> Exactly. Once again, Americans elected Barack Hussein Obama and they >> knew >> >> his middle name. They elected him with over 50% of the votes. >> >> >> >> When he loses in November, it won't have anything to do with his middle >> >> name. It will have everything to do with his failed policies and his >> >> vainglorious demeanor. >> >> >> > >> > Bet you a nickel he wins re-election. >> > >> > >> > >> >> > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Order the Adobe Coldfusion Anthology now! http://www.amazon.com/Adobe-Coldfusion-Anthology/dp/1430272155/?tag=houseoffusion Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:355508 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/unsubscribe.cfm
