Oh, California

Oct 24th 2002 
>From The Economist print edition

The Golden State has become a one-party haven. It's not a pretty sight
 
ACROSS America, political power rests on a knife-edge. A slight slip could
switch control of the Senate, or of the House, or of numerous governors'
mansions. The result of this gridlock, Americans are so often told, is
politics of the basest sort. Caution and defensive negativity are the order
of the day. Big issues go unaddressed while political troops snipe at each
other in gruelling trench warfare. Political life in a "50-50 nation"
regresses to a tenacious battle of primitive loyalties.

Could politics be any worse? Well, for one in eight Americans, it is.
California, the richest, most populous, most dynamic state in the country,
definitely does not have 50-50 politics. Its public life lacks even the
semblance of balance-and it stinks.

California's Democratic governor, Gray Davis, is cruising towards
re-election with a ten-point lead, according to the latest poll. Both
senators (neither of whom is up for re-election this time) are Democrats, as
is the bulk of the congressional delegation. Thanks to gerrymandering by the
Democrats, the entire state can muster only one competitive congressional
seat-the one currently occupied by Gary Condit, a disgraced Democrat who is
retiring. State government is equally one-sided: the Democrats have
comfortable majorities in both houses. Just one statewide office is held by
a Republican. 

And the result of this marvellous consensus and unanimity? It is hard to
think of any piece of legislation that Mr Davis will be remembered for,
other than a muddled attempt to solve the electricity crisis. There has been
little reform at the state's dreadful schools and none at its hospitals;
transport is worse than ever and voters are seething at the possibility that
their water, like their power, may one day dry up. Enthusiasm for politics
is even lower than it is in the rest of the country. The only flurries of
interest come when laws are forced on the politicians through ballot
initiatives raised by frustrated interest groups.

The absence of political tension has also limited outside interest in the
state. To be fair, George Bush's campaign did lob $13m worth of advertising
into California in a last-minute salvo in 2000; but Al Gore still carried
the state by 12 points, and Mr Bush's administration has paid little heed to
California's wishes since then. He did not support Bill Simon, Mr Davis's
opponent in the Republican primary-and has kept his distance since. 

The domination of California by Democrats is not a reward for their own
talent. It is the result of the collapse of the state's Republicans. Mr
Davis is as unpopular as a governor has ever been. His poll numbers have
stuck around their current 41% for months, and as many as one in five
Californians have still not decided whom to vote for. This gives the Simon
campaign a fragment of hope (one apparently rogue poll showed him only three
points behind). But even if the race narrows, it ignores the point: with an
energy crisis, a horrendous budget deficit and a reputation for mixing
money-raising with law-making, Mr Davis should surely be the one desperately
trying to catch up. 

His relative comfort stems from a pre-emptive defence by his Machiavellian
campaign manager, Gary South. The Democrats spent $10m during the Republican
primary attacking Mr Bush's choice, Richard Riordan, a former mayor of Los
Angeles, for supporting abortion; the Republican die-hards duly voted for Mr
Simon, a political novice who is against abortion. But even this scam, on
reflection, seems more a testament to the California Republicans'
boneheadedness than Democratic cunning. When Jeb Bush intervened on behalf
of Janet Reno in the Florida primary, trying to oust the more electable Bill
McBride, those legendarily intelligent Democrats (remember the old ladies
who voted for Pat Buchanan by mistake in 2000?) saw the ruse a mile off and
picked Mr McBride. 

At any rate, Mr Simon cannot have disappointed Mr South. A first attempt to
get his campaign airborne crashed when a jury found his family firm guilty
of fraud. That judgment has been reversed, but now Mr Simon has made a
slight fool of himself in a debate with Mr Davis, brandishing what he
claimed were photographs of the governor illegally soliciting campaign
contributions in his office. It turned out that the photographs had been
taken in a private house. 

The problems go much deeper than Mr Simon, a worthy sort who simply seems to
have been promoted beyond his political abilities. The recent state
Republican convention in Anaheim showed how little the California party has
learned about Mr Bush's compassionate conservatism. Barely bothering to go
through the motions of appealing to minorities, the roster featured a series
of middle-aged white men. Meanwhile, at the back of the hall, a talented
young black assembly candidate from south Los Angeles complained that he had
got no help from the party. In Texas, he would have been on the podium. 

Bring on the Terminator in 2006
And the consequences of more one-party rule? Mr Davis's "pay-to-play" system
will continue to operate, with the governor raising money by promoting
himself to businesspeople as a necessary bulwark against the regulating
radicals in his own party. Mr Davis, who should never be underestimated, may
use the cash to have a crack at the presidency. The big hope for the state
focuses on the 2006 race, when Mr Davis is term-limited and when a new
campaign-finance law he has just signed kicks in, making it much harder to
raise money from outsiders.

Two Democrats, the state attorney-general and the treasurer, both hope to
carry forward funds from easy re-elections this year. Meanwhile, Arnold
Schwarzenegger is edging back into contention for the Republicans-his
attributes being not just his muscles but also his money. In the future,
thanks to the new fund-raising law, Californian politics may become the
exclusive domain of the very rich-which may be a better thing than being the
exclusive domain of one party.

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:jacob@;excaliburfilms.com]
Sent: Tuesday, November 05, 2002 9:18 AM
To: CF-Community
Subject: RE: Election Day!


hmm... Can I vote in a different state? :)

At 10:14 AM 11/5/2002 -0500, you wrote:
>who's the least obnoxious. A business man with no experience in running the
>state government and whose company has been indicted for fraud, or a
>professional politicians who'll do quite a lot for campaign contributions.
>
>larry
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