------ Forwarded Message
> From: Sardar <sar...@spiritone.com>
> Date: Sun, 7 Mar 2010 18:34:47 -0800
> To: Sardar <recon1968br...@yahoo.com>
> Subject: China ready to end dollar peg - Telegraph
> 
> China ready to end dollar peg
> The head of China's central bank has given the strongest signal yet that the
> country will move away from pegging its currency to the dollar, but he said
> any changes would be gradual.
> 
> By Garry White
> Published: 5:31PM GMT 06 Mar 2010
> 
>  Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the People's Bank of China Photo: AP
> 
> At the annual session of the legislative National People's Congress in
> Beijing, Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the People's Bank of China, said that
> the days of the "special yuan" policy were numbered. He described the dollar
> peg as a "temporary" response to the global financial crisis, but gave no
> timescale for any change in policy. The currency has been pegged at about
> 6.83 yuan per dollar since July 2008.
> 
> 
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> Many economists expect China to allow the yuan to appreciate slightly this
> year, but the cautious tone by Mr Zhou means that any change may not happen
> for some time. He said that the central bank would maintain the "basic
> stability" of the currency. So, despite the fact that the Chinese economy
> grew by 10.7pc in the fourth quarter of last year, the country's loose
> monetary policy looks set to continue.
> 
> "If we are to exit from irregular policies and return to ordinary economic
> policies, we must be extremely prudent about our choice of timing," Mr Zhou
> said. "This also includes the [yuan] exchange rate policy."
> 
> China's currency policy has been subject of fierce debate, particularly in
> the US and Europe, with the country's central bank accused of keeping the
> yuan artificially low to promote a domestic exports boom. An artificially
> lower currency makes the country's goods and services more competitive,
> leaving other exporters at a disadvantage. Jim O'Neil, Goldman Sach's chief
> economist, thinks the Chinese should allow their currency to appreciate by
> as much as 5pc.
> 
> In recent week President Obama has been vocal on the issue of the
> artificially low currency. "China and its currency policies are impeding the
> rebalancing [of the global economy] that's necessary," Mr Obama told
> Bloomberg last month. "My goal over the course of the next year is for China
> to recognize that it is also in their interest to allow their currency to
> appreciate because, frankly, they have got a potentially overheating
> economy."
> 
> The relative value of the dollar is important to China, as the country is
> the world's largest holder of US government debt. According to data form the
> US Treasury Department, China held $894.8bn (£591bn) of US Treasury
> securities at the end of December. Roughly two-thirds of the country's
> reserves are believed to be in dollars and dollar-denominated assets such as
> gold.
> 
> "The US dollar is still an extremely important currency, playing a key role
> in international trade, cross-border capital flows, direct investment as
> well as in determining whether we can smoothly overcome the global financial
> crisis," Mr Zhou said.
> 
> When China eventually abandons the peg, the country will have to manage its
> exit strategy carefully. If the central bank allows a gradual appreciation
> of its currency, which would be the best strategy for its exporters, there
> could be an inflow of funds from speculators betting on further
> appreciation. However, a one-off revaluation could deal a severe blow to the
> country's manufacturing sector.
> 
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>   m.. Email
>   n.. Print
> http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/7386391/China-ready-to-end-dollar-peg.html

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