http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1050684.html

Last update - 07:41 29/12/2008 


Why hasn't Hamas responded to Gaza strikes with greater force? 
By Amos Harel 


Palestinians have fired more than 140 rockets and mortars into Israel proper 
over the course of the last two days, far less than forecast by the Israel 
Defense Forces. Yesterday, Palestinians launched upgraded Katyushas with a 
maximum range of 40 kilometers. The rockets landed in moshavim adjacent to 
Ashdod. 

The two long-range Katyushas fired yesterday were made either in China or Iran. 
Their maximum range is just shy of 40 kilometers; those fired reached a maximum 
distance of 34.4 kilometers. 

According to IDF assessments, Palestinian terrorist groups are capable of 
firing some 200 (some reports put the number at 300) rockets per day. At this 
stage, it remains unclear whether the low number of rockets stems from the 
potency of the blow dealt Hamas in the Israel Air Force aerial assault of two 
days ago, or that Hamas is tactically waiting for an opportune moment to deal a 
powerful strike to Israel proper. More than half of the Palestinian projectiles 
launched at Israel were mortars. As of 8 P.M. yesterday, more than 20 rockets 
and some 10 mortars were fired from Gaza. The long Katyushas, which have a 
diameter of 122 millimeters, underwent upgrades that doubled their range. 
Hezbollah fired similar Katyushas during the Second Lebanon War. They were 
subsequently given to Hamas by Iran and Syria. It is clear that the Katyushas 
fired yesterday were recently smuggled into the Gaza Strip via the tunnels in 
the Sinai Peninsula (Egypt claims they were transported by sea), and that they 
were not manufactured by the Palestinians in Gaza. 


Shin Bet chief Yuval Diskin told a cabinet meeting last week that Hamas 
obtained rockets that can travel 40 kilometers, enabling it to reach Ashdod and 
the outskirts of Be'er Sheva. The number of long-range Katyushas in Hamas' 
arsenal remains unknown; however, the sporadic rocket fire yesterday suggests 
that the organization does not possess a huge amount. 

Palestinians launched the long-range Katyushas yesterday from the northern Gaza 
Strip, probably from the Beit Lahia-Beit Hanun region, which allows them to 
reach deep into Israeli territory. 

On Saturday evening, Hamas had threatened to strike the Ashdod area. Defense 
officials do not discount the possibility that Hamas is armed with rockets with 
an even longer range, though there is no intelligence attesting to that. 

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