Nick, I cannot be certain about this bird because it is a mixture of a soaring bird and a direct flight bird. Like you are saying Nick, it is likely that it will be headed NNE on the current winds. If it is flying in a direct flight all night, it could easily end up at Lake Superior. If instead it is choosing to navigate in soaring flight, we would have a very different story. Also, because this bird is so far afield from where it should be and it doesn't make meteorological sense why this bird would be here, I am not confident in saying what this bird is going to do. I appreciate the challenge, and it is tough to even communicate this appropriately because of all the uncertainty that surrounds this bird.
Thanks for pushing me though. I like the way you are thinking about this. Bryan Bryan Guarente Meteorologist/Instructional Designer UCAR/The COMET Program Boulder, CO On Thu, Nov 5, 2020 at 9:09 PM Nicholas Komar <quetza...@comcast.net> wrote: > Bryan Guarente, can you predict where the Frigatebird will be by morning? > Looks like upper level winds are headed north by northeast, so I’m guessing > Lake McConnaghy or further north. I’ll be checking Boyd Lake and Horsetooth > Reservoir first thing here in Larimer. > > Nick Komar > Fort Collins CO > > On Nov 5, 2020, at 8:36 PM, Brandon <flammow...@gmail.com> wrote: > > > Yes, the photos are good for a female Magnificent Frigatebird. 9:30am was > when the first photos were taken. Congrats to the 5 birders who got to see > it, I know 4 of them and saw them today, and they were all very excited. > > Brandon Percival > Pueblo West, CO > > On Thu, Nov 5, 2020, 8:29 PM Sebastian Patti <sebastianpa...@hotmail.com> > wrote: > >> Magnificent??? >> >> There is a SPECIMEN of Great Frigatebird from Oklahoma . . . >> >> sebastianpa...@hotmail.com >> Sebastian T. Patti >> 770 S. Grand Avenue >> Unit 3088 >> Los Angeles, CA 90017 >> CELL: 773/304-7488 >> >> ------------------------------ >> *From:* cobirds@googlegroups.com <cobirds@googlegroups.com> on behalf of >> Brandon <flammow...@gmail.com> >> *Sent:* Thursday, November 5, 2020 8:23 PM >> *Cc:* Colorado Birds <cobirds@googlegroups.com> >> *Subject:* Re: [cobirds] Frigatebird at John Martin >> >> The bird was last seen at 2:35pm, by 4 birders at John Martin Reservoir. >> It was flying high, and possibly to the west. Many birders arrived around >> 3pm and after, and watched until dark. Maybe it will be 100 miles west of >> John Martin Reservoir tomorrow morning, I know a reservoir that will be >> checked. >> >> Brandon Percival >> Pueblo West, CO >> >> >> On Thu, Nov 5, 2020 at 12:29 PM willc...@gmail.com <willcbi...@gmail.com> >> wrote: >> >> Hi All, >> >> I don't want to step on the observers toes, but there was a Magnificent >> Frigatebird photographed at john martin reservoir today, apparently over >> the dam. Hopefully some people can make it there and see it before sunset! >> >> Will Anderson >> Boulder >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Colorado Birds" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to cobirds+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. >> To view this discussion on the web visit >> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/cobirds/61061963-77aa-4144-b02c-dad5d7d6447dn%40googlegroups.com >> <https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fgroups.google.com%2Fd%2Fmsgid%2Fcobirds%2F61061963-77aa-4144-b02c-dad5d7d6447dn%2540googlegroups.com%3Futm_medium%3Demail%26utm_source%3Dfooter&data=04%7C01%7C%7Ca76039302cbb4771041c08d881fb0535%7C84df9e7fe9f640afb435aaaaaaaaaaaa%7C1%7C0%7C637402262403268409%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&sdata=tHQJMD%2BK33Ykjy8jmWuHsT3fMtNiUHlu0yyndfz9JQI%3D&reserved=0> >> . >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Colorado Birds" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to cobirds+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. >> To view this discussion on the web visit >> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/cobirds/CA%2BXeEuWh0zzzCQ105StbNHt50UuxQ-6M2q9fNFWWsUnSLYcJ5A%40mail.gmail.com >> <https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fgroups.google.com%2Fd%2Fmsgid%2Fcobirds%2FCA%252BXeEuWh0zzzCQ105StbNHt50UuxQ-6M2q9fNFWWsUnSLYcJ5A%2540mail.gmail.com%3Futm_medium%3Demail%26utm_source%3Dfooter&data=04%7C01%7C%7Ca76039302cbb4771041c08d881fb0535%7C84df9e7fe9f640afb435aaaaaaaaaaaa%7C1%7C0%7C637402262403278393%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&sdata=rnb2Yjkm53aq3ZCqG6BpdR3GS97r42%2Fwjdu6Mzs3d%2FE%3D&reserved=0> >> . >> > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Colorado Birds" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to cobirds+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/cobirds/CA%2BXeEuWdV35H0yZD31CuUA9c-7OH49O-FswQOQWVbim_9r8a4Q%40mail.gmail.com > <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/cobirds/CA%2BXeEuWdV35H0yZD31CuUA9c-7OH49O-FswQOQWVbim_9r8a4Q%40mail.gmail.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> > . > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Colorado Birds" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to cobirds+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/cobirds/DC78E146-D472-49CE-A139-99219EAAA925%40comcast.net > <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/cobirds/DC78E146-D472-49CE-A139-99219EAAA925%40comcast.net?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> > . > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Colorado Birds" group. 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