---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Eugen Leitl <[email protected]>
Date: Tue, Feb 3, 2009 at 4:15 PM
Subject: [tt] Killer Lasers Work, but Are They the Best Defense Against
UAVs?
To: [email protected]



http://www.popularmechanics.com/technology/military_law/4302301.html

Killer Lasers Work, but Are They the Best Defense Against UAVs?

Last week, Boeing announced that its Laser Avenger system, a modified
version
of the company's existing Avenger air defense weapon, had shot down an
unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) with a one-kilowatt laser. Boeing wanted to
prove a point—not that the Avenger's eight surface-to-air missiles and
.50-caliber machine gun were bad at shooting down flying drones, but that a
laser can do it just fine as well. But the test raises more questions than
it
answers: Are energy weapons ever preferable to an old-fashioned bullet or
bomb? And since when did flying robots become a threat to U.S. or allied
forces?

By Erik Sofge

Published on: February 3, 2009

Why UAVs Aren't Scary

When Boeing's Laser Avenger shot down an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) with
a
laser last week, the technological might—with focus on a one-kilowatt laser
that replaced the Avenger's usual surface-to-air missiles—aimed at a small
flying robot begs the question; Since when did flying robots become a threat
to U.S. or allied forces? To date, the U.S. military has spent essentially
zero time or money on the prospect of countering hostile UAVs. That's
because
the risk of that kind of attack isn't really there. "We haven't really seen
a
UAV threat so far," says Guy Ben-Ari, a senior fellow at the Center for
Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D.C. "It seems a little
far-fetched, because the existing countermeasures are far superior to the
potential threats."

The most tangible threats to date have been the handful of Iranian-built
Mirsad 1 drones operated by Hezbollah. The Lebanon-based terrorist group has
claimed that the Mirsad 1's 9-ft-plus-wingspan UAV (putting it out of the
Laser Avenger's class) can be loaded with 110 pounds of explosives, but the
model has yet to inflict any casualties. In the summer of 2006, an Israeli
fighter intercepted a Mirsad-1 entering Israel's airspace and destroyed it
with an air-to-air missile. A seemingly more successful Mirsad mission from
that same summer, a widely reported kamikaze attack on an Israeli warship,
turned out to be a conventional strike using a Chinese-built missile.

If U.S. forces were to ever go up against Mirsads, the lesson is clear:
Shoot
them down like any other plane. If one is humming along on a suicide
mission,
the same duck-and-cover or interception tactics used for mortars and rockets
would probably be effective against an object moving at a comparatively slow
80 mph. The same holds true for the more advanced UAVs supposedly in
development in Russia and China. According to Ben-Ari, although those
countries are pursuing drones approaching the size and performance of U.S.
versions that carry missiles, "They're still 5 to 10 years away. And those
are optimistic numbers." Even if a full-scale conventional shooting war were
to develop, the air defense against Russian or Chinese UAVs would be
familiar: Fire missiles and bullets at it until it crashes. In this case,
being a robot isn't an advantage.

The Problem With Lasers

The utility of using a laser, instead of conventional weapons, is not
entirely clear. Boeing claims that it avoids the telltale muzzle flash or
smoke trail that could give away the Avenger's position, but the relatively
low power of the beam severely limits the scenarios in which it would be
useful. Its target must be flying low enough to negate cloud cover, close
enough to rule out atmospheric disturbance (which can refract the beam), and
slow enough for the laser to heat up a crucial flight element.
Coincidentally, those are the same conditions that could provide a UAV with
a
clear view of the hulking missile battery mounted on the back of a parked
Humvee.

Instead, the Laser Avenger's designated targets are among the smallest,
lowest-flying UAVs. Responding by e-mail, the company would only describe
the
UAV that was shot down (as well as the kind of target it's designed to deal
with) as a small UAV with about a 6-ft wingspan. That rules out the most
dangerous UAVs—those that are large enough to carry missiles, like the
U.S.'s
MQ-1 Predator or MQ-9 Reaper.

Big Worries Over Tiny UAVs

That's not to say that UAVs will always be harmless. In fact, the biggest
long-term drone threat might have little in common with today's remote
missile strikes or high-altitude reconnaissance missions. "UAVs could be
used
asymmetrically, in ways we haven't even imagined," says Ben-Ari. "You could
have something that's two generations behind our drones, but they're
swarming
with hundreds of UAVs at the same time. Or being used as crop dusters, to
deliver chemicals or bioagents." Instead of building a fleet of multimillion
dollar UAVs, insurgents or terrorists could buy radio-controlled choppers
and
planes—toys, essentially—in bulk. And when it comes to drone swarms, or
models too small to be reliably picked up on radar or other sensors, the
Pentagon is relatively unprepared. Troops could deploy traditional
anti-helicopter weapons that spray the air with shrapnel or flechettes , or
simply open fire with shotguns and rifles, but these aren't optimal tactics.
The helicopter mines' acoustic sensors and radar systems could be spoofed by
smaller, quieter UAVs. And pitting a 12-gauge against a flock of incoming
drones is a better plan in a video game than in real life.

That is where the Laser Avenger might just save the day. Forget the
kilowatt-class laser; the system features tracking algorithms that are
specifically designed to spot and zoom in on small UAVs. If Boeing's
UAV-hunting capability was combined with sufficient firepower, the war with
tomorrow's suicidal microrobot hordes could be over before it even begins.
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