> I don't think they are doing this (as I said, they only bother with the
> low hanging fruit) but they could.
> 
> Is there a tool that detects changes of CA?

Certificate Patrol does it for you on client-side:
https://addons.mozilla.org/de/firefox/addon/certificate-patrol/

Our own Crossbear does it for you on server-side - and will aggressively
start tracerouting to get an idea of where the MITM must be. Note that
we are currently revising Crossbear to be implemented as an OONI test -
called OONIBear. The Firefox plug-in has been broken by Mozilla's
lovingly frequent changes in API; we're fixing at the moment.

[1] https://addons.mozilla.org/de/firefox/addon/certificate-patrol/
[2]
http://www.net.in.tum.de/fileadmin/bibtex/publications/papers/holz_x509forensics_esorics2012.pdf
[3] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=29h21n-tyfE&t=46m26s

Ralph

-- 
Ralph Holz
I8 - Network Architectures and Services
Technische Universität München
http://www.net.in.tum.de/de/mitarbeiter/holz/
Phone +49.89.289.18043
PGP: A805 D19C E23E 6BBB E0C4  86DC 520E 0C83 69B0 03EF
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