-Caveat Lector-

Could it be possible that should the president decide that he's nothing
left to lose (or gain), he might act on "core security concerns" ?



>From wsws.org

WSWS : News & Analysis : North America

Pentagon report calls Asia a "core security concern"

By James Brookfield
9 December 1998

A report issued in late November by the Pentagon indicates that US military
strategists expect the financial meltdown in Asia to unleash further social
upheavals and regional conflicts. The report, titled: "US Security Strategy
for the East Asia-Pacific Region 1998," cites the Asian financial crisis as
a "core security concern," one that has "shaken the region's assumptions
about uninterrupted economic development and is testing regional economic
cooperation, globalization, and the livelihood of two billion Asians."

This report is the fourth produced by the Pentagon on East Asia. The first
two, published in 1990 and 1992, suggested that US forces in the region
would be reduced in number. A third, issued in 1995, reversed this
position, noting, in the words of the present report, that "continuing
areas of uncertainty and tension would require an affirmation of [US]
security commitments to the region," i.e., the ongoing maintenance of
100,000 US troops there.

The 1998 report adds, "While our policies since the 1995 EASR [East Asian
Strategy Report] have confirmed US commitment to the region and
strengthened bilateral relationships, areas of uncertainty remain and new
challenges have emerged." According to the report, these "challenges"
include the nuclear missile testing by India and Pakistan earlier this year
and US disputes with North Korea over its nuclear energy and satellite
programs. These are, however, not the only potential sources of conflict.

"Indonesia's economic and political difficulties will pose challenges to
the established order both internally and in the region. In Cambodia and
Burma, domestic crises threaten the region's progress toward stable
political cooperation. Historical mistrust and territorial disputes,
including those in the South China Sea and elsewhere, remain unresolved,
providing potential flashpoints over issues of sovereignty and nationalism.
Crises outside the region, particularly in the Arabian Gulf, increasingly
affect regional security, as Asia becomes more dependent on oil supplies
for economic growth," the report states.

The publication of the 1998 EASR follows a series of public disputes
between the US government and several Asian countries over trade questions
exacerbated by the economic crisis and US efforts to gain greater access to
regional markets. At last month's Asian Pacific Economic Co-operation
(APEC) meeting, rancor erupted as Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir
denounced currency speculators and the international monetary system while
US Vice President Gore attacked Mahathir for the arrest and trial of his
former Deputy Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and for the "cronyism" of the
regime in Kuala Lumpur. This was followed by Clinton's trip to Tokyo where
he insisted to Japanese officials that they carry out measures to further
open the economy to US goods.

In these conflicts military might serves to bolster the position of US
economic interests. "US engagement in Asia," the report notes
euphemistically, "provides an opportunity to help shape the region's
future, prevent conflict and provide the stability and access that allows
us to conduct approximately $500 billion a year in trans-Pacific trade,"
The report later cites the $150 billion in US investment in Asia in a
similar vein.

A number of passages suggest that the report is a document published for
the purpose of intimidating US rivals. It summarizes, for example, the
development of new US military technology as follows: "Advances in command,
control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and
reconnaissance will combine with the introduction of new weapons systems to
revolutionize US ability to respond rapidly to any conflict and dominate
any battlefield situation."

A related statement, "Joint Vision 2010," prepared in 1997 by the Joint
Chiefs of Staff and mentioned in this report, notes that the introduction
of new weapons technology "will provide an order of magnitude improvement
in lethality." In a section on "Weapons of Mass Destruction" the 1998 EASR
declares: "The United States will retain the capacity to respond to who
might contemplate the use of WMD and to prevail in any conflict in which
these weapons are used, so that the costs of using WMD will be seen as
outweighing any possible gains." It does not explain how a military strike
following an opponent's "contemplation" of using a weapon can be properly
defined as a "response."

The Pentagon foresees conflicts with China, though the report takes a
somewhat careful tone in light of the growth of US business interest in the
country. "Many of China's neighbors," one paragraph states obliquely, "are
closely monitoring China's growing defense expenditures and modernization
of the People's Liberation Army (PLA), including development and
acquisition of advanced fighter aircraft; programs to develop mobile
ballistic systems, land-attack and projection platforms." It adds later,
"The United States is concerned about the activities of Chinese entities in
the missile and chemical fields."

North Korea, on the other hand, is singled out in the report for its
"considerable inventory of chemical and biological weapons" and the "threat
posed by [its] nuclear program." The report cites the August 1998 North
Korean rocket and satellite testing as "a threat not only on the [Korean]
Peninsula but to common regional security." It adds that a 1994 agreement
between the US and North Korea, which halted the construction of nuclear
energy plants at Yongbyon and Taechon, "defused a critical source of
tension and deflected what could have been a military confrontation with
North Korea."

Political instability, social upheavals, growing antagonisms with other
powers in the region, and other unspecified threats to "US interests," all
of which may demand a brutal and rapid military response: this is the
Pentagon's anticipation of events that will be ushered in by the Asian
economic crisis.

------------------------------------------------------------------------

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World Socialist Web Site
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