-Caveat Lector-

""The story behind the speeches of Mr Armitage and Mr Wolfowitz this
week has been the gradual conversion of Mr Bush, a foreign policy
neophyte when he ran for president, to the idealistic school of thought.""

Hawks and doves unite over Iraq
By Toby Harnden in Washington
(Filed: 25/01/2003)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?
xml=/news/2003/01/25/wirq25.xml/
The State Department and Pentagon, representing
the rival poles in the Bush administration, came together this week to
herald the end of the so-called "hawks-dove" split over war in Iraq.

Their uncompromising speeches appeared to be a prelude to President
George W Bush's State of the Union address on Tuesday.

For months, Richard Armitage, a barrel-chested weightlifter who served
four tours in Vietnam, has used his role as Colin Powell's deputy to urge a
more cautious, diplomatic strategy designed to avoid conflict.

In contrast, the bookish, bespectacled Paul Wolfowitz, who is regarded as
one of the deepest US defence thinkers of the past two decades and a
vastly experienced government adviser, has been a powerful and
unrelenting voice proposing the forcible ousting of Saddam.

The two men are understood to have had a difficult relationship and their
respective bosses, Colin Powell and Donald Rumsfeld, have clashed
frequently - if politely - over how to deal with Iraq.

Barbed comments about the lack of military experience of the "civilian
hawks" at the Pentagon emanated from anonymous senior State
Department officials.

Defence officials would respond by complaining that Mr Powell and Mr
Armitage were seeking to undermine Mr Bush's foreign policy by deferring
to the Democratic-leaning US diplomatic corps and listening unduly to the
"conventional wisdom" of European and Arab allies.

Mr Armitage was chosen to speak on the theme of "Saddam's lies and
deception". Addressing the Institute of Peace in Washington, he said there
was "not one sign" of Iraqi compliance. "If you are hanging your hopes on
Saddam Hussein's voluntary willingness to comply and the veracity of his
regime, you are engaging in some very dangerous wishful thinking."

Two days later, on Thursday, Mr Wolfowitz took to the podium at the
Council of Foreign Relations in New York to explain how a United Nations
inspection regime should work.

"Despite 11 years of inspections and sanctions, containment and military
response, Baghdad retains chemical and biological weapons and is
producing more," he concluded. "And Saddam's nuclear scientists are still
hard at work."

By using Mr Armitage to deliver the indictment of Saddam and Mr Wolfowitz
to explain how weapons inspections - of which he is almost instinctively
sceptical - could work, the White House was making a clever public
statement that the administration was united.

The Washington Post argued yesterday in a page one story headlined
"Moderate Powell turns hawkish on war with Iraq" that the secretary of
state and his deputy had undergone a miraculous conversion to the
Rumsfeld/ Wolfowitz view.

A more likely explanation is that Mr Powell and Mr Armitage are simply
following the policy Mr Bush has settled on and concluded a debate that
has raged in Washington for more than a year by coming down on the
Pentagon's side.

David Frum, the former White House speech writer, argued in his recent
book that the divide within the administration is best described not as
"hawk versus dove" but "realist-idealist".

Thus, what Washington has seen is a philosophical debate between those
who wanted to maintain a "balance of power" and those who argued for
seizing the opportunity to reorder the Middle East.

One of the hallmarks of Mr Bush's presidency has been his unwillingness to
make a fundamental choice between opposing views until he has to.
Rather, he prefers to see how different policies can develop in parallel.

The story behind the speeches of Mr Armitage and Mr Wolfowitz this week
has been the gradual conversion of Mr Bush, a foreign policy neophyte
when he ran for president, to the idealistic school of thought.


12 November 2002: Hawk-dove split reopens

15 October 2002: Pentagon hawks put pressure on Powell


Related reports




Iraq factfile


Iraqis 'have chemical warfare suits'


Europe angry at US


US demands scientists


Iraqis 'have chemical warfare suits'


'Draft rich sons for war'


Europe angry at US


Peace convoy heads for Baghdad


Money: Shares sink into sea of uncertainty



External links




A special address by Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage on Iraq
[21 Jan '03] - United States Institute of Peace


Time running out for Iraq, Wolfowitz says [23 Jan '03] - Council of Foreign
Relations


Moderate Powell turns hawkish on war with Iraq [24 Jan '03] - Washington
Post







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