-Caveat Lector-

Unfinished business

With Afghanistan in turmoil and the war against Iraq looming large, the US
already has its hands full, reports Iffat Idris from Islamabad



As the United States builds up for the Bush administration's second war,
there are disturbing signs that the first one -- in Afghanistan -- is not yet
over.

Last week, American forces were engaged in their fiercest battle since last
spring's Operation Anaconda. The fighting took place in the south- east of
the country, near the border with Pakistan. The region, which includes
the city of Kandahar, is dominated by Pashtuns and was once the
stronghold of the Taliban. In recent weeks, there have been persistent
reports of Taliban and Al-Qa'eda fighters regrouping there and mounting
small-scale attacks on US and allied Afghan troops.

The fighting apparently began after US Apache helicopters followed up a
lead from a captured rebel fighter. As they investigated an area near the
border town of Spin Boldak, where the prisoner had revealed there was a
concentration of rebel fighters, the helicopters came under fire. The
Americans responded by sending in B-1 bombers, AC-130 gunships and
Norwegian F-16s. US military spokesman Colonel Roger King, said the
bombers were in action for more than 12 hours.

As US and Afghan troops combed the hundreds of caves in the region in
search of the rebel fighters, Colonel King reported that at least 18
militants had been killed, adding that the fighting might go on for a long
time. "There is a lot of ground to cover. It's a relatively large area and
rough terrain. It could take a considerable period of time."

The group of approximately 80 fighters being hunted by the US-coalition
forces are believed to be loyal to Hizb-i-Islami (Islamic Party) leader,
Gulbuddin Hekmatyar. Hekmatyar was a mujahideen commander and close
ally of the US in the war against the Soviet Union. But once that was over
he became embroiled in Afghanistan's bitter civil war and was responsible
for a massive bombardment of the capital, Kabul. When the Taliban seized
control of Afghanistan, Hekmatyar fled to neighbouring Iran. He returned
after the ousting of the Taliban, but staunchly opposes both the presence
of US forces in Afghanistan and the US-backed Karzai administration. There
has been speculation that this opposition has led him to join forces with
former Taliban and Al-Qa'eda fighters, now regrouping in the south and
east of the country.

Further proof of growing Al-Qa'eda and Taliban activity came on Thursday,
when a bomb exploded on a bus in Kandahar. Kandahar is situated just 90
miles from the scene of the fierce fighting between Hekmatyar's forces
and American-Afghan soldiers. The bomb exploded near Kandahar police
station. Though all 16 victims were civilians, the city's police chief, General
Akram Khakrezwal, believes the intended targets were Afghan soldiers. He
blamed the attack on Al-Qa'eda, the Taliban and Hekmatyar -- "all forces
opposed to us".

No direct link has been established between the bus bombing and the
nearby fighting, but authorities believe the same people are involved. The
re-emergence of Taliban and Al- Qa'eda opposition to the US and Karzai
administration is a clear reflection of the lack of central control in the
provinces. Even in Kabul, Karzai depends on the strength of international
peacekeepers to maintain order.

Outside the capital, where no international troops are engaged in
peacekeeping duties, it is the local warlords who run the show. After the
Kandahar bombing a spokesman for the Afghan president reiterated the
need for foreign troops to be deployed throughout the country.

The situation in the south is further complicated by the close proximity of
Pakistan. American and Afghan officials believe that many Al-Qa'eda and
Taliban fighters fled there after the collapse of the Taliban government.
Natives in the bordering tribal regions of Pakistan are sympathetic to the
Taliban and have been offering them shelter. Pakistani troops have been
hunting down Al-Qa'eda and Taliban fighters on their side of the border,
but given local hostility in the traditionally autonomous region, this is an
uphill task. The election of the Islamist Mutahidda Majles-e-Amal (MMA)
provincial government in Pakistan's North West Frontier Province has made
it even harder. The MMA won power in last October's polls by running on
an anti-US, pro-Taliban platform.

All this has had a significant impact on US- Pakistani relations. Washington
has been applying mostly covert, though sometimes overt, pressure on
Pakistan to be more active in mopping up Al-Qa'eda and Taliban fugitives on
its side of the border. President Musharraf is now caught between yielding
to these demands or respecting strong local sentiments.

According to a recent Indo-Asian News Service report, Washington has
now asked Musharraf for permission to bomb Al-Qa'eda and Taliban
holdouts in Waziristan and the Northern Areas. This is a request Musharraf
is highly unlikely to accede to: apart from the local uprising this would
provoke, senior military officials have warned that the almost 100,000
soldiers in the Pakistan army who are natives of the region might also
rebel.

As the fighting in the south of Afghanistan gets worse, a new UN report
highlights the pressing need for peace to allow reconstruction. The report
by the UN's Environmental Programme is the first comprehensive look at
conditions in Afghanistan since the 1970s. Its findings are depressing: more
than 25 years of war, drought and famine have produced conditions that
are "a major stumbling block" to reconstruction. Until the fighting ends
completely, tackling those conditions will be extremely difficult.

Impossible as it might seem, things could actually be about to get worse in
Afghanistan. Given the already strong opposition to the US in the adjacent
areas of northern Pakistan and southern Afghanistan, an American attack
on Iraq could well spark mass revolt. One aid worker, referring to the
humanitarian work some US troops in Afghanistan have been engaged in,
warned that, "digging a few wells is not going to offset the impact of going
to war on another Islamic country". The Iraqi people are not alone in
praying that George W Bush does not go to war for a second time.

C a p t i o n : A field radio operator of the American army's 82 Airborne
Division communicates with his command during cave clearing operations
about 48 kilometres north of Spin Boldak, Afghanistan. Dubbed "Operation
Mongoose", the cave clearings started on 27 January when US and
coalition forces came under attack. American soldiers continue cave
clearing missions in the area

© Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. All rights reserved

Al-Ahram Weekly Online : 6 - 12 February 2003 (Issue No. 624)
Located at: http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2003/624/in1.htm
Forwarded for your information.  The text and intent of the article
have to stand on their own merits.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, this material
is distributed without charge or profit to those who have
expressed a prior interest in receiving this type of information
for non-profit research and educational purposes only.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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