-Caveat Lector-

http://www.dawn.com/2003/03/18/int14.htm
US-French rift may be lasting

By Paul Richter & Doyle McManus

WASHINGTON: Months of bitter wrangling over Iraq have fundamentally
altered the Bush administration's view of France, convincing it, officials
say, that the longtime ally is a competitor in world affairs and a threat to
the harmony of US relations with Europe.

Paris appears to be "actively working to undermine the transatlantic link,"
said one senior US official.

As France's push to block a US-sponsored resolution on Iraq at the UN
Security Council appears close to succeeding, US officials are warning the
French that their efforts could hurt themselves - to begin with, by limiting
their role in the lucrative post-war rebuilding of Iraq.

The new US attitude, reflected in increasingly sharp public language from
Washington, marks a striking shift from just after Sept 11, 2001, when
French newspapers declared the nation's sympathy for a suffering America.
US officials say they feel betrayed by France's role not only in opposing
the use of force against Saddam Hussein but also in organizing wider
opposition.

US officials and experts say American and French interests are so closely
intertwined that any attempt at retribution could end up hurting the
United States as much - or more - than France. Yet many experts believe
that the attitude of the administration and Congress has become so hostile
to Paris that they are likely to seek reprisals that could damage the joint
effort against terrorism or undermine the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization.

The evolving US approach may be best reflected, some say, in the attitude
of Secretary of State Colin L. Powell.

Long France's favourite Bush administration official because of his
internationalist outlook, Powell was convinced for most of last fall that
France would ultimately not stand in the way of a US military effort to
disarm Iraq. But his attitude began to change on Jan 20, when he felt
ambushed at a United Nations meeting by the strong opposition to US
plans from French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin, according to US
officials.

According to one ranking diplomat in Washington, De Villepin sought to
patch up relations in a one-on-one meeting in Powell's New York suite on
March 6. De Villepin began the meeting by saying he hoped that the fight
in the United Nations would not harm the personal relations between the
two men, or the relationships of their countries. Powell responded with an
angry vulgarity, the diplomat said.

A senior US official denied that Powell had used off-colour language. He
said Powell had told De Villepin the two countries would remain allies, yet
"let's be honest; what happens here will affect the relationship."

A State Department official, requesting anonymity, said Powell returned
from that meeting "absolutely furious." Of the French government, a
frustrated Powell reportedly said: "There is no one there to talk to."

The administration's irritation has been reflected in statements that
question whether France really wants to disarm Iraq or simply stand in the
way of the United States.

State Department spokesman Richard Boucher said last week that France's
stand made it less likely that Baghdad can be disarmed peacefully. White
House press secretary Ari Fleischer pointed out that France shot down
Britain's latest proposal to assign final tests for Iraqi disarmament even
before Baghdad rejected the idea.

"If that isn't an unreasonable veto, what is?" he asked.

Jean-David Levitte, the French ambassador to Washington, said he believes
the current rancour is only temporary.

"What's going on right now is a kind of fever," he said. "It will calm down
after these difficult days, and we'll be friends again, and work together.
We have no other options."

Yet experts said the significance of the divisions should not be
underestimated.

Simon Serfaty, director of the Europe programme at Washington's Center
for Strategic and International Studies, said he believed US- French
relations are now in worse shape than they have been in 50 years - even
worse than in the 1960s, when US frictions with French leader Charles de
Gaulle ran strong.

"It is not just that the French have objected to US policies, it is that
they've been proactive: They've put together a coalition that stands in the
way of US preferences on an existential issue," Serfaty said.

The United States and France currently collaborate on a variety of
important issues.

The French are perhaps the most important foreign contributor to the US
effort against terrorism and have unmatched information on militants. They
provided information that led to the arrest of the terrorist who tried to
blow up Los Angeles International Airport in December 1999.

The United States and France also have hundreds of billions of dollars of
direct investment in each other's countries.

The French are the largest contributor of troops to UN peacekeeping
efforts and are working with US forces in Afghanistan. If the United States
seeks to shift some of the burden of rebuilding Iraq after a war to the
European Union, France would be the first obvious candidate to
contribute troops.

Jeremy Shapiro, of the Brookings Institution's Center on the United States
and France, said the United States could penalize France by preventing
the country from collecting on about $5 billion it is owed by Baghdad.

France will be "genuinely disadvantaged," he said, if it is not present in Iraq
immediately after any war, when contracts for oil development work are
let.

Yet if the United States invited the United Nations to help run Iraq after a
war, the French could gain a foothold in redevelopment, he said.

Judging from its recent record, the Bush administration may retaliate
against Paris, analysts said. White House relations with Berlin have
continued to be cold since Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder campaigned
against the idea of US military action in Iraq during his re-election effort
last fall.

Charles Kupchan, a former National Security Council official, predicted
that the rift would mark a lasting division between the United States and
Europe, and would "dramatically accelerate" the weakening of NATO that is
already underway.

"The break that is taking place is probably irreversible, because it's on
first-order principles of war and peace," he said. "It would probably be less
consequential if it were just France alone. But it's France and Germany
and Russia, and most of the European public."-Dawn/The LAT- WP News
Service (c) The Washington Post.




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