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Uncle Sam's Regime Change in Iran

July 23, 2003
 By IVO H. DAALDER






Regime change has become the hallmark of President Bush's
foreign policy. In two years Mr. Bush has dispatched two
regimes (the Taliban and Saddam Hussein's), tried to
sideline a third (Yasir Arafat's), and would like nothing
better than to dispatch still others (Kim Jong-Il, the
mullahs in Iran and the potentates that rule much of the
Arab world).

In seeking to change regimes not to America's liking, Mr.
Bush travels a well-trodden path. It started more than a
century ago when, in the aftermath of the Spanish-American
War, the United States found itself in charge of Cuba,
Puerto Rico and the Philippines. Soon thereafter, President
Theodore Roosevelt promulgated his Corollary to the Monroe
Doctrine, which led to the occupation of the Dominican
Republic, Haiti and Nicaragua.

Once colonialism was discredited, the United States adopted
a different approach - covert regime change - with the
C.I.A. rather than the United States military in the lead.
The first of these attempts, which occurred almost 50 years
ago to this day, is the subject of Stephen Kinzer's
riveting new book. On Aug. 19, 1953, Kermit Roosevelt, a
C.I.A. operative and grandson of Teddy, orchestrated the
ouster of the Iranian prime minister, Mohammad Mossadegh -
a populist leader who had gained London's wrath by
nationalizing the British-owned oil industry and frightened
Washington for failing to oppose Communist influence
vigorously inside Iran.

The C.I.A.'s success in Iran was but the first in a long
list of United States coup attempts - in Cuba, Chile,
Congo, Guatemala, Vietnam and elsewhere. Some of these
coups succeeded. Others did not. But all suffered
unintended consequences - perhaps none more than the coup
that ousted Mossadegh.

That is why Mr. Kinzer, a veteran correspondent for The New
York Times whose last foreign posting was in Istanbul
(where he also covered Iran), decided to take another look
at this well-known episode. He does so with a keen
journalistic eye, and with a novelist's pen. In what is a
very gripping read, he recounts the story of the coup and
how it came about. In the process, he reveals much about
Iran's history, paints a sharp portrait of British
colonialism just at the point of its ultimate collapse, and
lays bare the debate on how the United States should engage
the world.

Mr. Kinzer leaves no doubt that he thinks the coup was a
mistake. His portrait of Mossadegh is highly sympathetic -
here is a learned leader who speaks for the oppressed and
willingly risks his life for the betterment of his own
people. Clearly in the wrong were the British. Mr. Kinzer
recounts how the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company (later known as
British Petroleum) in effect ran Iran for years - with
nearly all the benefits of oil exploration going to its
owners and the British government and virtually none to the
Iranian people.

In 1951 Mossadegh rose to power on a promise to nationalize
Anglo-Iranian, setting in motion a crisis that two years
later would lead to his ouster. London threatened war, and
was dissuaded only by the firm rejection of that option by
Washington. President Harry S. Truman, instead, sought to
mediate a resolution to the British-Iranian standoff. But
neither side would budge. Britain considered Iran's oil
rightfully its own and rejected the nationalization of the
industry and assets as illegal; Mossadegh had no intention
of reversing a decision that put Iran in charge of the
resources within - or in this case under - its national
territory.

A violent outcome might have been avoided had it not been
for elections in Britain and the United States. In 1951
Winston Churchill returned to power and, after the loss of
India, was in no mood to see the British Empire shrink
still further. A year later Republicans regained the White
House with Dwight D. Eisenhower. Among their top priorities
was stopping Communism wherever it encroached, and rolling
it back wherever possible. The unrest in Iran - and
Mossadegh's ties to the Communist Party there - was now a
top concern not only in London but also in Washington.

The August coup ousted Mossadegh and put Iran firmly in
Washington's sphere of influence. But Mr. Kinzer argues
that success in the short run came at a very high price in
the long run.

To retain control over an unruly population, the Shah of
Iran ruled with an ever more brutal and savage hand.
Oppression bred nationalism, which found an outlet in
Islamic fundamentalism. The result was the Iranian
revolution in 1979. The decision by students and
revolutionaries to take over the United States embassy was
at least in part designed to avoid a repeat of 1953, when
the C.I.A. used the embassy's diplomatic sanctuary to plot
the coup against Mossadegh.

The revolution and hostage crisis led Washington to support
Saddam Hussein in the Iran-Iraq war and Tehran to support
Islamist terror groups as a way to attack the United States
and its interests. "It is not far-fetched to draw a line
from Operation Ajax," the C.I.A. code name for the 1953
coup, Mr. Kinzer argues, "through the Shah's repressive
regime and the Islamic revolution to the fireballs that
engulfed the World Trade Center in New York."

Even if that is quite a stretch (and hardly an excuse for
9/11), Mr. Kinzer has a point. Regime change can have very
different consequences than originally intended. Iran was
kept out of Soviet hands - but the coup also produced a
brutal regime that fomented a violent and very dangerous
revolution, the impact of which is felt even today.

Mr. Kinzer's book offers a cautionary tale for our current
leaders, who have embarked on their own version of regime
change. As many of the 150,000 American troops in Iraq are
discovering every day, not all such changes go according to
plan. And who knows what unexpected and unintended
consequences President Bush's regime change still hold in
store for us all, whether sooner or later.

Ivo H. Daalder is a senior fellow in foreign policy studies
at the Brookings Institution in Washington.

http://www.nytimes.com/2003/07/23/books/23DAAL.html?ex=1059949303&ei=1&en=76f6ce708ff2ac73


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