-Caveat Lector-

Oh Shannon, you really should read a valuable book called "How to Lie
With Statisics."  It's a classic.  Here is a response to one of the
statistics you posted.   Anyone looking at the organization source for
the article you posted should note that the sources are very leftist and
generally pro-Palestinian organizations. I've eliminated the graphic
charts which can be seen at the site and am sending this plain text.

http://www.ict.org.il/articles/articledet.cfm?articleid=440
June 20, 2002
Updated: May 21, 2003
The “al-Aqsa Intifada” – An Engineered Tragedy
Summary of Findings
Don Radlauer
ICT Associate
An ongoing study by the International Policy Institute for
Counter-Terrorism (ICT) at the Interdisciplinary Center in Herzliya
provides an in-depth look at the fatalities on both sides of the current
Palestinian/Israeli conflict. Based on thorough research using
Palestinian and Israeli open sources, the study provides a breakdown of
those killed by age, gender, and combatant status. The results lead to
some surprising conclusions.
Combatants, Noncombatants, and Responsibility
Almost 1900 Palestinians have been killed since the start of the
“al-Aqsa Intifada”, compared to almost 700 Israelis. Numbers like these
are used to create an image of lopsided slaughter, with Israel cast as
the villain. But such numbers distort the true picture: They lump
combatants in with noncombatants, suicide bombers with innocent
civilians, and report Palestinian “collaborators” murdered by their own
compatriots as if they had been killed by Israel.
More meaningful figures show that Israel is responsible for some 733
Palestinian noncombatant deaths, while Palestinians have killed 546
Israeli noncombatants. Over 54 percent of the Palestinians killed were
actively involved in fighting – and this does not include stone-throwers
or “unknowns”. And Palestinians are directly responsible for the deaths
of at least 253 of their own number – more than one out of every eight
Palestinians killed.
On the Israeli side, 80 percent of those killed have been noncombatants.
While Israelis account for about 27 percent of the total “Intifada”
fatalities, they represent over 43 percent of the noncombatant victims.

Breakdown by Gender
Women and girls account for 31 percent of all Israelis killed in the
conflict, and almost 40 percent of the Israeli noncombatants killed by
Palestinians.
Palestinian fatalities, in contrast, have been consistently and
overwhelmingly (over 95 percent) male; even when combatants (almost all
of whom have been male) are removed from consideration, just 8 percent
of Palestinians killed by Israel have been female.

In absolute terms, even though more Palestinians than Israelis have been
killed overall, Israeli female fatalities have far outnumbered
Palestinian female fatalities. If we include all reliable reports of
women and girls killed in the conflict, the ratio is 219 Israeli females
compared to 92 Palestinian females – a ratio of almost 2.5 to 1. If we
restrict the comparison to noncombatant Israeli females killed by
Palestinians and noncombatant Palestinian females killed by Israel, the
difference is even more dramatic: 69 Palestinians compared to 214
Israelis, a ratio of three to one.

Breakdown by Age
Israeli combatant fatalities are concentrated in a narrow age range, as
we would expect for soldiers in a uniformed army. Israeli noncombatants,
in contrast, display a near-random age distribution. This is equally
unsurprising, given that these fatalities are the result of terrorist
attacks on accessible civilian targets.

Palestinian fatalities present a quite different picture. Palestinian
combatant fatalities, like those on the Israeli side, are concentrated
in a narrow age range – although this concentration is slightly less
pronounced. (This is unsurprising, given that Palestinian combatants are
mostly members of unofficial terrorist/guerilla organizations.)
Palestinian noncombatant fatalities, however, show an age distribution
completely unlike that on the Israeli side. Instead of a “sloppy”
distribution over a broad range of ages, Palestinian noncombatant
fatalities are heavily concentrated among teenagers and young adults.

“Mature” and Young Fatalities
A more specific focus on older and younger victims of the conflict
further highlights the difference between Palestinian and Israeli
noncombatant fatalities. When we compare the “mature” noncombatant
Israelis killed by Palestinians to the “mature” Palestinian
noncombatants killed by Israel, we see that the Israeli death toll far
exceeds the Palestinian. In fact, Palestinians have killed at least 174
noncombatant Israelis aged 45 and over, while Israelis have killed 65
Palestinian noncombatants in the same age bracket. The ratio is 2.7 to
1.

When we look at children and teenaged noncombatants killed in the
conflict, we see a rather strange pattern. Among both Palestinians and
Israelis, the number of young children (under the age of ten years old)
is comparatively small (although more young Israeli children were killed
as a proportion of total fatalities). The number of Palestinian children
killed begins to increase at about 10 years of age, and jumps up
dramatically between the ages of 12 and 13. However, the increase
consists entirely of boys – the number of Palestinian girls killed shows
no age-trend, and is very low for all ages.

Young Israelis killed by Palestinians show a different profile: Both
boys and girls show an increase starting at age 14 (perhaps a year
earlier for boys), and just as many teenaged girls were killed as
teenaged boys.

Another Look at Age and Gender
It is worth taking another look at the relationship between age and
gender among the noncombatant victims of the conflict. If we look at
Palestinian noncombatants killed by Israel, we see that the few female
fatalities appear to be randomly distributed by age. The male
fatalities, on the other hand, are overwhelmingly young (although, as
noted above, relatively few are below the age of ten). To be more
precise, at least 60 percent of all Palestinian noncombatants killed by
Israel were boys and men between the ages of 12 and 29.

Israeli noncombatants killed by Palestinians show a much closer balance
between the sexes – as mentioned above, three out of eight were women
and girls. In fact, slightly more girls than boys were killed below the
age of 20; and the ratio is about one-to-one for those aged 60 and over.

In contrast to the high percentage of male Palestinian noncombatants
between 12 and 29 years of age, only 26 percent of Israeli noncombatants
killed by Palestinians were males from 12 to 29 years old.

The Significance of the Statistical Patterns
The statistics show that Israeli noncombatants over the last 23 months
have been killed essentially at random, as Palestinian terrorists have
chosen to attack whichever civilian targets were accessible. Palestinian
fatalities, however, have been strongly concentrated within a particular
population segment – teenaged boys and young men.
Population segments like women or older people are not military targets;
thus their higher prevalence among Israeli fatalities is an indication
of the degree to which Palestinian terrorists have killed Israelis
simply for the “crime” of being Israeli.
In contrast, Palestinian noncombatant fatalities have been
overwhelmingly young (but over the age of 11) and male. This pattern of
Palestinian deaths completely contradicts accusations that Israel has
“indiscriminately targeted women and children.” It is clear that the
vast majority of the Palestinians killed did not die as the result of
random Israeli attacks on inhabited areas, or on mixed-sex crowds at
roadblocks and the like. There appears to be only one reasonable
explanation of this pattern: that Palestinian men and boys engaged in
behavior that brought them into conflict with Israeli armed forces.
Certainly, at least after the first few days of the conflict, these
Palestinian men and boys (or, in the case of the younger ones, their
parents and teachers) have to have been aware that they were placing
themselves in harm’s way.
In fact, the highly specific pattern of Palestinian noncombatant
fatalities suggests that many of these deaths have resulted from an
active Palestinian indoctrination campaign glorifying “martyrdom” –
effectively encouraging boys and young men to confront Israeli forces
and risk death even when there was no real likelihood of causing
material harm to Israelis.

For further details, see the Full Report: An Engineered Tragedy:
Statistical Analysis of Casualties in the Palestinian - Israeli
Conflict, September 2000 - August 2002
NEW! We now also offer an up-to-date Israeli/Palestinian Conflict
Statistics page with the latest totals from our database, as well as a
full database query function for viewing "Intifada" incidents and
casualty data. You can access all these features through ICT's
Arab-Israeli Conflict Page.


-----Original Message-----
From: Conspiracy Theory Research List [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of William Shannon
Sent: Sunday, August 24, 2003 7:56 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [CTRL] Just the facts...


-Caveat Lector- http://www.ifamericansknew.org/



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