-Caveat Lector-
----- Forwarded message from Patrick Neuman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> -----
Date: Wed, 26 May 2004 16:54:50 -0000
From: Patrick Neuman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [P&C] Warming happening too fast to cause anything but extinction
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
..."climate changes like the global warming we are seeing today are
probably happening too fast to cause anything but extinction."
-----------------
Source: University Of California - Berkeley
Date: 2003-10-31
Pack Rat Middens Give Unique View On Evolution And Climate Change In
Past Million Years
Berkeley - For at least a million years, owls throughout the West
have been snapping up sagebrush voles and reducing them to gray
pellets of fur, bones and teeth littering the foot of the roost.
Thanks to pack rats, however, these voles have not been forgotten.
In one Colorado cave, a pack rat collection of teeth and bones has
yielded a layered slice of vole history between 600,000 and a million
years ago, providing an unprecedented picture of how a species
changes and evolves, and how its evolution is affected by climate
change.
"Everything in the cave has been nicely preserved at a controlled
temperature and humidity, like putting the stuff in a refrigerator
for 750,000 years," said Tony Barnosky, a University of California,
Berkeley, paleobiologist.
He and his former graduate student Chris J. Bell, now associate
professor of geological sciences at the University of Texas at
Austin, detail their study of fossil sagebrush voles, a rat-like
rodent of the arid West, in a paper published online Oct. 21 in the
Proceedings of the Royal Society B.
"This is the first study where we've actually taken a living species
and looked back almost a million years at the population level to see
how it changes through time," said Barnosky, an associate professor
of integrative biology and associate curator at UC Berkeley's Museum
of Paleontology.
"We've got a snapshot very early in the history of the species,
around 750,000 years ago in the middle Pleistocene, in which we can
trace details of what happens in time, plus a snapshot at 10,000
years and a modern snapshot." Together, these snapshots show very
gradual change in the sagebrush vole, Lemmiscus curtatus, as the
climate goes through one of many periodic cycles of glacial advance
and retreat, with the original vole population coexisting and
probably interbreeding with its evolving cousins.
However, a major climate alteration about 800,000 years ago
dramatically shifted the population balance toward the evolving vole
and away from the original vole population.
The original vole population still took about 800,000 years to die
out, because it lived as recently as 9,500 years ago. Sediments of
that age in a Nevada cave still contain the animals' fossilized
teeth. In the last 10,000 years, however, the original vole has
disappeared entirely, leaving the new variant that continues to
evolve away from the original.
"There is debate about the role of climate change and the
glacial/interglacial transitions in driving speciation, that is, the
evolution of a new species," Barnosky said. "Our study suggests that
species adapt to handle routine climate change, and only something
out of the ordinary initiates significant evolutionary change. It
takes a long time for a species to change, and even the major
climatic change 800,000 years ago wasn't dramatic enough to cause the
origin of a new species.
"At least for small mammals, there may not have been much speciation
in response to climate change in the Pleistocene."
Though the million-year-old voles and today's sagebrush voles are
distinctly different based on the shape of their teeth, they probably
would be considered the same species, Barnosky and Bell concluded.
They acknowledge, however, that other biologists might view the two
voles coexisting some 800,000 years ago as two separate species, one
of which went extinct.
"The species concept is an especially challenging problem for
paleontologists, who work with only bones and teeth," Bell
said. "Here we are working with fossilized remains of a species that
in the modern biota only has one species, and have shown that,
through time, the morphological patterns within that species have
changed.
"But we think we're looking at change within a species, not
necessarily a speciation event."
"This study shows that, while we can draw a firm boundary around a
species we see today in the landscape, we can't draw a firm boundary
around species through time - the definition gets fuzzy," Barnosky
added. "In our study, we see species change at the population level,
but not change from one species into another."
In light of the slow pace of speciation and today's rapid climate
change, these findings hold a sobering lesson, Barnosky said.
"It's likely that speciation takes place over a longer time interval
than extinction," Barnosky said. "So, climate changes like the global
warming we are seeing today are probably happening too fast to cause
anything but extinction."
The major climate shift that propelled the emerging vole population
into the dominant spot 800,000 years ago was the sudden switch from a
41,000-year glacial cycle to a 100,000-year glacial cycle. This
shift, caused presumably by interactions among the long-period
precessions of Earth's orbital and spin axes and cyclic changes in
the shape of Earth's orbit, initiated an abnormally hot and dry
period evident in the cave sediments.
Barnosky has been excavating and analyzing fossils from Porcupine
Cave in Colorado since 1985, when he was at the Carnegie Museum of
Natural History in Pittsburgh. Originally discovered in Park County
in the 1860s by miners excavating a promising vein of silver, the
cave had been known since then primarily to cavers and entered only
through the miners' adit. That was until oil geologist Don Rasmussen
and his son Larry stumbled in in 1981 and noticed the rich bone
deposits in the cave.
Since then, the cave's history has been reconstructed from the
sediments and the bones, which are in collections at the Carnegie
Museum, the Denver Museum of Nature and Science, UC Berkeley's Museum
of Paleontology and the University of Kansas Natural History Museum.
The cave, located at 9,500 feet, evidently was open intermittently
over a 400,000-year period starting slightly less than a million
years ago, in the middle Pleistocene, an era known for its ice ages.
During this period, wood rats, colloquially known as pack rats,
scavenged nearby owl pellets and scat from coyotes and other
mammalian carnivores to decorate their elaborate nests.
Estimates are that the small bones and teeth from the pellets and
scat are a good representation of the small animal populations from
about a 10-mile radius around the cave. Excavations have revealed the
bones of at least 127 separate species, including birds, reptiles and
73 distinct mammals.
One of the cave's most abundant mammals was the sagebrush vole, a 3-
to 4-inch rodent, excluding tail, that lived on seeds and plant
material and served as a major food source for raptors and small
carnivores. Because the voles were so prevalent and well represented
throughout the cave sediments, especially at a site called the "pit,"
Barnosky and Bell hit upon them as a perfect animal to follow through
time for a glimpse of evolution at work. The 400,000-year period was
particularly interesting because it spanned two transitions between a
glacial period, characterized by a cool, wet climate, and a drier
interglacial period. The first transition was toward the end of the
time characterized by 41,000-year glacial cycles, while the second
was early in the series of 100,000-year cycles that persist today.
"There is a lot of controversy about how new species form," Barnosky
said. "How long does it take? Is speciation something that happens
when one population is isolated from other populations? Do you need a
big selection event, such as climate change?
"We can address these questions because we have a really good fossil
sample that lets us detail species through time and compare them with
modern species."
While other scientists have studied late Pleistocene mammals, they've
most commonly gone back only about 11,000 years to the beginning of
the so-called Holocene, a period in which it is hard to distinguish
the effects of climate change from the effects of humans, who were
then roaming North America. Also, such studies sample only a small
part of the typical 1.5-million-year life span of a mammalian
species.
The new study from the middle Pleistocene looks for the first time at
climatic effects on small mammals in the absence of humans and over a
million-year time span.
Since teeth were most abundant and are often diagnostic of vole
species, Barnosky and Bell extracted teeth from 10 recognizable
layers of cave sediment, comparing fossils of 154 first lower molars
and 57 third upper molars with 363 specimens taken from modern vole
populations. The combined study of fossil collections with the modern
material housed in UC Berkeley's Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, where
Barnosky is a member of the research faculty, allowed a detailed
understanding of how the populations vary through both time and
space.
The chewing surface of the first lower molars is divided into various
triangular extensions off the main tooth ridge, and distant ancestors
of this vole had teeth with three of these triangles. The million-
year-old voles from the cave came from populations with four
triangles, five triangles, and an intermediate blend, probably
indicating interbreeding between the two other types. Because fossils
of the sagebrush vole are not found before the species appears full
blown in Porcupine Cave, Barnosky thinks that the sagebrush vole had
only recently evolved.
Later sediment layers showed varying proportions of four-and five-
triangle teeth, with the balance tipping toward five triangles only
after the major climate event 800,00 years ago. This is seen in the
cave's uppermost sediments, including the top 600,000-year-old layer,
in which six-triangle molars appear for the first time.
The more triangles, the greater the enameled cutting edge, which
presumably would be an advantage during more arid conditions,
Barnosky said. With more dust in the air and an increase in plants
adapted for arid conditions, which contain more hard silica, it makes
sense that evolution would select for voles with teeth that had more
cutting surface that would not wear out as quickly.
Barnosky and Bell compared these older teeth with more recent vole
teeth found in sediments from Snake Creek Burial Cave in Nevada,
which has been dated at between 9,500 and 15,000 years ago. In this
cave, both four- and five-triangle teeth were represented among the
fossils, though five triangles predominated.
Today, no living sagebrush voles have teeth with four triangles. They
have teeth with five, six and sometimes seven triangles, showing
continued evolution toward more cutting surface. Since different
species of voles differ in the number of molar triangles by about two
or three, the sagebrush vole today is probably the same species as
that of 800,000 years ago, though it clearly is evolving into a
species more adapted to hot and dry conditions, Barnosky said.
"The pattern of increasing number of triangles is repeating itself
across geographic space," Bell said. "We see it in Porcupine Cave, we
see it in Cathedral Cave in Nevada, we see it in the Kennewick road
cut locality in Washington. Across geographic space and at different
times, we see the same trend in increasing complexity in Lemmiscus
populations."
Barnosky has edited a book, to be published next year by the
University of California Press, about what Porcupine Cave tells us
about biodiversity and climate change.
The work was supported in part by grants from the National Science
Foundation.
This story has been adapted from a news release issued by University
Of California - Berkeley.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/10/031031062755.htm
---------------
Repost... previous post at:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Birds-and-Landscapes/message/64
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Fri Oct 31, 2003 2:16 pm
Subject: Rats pack up some clues to climate
Pat N
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