-Caveat Lector-

Haaretz
News Updates Thu., July 22, 2004 Av 4, 5764 Israel Time:  02:15  (GMT+3)
Analysis / An ominous bellwether

By Aluf Benn, Haaretz Correspondent

Nasser al-Kidwa, the Palestinian Ambassador to the UN, yesterday succeeded in
killing two birds with one stone. He managed to transform the International
Court of Justice's sharp advisory opinion about Israel's separation fence into
an acrimonious resolution of the UN General Assembly, gaining another victory in
the Palestinians' diplomatic campaign against the fence.




He also managed to persuade the entire European Union to vote in favor of the
resolution, thus furthering Israel's isolation in the international community
and making its already complicated relations with Europe more strained.

The huge majority which supported the resolution once again showed just how much
international legitimization and support the Palestinians can count on. Israel
may lock Yasser Arafat up in the Muqata in Ramallah, but behind the glass
windows of the UN headquarters, there's a different picture. There Arafat holds
sway while Israel is isolated in a corner with a small handful of friends -
mainly the U.S. and Australia, which voted against the resolution, and Canada,
which abstained.

The UN resolution will not lead to the dismantling of the fence in the near
future. There is also no intention - in the foreseeable future - of threatening
Israel with economic or diplomatic sanctions.

But the Foreign Ministry in Jerusalem can chalk up a painful diplomatic failure.
"The advisory opinion was turned into an obligatory resolution," they said
yesterday.

There are three aspects of the resolution that are particularly worrisome to
Israel.

First is the demand that Israel comply with the opinion of the judges from The
Hague that the occupation, the settlements, and the fence in the territories are
all illegal, and with their demand to dismantle the "wall" and compensate the
Palestinians.

The second is the intention to set up a UN database on Palestinian properties
damaged by building the fence. And the third is the call for a meeting of the
signatories to the Geneva Conventions - a forum that does not bode well for
Israel and spells further condemnation and isolation.

The immediate implications of the resolution relate to Israel's ties with
Europe. The 25 countries of the European Union, and a similar number that vote
like it, constitute the strongest force in the General Assembly. The European
vote is a also source of international legitimacy because it represents the
developed nations.

Al-Kidwa used his timeworn tactic of presenting an extreme draft which he
moderated slightly to the taste of the Europeans. Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom
used the telephone to persuade his European counterparts to vote against.

Israel was particularly offended by Dutch Foreign Minister Bernard Bot, who used
his influence as EU president to get a unanimous European vote instead of the
split vote which Israel had hoped for until the last moment. European
explanations of a "softened" version of the resolution were not received
favorably in Jerusalem.

When EU Foreign Minister Xavier Solana arrives here today, he is likely to find
himself putting out the UN fire instead of working toward upgrading ties with
Europe. Nevertheless, despite the disappointment and anger, Israel will not try
to deepen the rift - after all, it will need European votes when the fence issue
comes up for a new round in the UN in September.

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