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--- Begin Message --- -Caveat Lector- www.ctrl.org DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please! These are sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis- directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought. That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector. ======================================================================== Archives Available at:
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-Caveat Lector- Stolen Election
by Mark R. Elsis | http://StolenElection.net | November 5, 2004
"If this were a dictatorship,it would be a heck of a lot easier,
just so long as I'm the dictator."
December 18, 2000
Florida and Ohio were the two most important swing states in the 2004 United States presidential election.
The margin of error for a 95% confidence interval is +/- 3% for the national exit poll and +/- 4% for the 50 state exit polls (1). On November 2, 2004, the exit polls showed John Kerry with a lead over George W. Bush of three percentage points in Florida and four percentage points in Ohio (2)(3). As it stands today, November 5, 2004, John Kerry has ended up losing Florida to George W, Bush by five percentage points (4) and in Ohio he has ended up losing by two percentage points (5).
The difference between the Florida exit poll and the final results are eight percentage points. This is double the +/- 4% error rate for this exit poll. A 100% increase in the error rate is statistically next to impossible to happen.
The difference between the Ohio exit poll and the final results are six percentage points. This is a 50% increase in the +/- 4% error rate for this exit poll. A 50% increase in the error rate is statistically very unlikely to occur.
Together, the likelihood of Florida and Ohio both seeing such differences from their exit polls to the final results are statistically impossible. Therefore the only conclusion one could possibly derive from this statistic impossibility is that this was a stolen election. The new electronic voting machines with no paper receipts are suspect (6).
About The National Election Pool Exit Poll
Edison Media Research (7) and Mitofsky International (8) conducted exit polls in each state and nationally for the National Election Pool, a cooperative agreement among the Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC news (9).
There are 31 current subscribers to their service (10).
The Election Day survey was based on 11,027 interviews with voters who cast their votes at 1,480 precincts selected to be a representative sample of states and the nation as a whole. Telephone interviews were used to supplement results in states that allow early voting through absentee ballots or other options. The exit polls surveyed 2,846 voters in Florida and 1,963 in Ohio (11).
The polling places were selected as a stratified probability sample of each state. The purpose of stratification is to group together precincts with similar vote characteristics. A recent past election was used to identify all the precincts, as they existed for that election. The total vote in each precinct and the partisan division of the vote from this past race are used for the stratification. In addition, counties are used for stratifying the precincts. The total vote also is used to determine the probability of selection. Each voter in a state has approximately the same chance of being selected in the sample (1).
CNN.com Changes Ohio Exit Poll Numbers
Why did CNN.com change their Ohio exit poll numbers after 1:05am? The first graphic was taken from CNN.com at 1:05am on November 3, 2004. The exit poll chart shows John Kerry leading George W. Bush by two percentage points. The second graphic was taken from CNN.com at 6:41am on November 3, 2004. This new exit poll chart shows George W. Bush leading John Kerry by five percentage points.
How To Cover Up The Stolen Election
I also very much enjoyed Senator John McCain (the Bush administration’s supposed non-partisan heaviest hitter) going on the Tonight Show on Thursday, November 4, 2004 (the perfect day), to try to quell any talk of mischief in the Florida and Ohio exit polls vs. the final results. Bringing out McCain coupled with the perfect timing to try to cover up this stolen election is a dead give away of what truly happened.
1) http://www.exit-poll.net/faq.html#a15
3) http://www.katc.com/Global/story.asp?S=2519038
4) http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/FL
5) http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/OH
6) http://blackboxvoting.org
7) http://www.edisonresearch.com
8) http://www.mitofskyinternational.com
9) http://www.exit-poll.net/pool.html
10) http://www.exit-poll.net/election-night/subscribers.html
Love Is The Answer
Mark R. Elsis
http://MarkElsis.com | [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Is the Executive Director of the LOVEARTH ® NETWORK
http://Lovearth.net | List of 1100 Websites: http://Network.Lovearth.netwww.ctrl.org DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please! These are sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis- directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought. That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector. ======================================================================== Archives Available at:
http://www.mail-archive.com/ctrl@listserv.aol.com/ <A HREF="">ctrl</A> ======================================================================== To subscribe to Conspiracy Theory Research List[CTRL] send email: SUBSCRIBE CTRL [to:] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Om
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