-Caveat Lector-

Thew sets up a straw man argument. IN no way will anwr be able to pump
enough to supply to entire US. At most 1 maybe 1.5 million barrels/day
(the capacity of the exiting pipline system) so 1. million barrels/day out
of an estimated 10.5 Billion Barrels (at 1997 technology, and $27/bbl with
7 years of advancement in technology and $60/bbl probably a whole lot more
available) will certainly last a whole lot longer than thew false straw
man argument.




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---------- Forwarded message ----------
Date: Fri, 16 Dec 2005 16:30:16 -0500
From: thew <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [ctrl] The american Petroleum Institute supports ANWR(The
    Arctic National Wasteland Reserve)


i made no statement about the impact of drilling, so it would be hard
for me to have exagerated it, grossly or otherwise.


as to a long time, i guess that's a point of view call. We consume
over 20 million barrels a day ( the latest figure i found on a quick
internet search was 20,517,000 per day)
that works out to 7.488.705,000 barrels a year.

so if we use your conservative figure that is a year and a half of
oil. even if we use your higher figure that works out to less than 6
years worth of oil.

and all these numbers are contingent on out oil consumption staying
at the same level - which it has never done.

not really all that much oil.

a million barrels a day is less than 5% of our consumption. that is
why i don't think it's a worthwhile tradeoff. it doesn't solve our
problems. It barely impacts our problems. It is mere window dressing,
so the oil companies can pretend there isn't a real problem to deal
with, while they rake in record profits as our population has to make
choices like heat the home or feed the kids.



On Dec 16, 2005, at 12:50 PM, William A. Bacon wrote:

> Thew grossly exagerates the impact of drilling, the oil industry
> requires
> only 2,000 acres out of 19 million acres in that artic WASTELAND the
> poulation of caribou increased from 5,000 to 21,000 after the current
> alaska pipeline was built. and at a withdrawal rate of a 1million
> barrels
> /day 10.3 billion barrels (minimum estimate otimistic estimate of 43.3
> billion barrels at 1997 technology and pric of $27/bbl see
> http://www.anwr.org ) anwr would last a long time.
> Bill Bacon
>


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