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Title: #594 (04/16/98): Missing Boys


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=======================Electronic Edition========================

.                                                               .

.           RACHEL'S ENVIRONMENT & HEALTH WEEKLY #594           .

.                     ---April 16, 1998---                      .

.                          HEADLINES:                           .

.                         MISSING BOYS                          .

.                          ==========                           .

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MISSING BOYS



As we reported late in 1997 (REHW #576), the male proportion of

live births has been declining in the U.S. and Canada for at

least 20 years. Normally there are 106 males born for every 100

females, for a male proportion of 106/206 = 0.5145.  This

proportion is often called the "live birth sex ratio" or simply

the "sex ratio." Several studies --some very recent[1,2] and

others dating back to the late 1980s and early 1990s --reveal

similar 20-year declines in the male proportion of live births in

England and Wales,[3] Denmark, Sweden, Finland, the Netherlands,

Germany, Chile, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Peru, Paraguay,

Ecuador, Venezuela, Colombia, and Costa Rica.[4]



The declines in the male proportion of births are not large, and

by themselves they have no practical importance.  Often the shift

has been from 0.515 to 0.513 or 0.512.  Nevertheless, even small

shifts in the sex ratio can add up.  In Canada during the last 20

years, approximately 8600 males have not been born and in their

place we have females; in the U.S. during the same period, 38,000

baby boys were replaced by baby girls.  (From an environmental

perspective this is arguably beneficial because environmentally

destructive organizations tend to be dominated by men, while the

effective wing of the environmental movement is largely led by

women.)



Nevertheless, there is a very serious side to these small shifts

in sex ratio.  It is extremely unlikely that similar trends in so

many different countries are due to chance.  Therefore, the

altered sex ratio raises a grave public health question: what is

causing consistent biological changes in the human populations of

so many industrialized and industrializing countries?  Does this

pattern signal some general change in exposures to environmental

toxicants? Now two teams of researchers --in the U.S.[1] and in

Denmark[2] --are asking whether the pattern of declining male

proportion of births is linked to a similar pattern of increasing

birth defects of the penis and testicles, increasing testicular

cancer, and declining quality and quantity of sperm.



Both groups of scientists are hypothesizing that all of these

patterns are linked to exposures to hormone-disrupting chemicals

including dioxin, pesticides, lead, solvents and smoke stack

emissions from smelters, steel foundries and incinerators.[5]

And both groups are hypothesizing that the relevant exposures are

most likely taking place before birth, in the mother's womb.



Devra Lee Davis of the World Resources Institute (Washington,

D.C), writing in the JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL

ASSOCIATION,[1] acknowledges that any change in a complex

biological process, such as sex determination, probably has

several causes.  She then goes on to argue, offering evidence

from many different areas of research, that the male proportion

of live births can be affected by environmental exposures:



** At the moment of conception, all embryos are destined to be

female unless something changes them into males.  We all start

out female by default.  For the first six to 9 weeks of life, we

all have unisex gonads.  Between the 6th and 9th week, the gonads

of those with a Y chromosome specialize into testicles and begin

producing hormones that continue the process of creating a male.

If anything interferes at this stage, a female may result.  Thus

sex is determined by tiny amounts of hormones circulating in the

blood of the embryo.  This situation provides opportunities for

chemicals entering the mother's body ("xenobiotics") to disrupt

normal processes.  And there is some evidence that chemicals

entering the mother's body do just that:



** In Seveso, Italy, in 1976, a group of people were heavily

exposed to dioxin after an explosion at a pesticide factory.

Dioxin is a potent poison, an unwanted byproduct of metal

smelters, the manufacture of paper and pesticides, and

incinerators.  Between April 1977 and December 1984, 74 children

were born to parents in the zone of greatest dioxin exposure.  Of

these, 48 were female and 26 male, for a male proportion of

0.351.  After 1985, the male proportion of live births began to

return to normal.



** Among a group of workers applying the pesticide

dibromochloropropane (DBCP), several men became sterile.

Importantly, those able to have children produced 3 times as many

daughters as expected.[6]



** A study of pesticide-exposed workers in the Netherlands

revealed a male proportion of 0.248, less than half the normal

proportion of male births.



** Five studies of heavily polluted residential areas in Scotland

revealed significantly diminished sex ratios.  The pollutants

were emitted by metal smelters, steel foundries, and incinerators.



** In rural Minnesota, increased rates of birth defects are

reported to occur among the male children of workers who apply

pesticides, suggesting that the male fetus may be especially

vulnerable to hormone-disrupting substances.  In an area with

high usage of chlorophenoxy herbicides and/or fungicides, the

male proportion among children born with defects to workers who

apply pesticides was 0.735, compared to a male proportion of

0.607 for births with defects among the general population.



Davis considers many other factors that can reduce the male

proportion of live births --age differences between the parents,

older age of father, mother under stress, multiple sclerosis,

less-frequent intercourse, and test-tube fertilizations.  None of

these factors appears likely to have operated consistently in so

many countries for 20 years or more.  Therefore, Davis proposes

that altered male proportion of live births should be considered

a "sentinel health event that may be linked to environmental

factors."  A sentinel health event is defined as "an unusual

pattern of health in a population that signals changes in

avoidable factors.  Thus," Davis writes, "changes in either a

relatively common health occurrence, such as childhood asthma, or

a relatively rare disease, such as pulmonary hypertension, can

reflect changes in avoidable exposures."



The sex ratio is not static.  In many countries, the ratio

increased between 1900 and 1950 as better prenatal care reduced

the number of stillbirths, which tend to affect males

disproportionately.  Thus, modern medicine has been able to avoid

stillbirths, thereby keeping more baby boys alive.  But some time

between 1950 and 1970 the male proportion of live births began to

decline. Henrik Moller of the Danish National Research

Foundation[2] offers arguments similar to those of Davis, but

based on somewhat different evidence.  Moller restricts his

discussion to men in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden.  He

argues that the declining male proportion of live births in these

countries is closely linked to testicular cancer, and to

declining sperm quality and quantity.  He suggests that all of

these effects may be caused by prenatal exposures to chemicals

that act like dioxin and the pesticide DBCP, mentioned above.



Between 1960 and 1990, the incidence of testicular cancer doubled

or more-than-doubled in each of the four Nordic countries. During

the same period, testicular cancer also increased in England and

Wales, Scotland, Australia, New Zealand, Slovenia [former

Yugoslavia], Poland, Spain, Colombia, Japan, India, and the

U.S.[7] Some of these increases may be due to better diagnosis,

but the increases were consistent in all populations, were of

similar size, and were reported by long-established cancer

registries.  Testicular cancer is a well-defined entity, and it

inevitably becomes apparent, so it is unlikely to be missed.



Moller and others argue that, because testicular cancer tends to

occur young in life, whatever causes it must become effective

early, perhaps even before birth.[8]  The causes of testicular

cancer are poorly understood.  One recent study has found that

occupational exposure to polyvinyl chloride (PVC) increases the

likelihood of getting testicular cancer.[9]



In the four Nordic countries that Moller discusses, during the

period that testicular cancer has been increasing, the quality of

sperm has declined.[10] Sperm quality and quantity have also

declined (on average) in the U.S. and in other European

countries.[11] Moller argues that all these trends are related.



Moller conducted a case-control study of 514 Danish men with

testicular cancer, comparing them to a control group of 720 men

without cancer.[2] In both groups Moller interviewed the men and

their mothers.  Among the cancer cases, he recorded the sex of

their children born up until 2 years before their cancers were

diagnosed.  He found a male proportion of 0.470.  Among children

born to the 720 controls, Moller found a male proportion of

0.520.  Thus there was a significant reduction in the male

proportion of live births among men who would later develop

testicular cancer.  Moller says his study does not close the book

on the subject --there are two other studies on record which

found different results.



In recent years the world's scientific community has been

expressing concerns about male reproductive health --increasing

birth defects of the penis and testicles, declining sperm

quantity and quality, and increasing testicular cancer --and

asking whether these phenomena all have common origins in some

sort of chemical exposures.  (See REHW #438, #514.)  This new

information about altered sex ratios in more than a dozen

countries simply makes the case more compelling and more urgent.

                                                --Peter Montague

                (National Writers Union, UAW Local 1981/AFL-CIO)



===============

[1] Devra Lee Davis and others, "Reduced Ratio of Male to Female

Births in Several Industrial Countries," JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN

MEDICAL ASSOCIATION Vol. 279, No. 13 (April 1, 1998), pgs.

1018-1023.



[2] Henrik Moller, "Trends in sex-ratio, testicular cancer and

male reproductive hazards: Are they connected?" APMIS [ACTA

PATHOLOGICA, MICROBIOLOGICA ET IMMUNOLOGICA SCANDINAVICA] Vol.

106 (1998) pgs. 232-239.



[3] H.O. Dickinson and L. Parker, "Why is the sex ratio falling

in England and Wales? " JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY AND COMMUNITY

HEALTH Vol. 50 (1996), pgs. 227-230.



[4] M.F. Feitosa and H. Krieger, "Demography of the Human Sex

Ratio on Some Latin American Countries," HUMAN BIOLOGY Vol. 64,

No. 4 (August 1992), pgs. 523-530.



[5] F.L.R. Williams and others, "Low Sex Ratios of Births in

Areas at Risk From Air Pollution from Incinerators, as Shown by

Geographical Analysis and 3-Dimensional Mapping," INTERNATIONAL

JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY Vol. 21, No. 2 (1992), pgs. 311-319.



[6] G. Potashnik and others, "Dibromochloropropane-induced

Reduction of the Sex-ratio in Man." ANDROLOGIA Vol. 16, No. 3

(1984), pgs.213-218.



[7] David Forman and Henrik Moller, "Testicular Cancer." CANCER

SURVEYS Vol. 19/20 pgs. 323-341.



[8] Anders Ekbom and Olof Akre, "Increasing incidence of

testicular cancer --birth cohort effects," APMIS [ACTA

PATHOLOGICA MICROBIOLOGICA ET IMMUNOLOGICA SCANDINAVICA] Vol. 106

(1998). pgs. 225-231. And see H. Moller, "Clues to the Aetiology

of Testicular Germ Cell Tumours from Descriptive Epidemiology,"

EUROPEAN UROLOGY Vol. 23 (1993), pgs. 8-13.



[9] Lennart Hardell and others, "Occupational exposure to

polyvinyl chloride as a risk factor for testicular cancer

evaluated in a case-control study," INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF

CANCER Vol. 73 (1997), pgs. 828-830.



[10] Erik Bendvold, "Semen Quality in Norwegian Men over a

20-Year Period," INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FERTILITY Vol. 34, No.

6, (1989), pgs. 401-404.  And: Erik Bostofte and others, "Has the

Fertility of Danish Men Declined Through the Years in Terms of

Semen Quality? A Comparison of Semen Qualities between 1952 and

1972," INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FERTILITY Vol. 28, No. 2, (1983),

pgs. 91-95.



[11] Shanna H. Swan and others, "Have sperm densities declined?

A reanalysis of the global trend data," ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH

PERSPECTIVES Vol. 105 (1997), pgs. 1228-1232.



Descriptor terms:  sex ratio; male reproductive health;

testicular cancer; cancer; carcinogens; pvc; semen; birth

defects; cryptorchidism; undescended testicles; devra davis;

england; denmark; sweden; finland; netherlands; germany; chile;

argentina; brazil; bolivia; peru; paraguay; ecuador; venezuela;

colombia; cost rica; canada; u.s.; hormone-disrupters; wri; jama;

dibromochloropropane; dbcp; pesticides; kenrik moller; norway;

wales; scotland; incineration; australia; new zealand; slovenia;

poland; spain; japan; india;



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