-Caveat Lector-

 September 5, 1999

Gap Between Rich and Poor Found Substantially Wider

          By DAVID CAY JOHNSTON
(NYT)
              The gap between rich and poor has grown into an
               economic chasm so wide that this year the richest 2.7
          million Americans, the top 1 percent, will have as many
          after-tax dollars to spend as the bottom 100 million.

          That ratio has more than doubled since 1977, when the top 1
          percent had as much as the bottom 49 million, according to
          new data from the Congressional Budget Office.

        In dollars, the richest 2.7 million people and the 100 million
          at the other end of the scale will each have about $620
        billion to spend, according to an analysis of the budget office
          figures.

          The analysis was done by the Center on Budget and Policy
          Priorities, a nonprofit organization in Washington that
          advocates Federal tax and spending policies that it says
          would benefit the poor.

          The analysis, released last night, seems certain to stoke the
          debate that is about to resume in Washington over projected
          Federal budget surpluses and possible tax cuts.

          The data from the budget office show that income disparity
          has grown so much that four out of five households, or
          about 217 million people, are taking home a thinner slice of
          the economic pie today than in 1977.

         When adjusted for inflation, as all of the income figures have
          been, these households' share of national income has fallen
          to just under 50 percent from 56 percent in 1977.

          But among the most prosperous one-fifth of Americans
          households, or about 54 million people, whose share of the
          national income grew, that fatter slice of the pie was not
          sliced evenly. More than 90 percent of the increase is going
          to the richest 1 percent of households, which this year will
          average $515,600 in after-tax income, up from $234,700 in
          1977.

          Since 1993, the economy has lifted the incomes of all of the
          income groups tracked by the budget office, but the incomes
          of the richest Americans are rising twice as fast as those of
          the middle class. In addition, the budget office figures
          understate the economic power of the richest 1 percent
          because they exclude deferred forms of income like
          restricted stock, which have grown rapidly in recent years as
          companies have expanded their pay plans from senior
          executives down to store and plant manager levels.

          Though the economic pie has grown over the past 22 years,
          the Congressional Budget Office data show that the poorest
          one-fifth of households have not shared in this bounty. The
          average after-tax household income of the poor, adjusted for
          inflation, has fallen 12 percent since 1977. So the poor not
          only have a small slice of a big economic pie, but the pie is
          bigger and their piece is even smaller.

          The poorest one-fifth of households will average $8,800 of
          income this year, down from $10,000 in 1977.

          Congressional Republicans have passed legislation to cut
         taxes by $792 billion over the next 10 years, legislation that
          President Clinton has promised to veto, saying it is
          imprudent and favors the rich.

          The Republicans say that a tax cut is justified because
          Federal tax revenue rose last year to 21.7 percent of the
          economy, the highest since World War II, and because the
          Congressional Budget Office anticipates surpluses as far into
          the future as its projections go.

          The Republicans acknowledge that most of their proposed
          tax cuts will go to taxpayers making $100,000 or more a
          year, but they say that since these high-income Americans
          pay 62 percent of Federal income taxes they should get most
          of the benefits of a tax cut.

         "The tax bill's benefits are roughly proportional to the taxes
          that each taxpayer pays," Bruce Bartlett, a Treasury official
          in the Reagan and Bush Administrations, has written.

          President Clinton, who says that budget surpluses may never
          materialize, wants to pay down the national debt before
          cutting taxes. He also says that a tax cut should not bestow
         the bulk of its benefits on the rich, and he wants part of any
          surplus to finance new programs.

          The budget and policy center's report says that one reason
        the rich are doing so well is the cumulative effect of tax cuts
          since 1977, when the top Federal income tax bracket was 50
          percent, compared with the current 39.6 percent.

          These tax cuts are worth an average of $40,000 this year to
          each of the slightly more than one million households that
          make up the top 1 percent, said Robert Greenstein, executive
          director of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

          Internal Revenue Service tax return data, not cited in the
          center's report, show that two-thirds of Americans earned
          less than $40,000 in 1997.

          "Many Americans who make $80,000 a year, $100,000 or
          $120,000, think of themselves as middle class," Greenstein
      said, "but the fact is that while these people are not rich, they
          are also not in or even near the middle, which is only about
          $32,000 in after-tax income."

          Greenstein said that under the Republican tax cut plan the
          richest 1 percent of households would save an average of
          $32,000 more annually, once all of the proposed cuts were
          phased in.

          The budget and policy center has been sharply critical of the
          Republican tax cut plan and the idea that those who pay the
          most in taxes should get the biggest cuts.

          Isaac Shapiro, who wrote the report with Greenstein, called
          the proposed tax cut plan "wrongheaded" and unfair to both
          the poor and the middle class.

          Greenstein said he was pleased with one proposal in the
          Republican plan, a small expansion of the Earned Income
          Tax Credit, which allows low-income workers to collect up
       to $3,816 this year in refunds of their Social Security tax and
          a cash payment that is a form of negative income tax.

          A couple with two children does not pay any income tax
          until their income exceeds $28,000 this year.

          That expansion was proposed despite intense criticism of the
          credit by leading Republicans, notably Representative Bill
          Archer, Republican of Texas and the chairman of the House
          Ways and Means Committee.

          Other data, not cited in the budget and policy center report,
          also show that the growth in incomes is mostly at the top of
          the income ladder.

          For example, 142,566 Americans reported $1 million or
          more of adjusted gross income for 1997, nearly two-thirds
          more than the 86,998 such taxpayers in 1995.

          Frank Levy, an economist at the Massachusetts Institute of
          Technology whose review of two books taking different
          tacks on the income gap appears in the current issue of the
          Harvard Business Review, said that the concentration of
          income growth at the top resulted largely from rules set by
          Congress.

          "Markets are obviously very important in the economy,"
          Professor Levy said, "but they are surrounded by a lot of
          rules -- rules about how easy it is organize unions and how
       free trade is -- and those rules are determined by the political
          process and those rules right now are shaped by money"
          donated to political candidates.



                   Copyright 1999 The New York Times Company

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