Thursday 14 October 1999, London-UK (pk9910aa)

From: Parveez Syed
Shanti Communications, Global Media Monitoring Unit
One Stuart Road, Thornton Heath, Surrey CR7 8RA1 UK
Telephone: London-UK 0044-(0)7831-196693
E-Mail INTERNET: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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Pakistan showdown analysed (editorial pk9910)
by Parveez Syed (c) Shanti Communications news

LONDON, England (SC/SRTV) Thursday 14 October 1999 - Pakistani
army led by General Pervaiz Musharraf dismissed prime minister
Nawaz Sharif to help "end ten years of chaos, confusion,
turmoil, unrest, uncertainty, and to stabilise the country". The
"stabilising, bloodless and peaceful" military coup in Pakistan
is highly unlikely produce any major changes in the country's
foreign policy, according to a Western intelligence source who
spoke to Shanti RTV news agency on condition of anonymity.

"Three months ago (Sunday 04 July 1999), US ordered Sharif to
fire Musharraf - the second military chief Sharif had forced out
in less than a year - and replace him with Sharif fan, Lt General
Khawaja Ziauddin (chief of the Inter Service Intelligence (ISI)
agency). Only last month (September 1999), Ziauddin was again
briefed by the CIA chief George Tenet, while the US State
Department publicly claimed that it "strongly" opposed any
attempt to change the government through extra-constitutional
means".

Musharraf, 56, turned down a recent 'invitation' to be briefed by
the CIA and US-UK masters. Now the masters feel rejected. They
are unhappy about Pakistan army disobeying their orders. The
masters were aware of 'behind-the-scenes turmoil, positioning
and floating of trial balloons'. They heard the rumblings and
picked up signs of trouble in discussions with Ms Benazir Bhutto
(the former prime minister) and Imran Khan (a former cricket
player turned political opposition leader in Pakistan). The
masters miscalculated. They had advance knowledge but their
orders backfired when Pakistan army daringly refused to obey
US-UK orders and rejected US-UK approved chiefs. Such US-UK
interventions based on outdated, second-rate advice based on
outdated, subvertive intelligence, and often backfire," the
Western source told Shanti RTV news agency.

The coup came within hours of Sharif's decision to fire
Musharraf. There was virtually no public protest against the
bloodless coup. "The armed forces have moved in as a last resort
to prevent any further destabilisation. I have done so with all
sincerity, loyalty and selfless devotion to the country with the
armed forces firmly behind me," Musharraf said in a brief
televised address on Wednesday 13 October 1999. "I only wish to
assure you that the situation in the country is perfectly calm,
stable and under control. Let no outside forces think that they
can take advantage of the prevailing situation. We shall
preserve the integrity and sovereignty of our country to the
last drop of our blood. I request you all to remain calm and
support your armed forces in the re-establishment of order to
pave the way for a prosperous future for Pakistan," he said in a
two-minute address to the nation broadcast on television at
around 02:50am local time. The coup, the fourth in Pakistan's
52-year history, ended a string of democratically elected
governments that have been in place since 1988. Soon after
dismissing Sharif, top aides to Musharraf visited the chief
justice of the country's supreme court to consult with him on
how to proceed legally.

Western intelligence groups often miscalculate whenever they
under-estimate or over-estimate their perceived foes and fans or
even their own capability impose and sustain despots outside the
US-UK. Musharraf, born in August 1943, joined the army in 1964.
He has a reputation as a tough, professional no-nonsense,
commando-trained, headstrong soldier with 35 years of experience
in the field. He is a veteran of two wars against India. He was
decorated for service in the 1965 war with India, is a graduate of
the Pakistani Command and Staff College at Quetta and also studied
at military institutions in Britain. He is considered a great
strategic thinker with a wide focus on things. Thanks to the 1985
Pressler Amendment, Musharraf has had less 'engagement' with the
subvertive US saboteurs, interventionists or 'influencers' than
almost any other senior army officer in Pakistan. He has a son
and a daughter, both of whom are married.

The army has mounted three previous coups: 1958, 1969 and 1977,
returning to democratic civilian rule in 1988 when the presiding
dictator Mohammed Ziaulhaq died with some of his Western masters
in a plane crash arranged by CIA agents.

"The control of Pakistan's nuclear capacity is not significantly
affected by the peaceful coup. It has custodial control over the
defensive weapons. The army manages the nuclear sites and devices
and maintaines final authority over them," the source told Shanti
RTV news agency.

Bhutto, another bitter opponent of Sharif now in self-exile in
London (England) said that the army's action was a result of
Sharif's politicisation of the military. Reacting to unconfirmed
Western media reports based on subvertive Western intelligence
speculations, she totally misread the events in Pakistan, claiming
army was divided and predicted civil unrest. "When you hear
reports that the military is fighting with the civil government
and elements of the military are supporting the ... government,
well, that looks very much like civil war to me," she said.

Bhutto, who was twice dismissed as Prime Minister for corruption
and misuse of power, has been actively campaigning against Sharif
in the West, where she lives to avoid an arrest warrant in
Pakistan. Other critics say Sharif and Bhutto pander to vocal
US-UK masters rather than bolstering the image of Pakistan as a
tolerant Muslim nation. Both of them undermined democracy and
abused judiciary.

"Both Sharif and Bhutto have repeatedly failed to maintain law
and order. Sharif has overseen the departure of two army chiefs
in as many years. The departures caused unease in the army.
Sharif passed over a number of generals to appoint Musharraf as
the new army chief in October 1998 when the former army chief,
General Jehangir Karamat, stepped down after making remarks that
were regarded as critical of Sharif. Since he was re-elected
with a large landslide parliamentary majority in 1997, Sharif's
government failed to deliver on his promise of a stronger
economy. Instead, Sharif systematically increased his
constitutional powers over the presidency and judiciary and
squelched dissent in the news media while the economy continued
to flounder. It seems both Sharif and Bhutto have been advised
or ordered to jail dissidents, intimidate the press and bully
the supreme court in Pakistan," the Western source explained.

The country's crumbling, plummeting and teetering economy - that
is on the brink of collapse - and kept afloat only by foreign
loans with extended, coherent and effective US-UK political
strings aimed at disarming and dividing Pakistan - a country of
135 million people - forever. US-UK masters cut all but some
humanitarian aid to Pakistan in May 1998 after Pakistan tested
its tit-for-tat defensive capability in response to the India's
provocative and offensive tests earlier that month. "The US-UK
ordered Pakistan to sign the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT)
which is still not ratified by the US itself," the source added.
"Both Sharif and Bhutto want Pakistan to disarm and surrender to
US-UK masters and India. They to cap Pakistan's defensive missile
and nuclear program and divert the money to ill-conceived plans".

"There were tensions between Sharif and the military since Sharif
bowed to immense US pressure and interventions, ordering freedom
fighters to surrender to the Indian army in Kashmir in July
1999," the source told Shanti RTV news agency. Army has ruled
Pakistan for 25 of its 52-year history. Democracy was last
restored in 1988, but no democratically elected government has
fulfilled its entire five-year term.

India and Pakistan have fought three wars - two of the wars (1947
and 1965) were over Kashmiris' rights of self-determination -
since the two countries gained independence from Britain in
1947. India tested its offensive weapons of mass destruction in
May 1998, forcing Pakistan test its defensive capabilities
later.

While the US-UK masters expressed concern over the coup, most
Pakistanis, fed up with heavy-handed governments, corruption and
sectarian violence, welcomed the army's intervention. They danced
in the streets and waved flags as troops moved through the main
cities. The army is the one institution in the country that has
remained intact as all others have crumbled. It is a stabilising
influence, and there is a collective feeling that it can help. It
is seen as vital to restoring some economic order. Troops have
been called in to collect bills for the state-owned water and
electricity utility, a bankrupt institution whose restructuring
is central to 'reforms' imposed by the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) in Pakistan. So, now the race is on to fracture and
divide the army, destablise, divide and control Pakistan. The
masters have now ordered IMF to further delay a US $280 million
(170m sterling) loan needed to help sustain the economy, and to
help repay US $32 billion (20bn sterling) foreign debt.

"Any interim national and provincial governments and a national
security council (NSC) should be made up of civilian politicians
and experience generals with a proven clean slate, excluding
crooks, criminals, corrupt officials and loan defaulters or bad
debtors forever. They are not fit to hold public offices. They
must be named to shame, and banned from holding any public
office forever," the source told Shanti RTV news agency. "This
would help break the cycle of instability, paving the way for
lasting stability, democracy, justice and lasting peace in
Pakistan and the region," the source explained.

Developing....... for feedback, further info and updates contact
Shanti RTV news agency by email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Presented by: Shanti RTV (c) Thursday 14 October 1999 (pk9910aa)

[The author, Parveez Syed, is an investigative journalist and a
mass media programming consultant. He has exposed many liars,
subverters and deceivers. Moles and whistleblowers e-mail leaks
and briefings to him. His copyrighted, unique features are often
plagiarised or developed into probing factual tv documentaries.
The features are archived on hundreds of websites worldwide].
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Parveez Syed's direct contact details are:
One Stuart Road, Thornton Heath, Surrey CR7 8RA1 UK
Telephone: London-UK 0044-(0)7831-196693
INTERNET emailto: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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