-Caveat Lector-

Dave Hartley
http://www.Asheville-Computer.com
http://www.ioa.com/~davehart



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NY Times October 28, 1999

U.S. to Aid Iraqi Opposition to Develop a Military Cadre

      By STEVEN LEE MYERS
WASHINGTON -- The Administration has authorized the first direct military
training for opponents of President Saddam Hussein of Iraq, senior
officials said Wednesday.

Starting next week, four Iraqi rebel leaders, including two former
officers in Iraq's armed forces, will attend a 10-day training course at
the Air Force's special-operations headquarters in Florida, where American
officials will school them on how to organize a military in an emerging
state. Other courses are being prepared.

The Administration has also approved its first contribution of surplus
Pentagon equipment intended to help foster the overthrow of President
Hussein, offering the main Iraqi opposition groups $2 million worth of
office supplies.

While the initial assistance is modest -- and, the officials emphasized,
"nonlethal" -- it reflects the sharp shift in policy toward overt support
of what amounts to an insurgency against Hussein's Government. In that
sense, it recalls American support in the 1980's for the contra rebels in
Nicaragua and for the mujahedeen guerrillas who resisted the Soviet
invasion of Afghanistan.

The training and equipment, which includes computers, fax machines and
file cabinets, represent the first portion of $97 million in aid
authorized by Congress last year to bolster the fractious groups intent on
deposing President Hussein.

"The notion here is to help people associated with the opposition to think
about a plan for the country after Saddam Hussein," a military official
who has worked closely with the Iraqi opposition said Wednesday.

Ever since four days of American and British air strikes against Iraq last
December, the Administration has openly stepped up contacts with Iraqi
opposition leaders. So far, those efforts appear to have had little impact
on dissent inside Iraq, and officials at the Pentagon, in particular,
remain deeply skeptical of the viability of Hussein's opponents.

The Administration, however, has been under increasing pressure from
Republicans and even some Democrats in Congress to do more to support the
opposition with equipment and possibly arms.

Representative Benjamin A. Gilman of New York, the Republican chairman of
the House International Relations Committee, today accused the
Administration of having "a lethargic approach" and called for more
significant assistance.

"I can't imagine that Saddam Hussein would be worried about being
overthrown by Iraqi exiles trained in civil affairs brandishing fax
machines," Gilman said.

Iraqi opposition leaders, however, strongly welcomed the support. Dr.
Salah A. Shaikhly, a spokesman for the Iraqi National Congress, a
coalition of exiles, said the equipment and training would be "vital to
our work in Iraq."

" 'Nonlethal' doesn't mean not useful inside Iraq," he said in an
interview today in Washington.

Administration and military officials said they hoped this first
installment would strengthen the credibility of the opposition.

The Administration made its decision on the eve of a large gathering of
opposition groups in New York City this weekend. They are looking to the
gathering as a chance to forge a unified front against President Hussein,
something that has been sorely lacking because of infighting among his
many opponents.

"The United States Government wants to hear from a unified Iraqi popular
leadership just how it can proceed to support the people of Iraq in
promoting the change of regime, as it is the right of you, the Iraqi
people, to do," the Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs, Thomas
R. Pickering, wrote to the leaders of seven opposition groups on Monday.

The aid comes during a troubling period in the Administration's handling
of Iraq. There have been no inspections of Iraq's reported nuclear,
chemical and biological weapons programs since the Government expelled
United Nations inspectors 15 months ago, leading to the punitive attacks
in December. And while the Administration says Hussein remains isolated,
diplomatic efforts to set up a new inspection system, as called for under
the terms of the cease-fire that ended the gulf war in 1991, have
foundered.

Senior Pentagon officials also fear that Iraq has quietly rebuilt much of
what American and British warplanes destroyed in December, including
missile factories. And while American and British jets patrolling
no-flight zones over Iraq regularly attack Iraqi air-defense sites,
including a strike today against missile sites in northern Iraq, those
attacks have not put an end to President Hussein's defiance nor eroded his
grip on power.

In the absence of significant diplomatic progress, the main focus of
Administration policy on Iraq has become fomenting opposition inside and
outside the country.

The first military training will take place at Hurlburt Field, near
Pensacola, where the four Iraqis will attend a regular Air Force course
for officers from Arab and Central Asian countries. Officials emphasized
that the course does not include combat training.

The Administration and Iraqi opposition groups declined to identify the
four Iraqis. "They are going to go back into Iraq," Dr. Shaikhly said. "We
don't want Saddam Hussein to know who they are."

The four include a former captain and a former major in the Iraqi armed
forces who defected after the gulf war and took part in the failed
uprisings that followed. The other two also took part in those uprisings
and are now civilian members of opposition groups.

While the Pentagon provides training to scores of officers from around the
world, it is highly unusual to offer courses to people who are not backed
by sovereign governments. The officials said they expected to offer space
to more Iraqis in other Pentagon courses.

They also said they are considering additional equipment, including
communications gear. While the Central Intelligence Agency has provided
covert support to Iraqi dissidents in the past, this is the first overt
military assistance.

Administration officials said they had not ruled out providing weapons,
but they said they want to move slowly to be sure that Hussein's opponents
build a viable foundation before attempting a military challenge.

"We have not ruled out future lethal assistance," the State Department's
spokesman, James P. Rubin, said today. "But at this time we believe that
providing such assistance would do more harm to the Iraqi opposition than
to the regime."

The wariness reflects the history of infighting among the opposition
groups, which include Kurdish factions in northern Iraq, Shiite rebels in
southern Iraq and exile groups like the Iraqi National Congress, which is
based in London.

While the groups share the objective of overthrowing Hussein, they have
been torn by their own rivalries. What unity did exist collapsed
completely in 1996, when Iraqi forces pushed into northern Iraq on behalf
of one Kurdish faction, the Kurdistan Democratic Party, fighting another,
the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan. That operation also allowed President
Hussein's forces to crush a cell of dissidents supported by the C.I.A.

Administration officials said they welcomed the groups' progress in
renewing the common cause.

"They started near zero," a senior Administration official said. "A year
ago there were only the remnants of the Iraqi National Congress, and those
remnants could not and would not meet with each other. They've come a long
way from that point."
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