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Date sent:              Fri, 19 Nov 1999 15:44:59 -0500

The DLC Update                 Friday, November 19, 1999
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Discuss the Idea of the Week at the DLC Idea Exchange at
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***Idea of the Week: T-Visas***

There are currently an estimated 346,000 American job
vacancies for computer programmers, systems analysts, and
computer scientists or engineers.  These core information
technology occupations are central to the New Economy, and
to the productivity gains and economic growth it is driving.
Yet every year many thousands of foreign students earn
advanced degrees from U.S. universities in fields related to
these occupations and then go home because their student
visas run out.
     Under current law, the only visa you can get for
skilled work in the United States is the H-1B visa, available
not just to high-tech professionals but to a wide variety of
skilled occupations, including pastry chefs, physical
therapists, and even fashion models.  These visas are capped
at levels well below the demand from U.S. employers.  Last
year, Congress temporarily raised the H-1B cap after urgent
requests from technology companies, and also made a small
down payment on building up the skills of American citizens
by endowing regional skills alliances and other training
efforts.
      Now New Democrat Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-CA) and
Sen. Chuck Robb (D-VA) have introduced bills to address the
tech-shortage issue more systematically. Lofgren's BRAIN
Act (HR 2687), and Robb's HITEC Act (S 1645), would
create a "T-Visa"--a new category separate from the models
and the pastry chefs, aimed at temporarily recruiting highly
paid and skilled tech professionals trained at U.S. universities.

     Under both bills, T-Visas would be available only to
graduates in science and engineering programs filling jobs
paying more than $60,000.  Most ingeniously, the bills would
require that employers hiring T-Visa holders pay a fee of
$1,000 per year, with the proceeds used to fund science and
technology training efforts for U.S. citizens from kindergarten
through high school.  Both bills would sunset the T-Visa
system in five years, so that Congress could then determine if
U.S. citizens are able to fill more of the demand for critical
technology skills.
     Robb's bill limits T-Visas to those holding graduate
degrees--where dependence on foreign students is especially
high--and would use the "challenge grant" approach of
regional training alliances (RSAs) to distribute the fees, with
the federal government partnering with industry and
educational institutions in training efforts. (For more on
RSAs, see the Idea of the Week from February 6, 1998, at
http://www.dlcppi.org/fax/1998/980206.htm.)
     The T-Visa is an excellent plan for "lifting the cap" of
immigration restrictions on critical professions, while "filling
the gap" of skilled Americans. Lofgren and Robb's bills
should be high on Congress' agenda next year.

***Deal of the Decade***

Last week, U.S. trade officials announced the culmination of
13 years of negotiations to open China to U.S. goods,
services, and investment.  In a deal to secure U.S. support for
China's accession to the World Trade Organization, China
made a wide variety of concessions on tariffs, non-tariff trade
barriers, distribution rights, foreign investment, financial and
insurance services, and "transparency" and monitoring of its
commercial behavior.  The United States made no
concessions, other than agreeing to continue on a permanent
basis our current policy of offering China Normal Trade
Relations.  It's good news for the businesses, farmers, and
workers who will begin to benefit from new markets almost
immediately, and even better news for those interested in
bringing this emerging superpower into a rules-based system
of trade.
     That is why we are concerned at signs that a variety of
forces on the left and right are indicating they will pressure
Congress to kill the deal of the decade by voting down NTR
next year. Some opponents think the United States should
refuse to do business with China unless it halts its human
rights abuses and essentially changes its political system.
Others want to isolate China as a potential threat to U.S.
security interests in the Pacific.  We are especially
disappointed that the AFL-CIO issued a strident statement
denouncing the deal as an act of submission to China and a
betrayal of the Clinton Administration's policy of making
workers' rights a subject of discussion in the WTO.
     It's pretty hard to see how a deal in which the other
side makes all the concessions represents submission. It's also
hard to identify a better strategy for encouraging civilized
behavior by China than to bring it into the circle of civilized
nations, where its conduct can be monitored, evaluated, and
sanctioned.
     But more to the point, killing NTR now would not
keep China out of the WTO or hurt its economy: It would
simply deny Americans the benefits of their concessions, even
as other countries reap them. A more classic example of
"cutting off one's nose to spite one's own face" is hard to
imagine.
     For further information about the DLC's work on
trade and the WTO, please visit our web site at
http://www.dlc.org/trade/issues.htm.

***Back to the 80s?***

In an interview with the Washington Post, Donna Brazile,
Vice President Al Gore's campaign manager, explained the
Veep's nomination strategy as focused on identifying with,
energizing, and mobilizing seven distinct constituency groups.
"The four pillars of the Democratic Party are African
Americans, labor, women and what I call other ethnic
minorities," she said.  "The emerging constituencies are
environmentalists, gays and lesbians, and those with physical
disabilities." This is why, Brazile explained, Gore has been
spending so much time at events tailored to such
constituencies.
     This "base constituency group" strategy was central to
the failed Democratic presidential campaigns of the 1980s.
By contrast, the Clinton-Gore victories in 1992 and 1996
focused on a broad message based on common values and
new ideas that appealed both to the "base" and to the swing
voters who usually decide elections. This idea--and--value
based strategy is increasingly well-suited for the politics of
the Information Age.
     Some might say that a candidate like Gore can pursue
the "base constituency group" strategy to win the nomination,
and then "pivot" to a broader appeal to swing voters later on.
But as the Mondale and Dukakis campaigns showed,
constituency group campaigning can alienate the excluded
swing voters, who typically dislike the narrow and divisive
orthodoxies of the left and the right, long before the candidate
gets around to thinking about November. And in 2000, unlike
1996, it's reasonably clear the Republican nominee will be
fighting for those swing voters from the get-go.
     Even from the mechanical, add-up-the-voters point of
view (which grossly oversimplifies the extent to which actual
voters are motivated by group identity), Ms. Brazile's analysis
falls short by ignoring young voters, "wired workers,"
upwardly mobile suburbanites, and political independents.
These are voters who were crucial to the 1992 and 1996
victories, to Democratic House gains in 1996 and 1998, and
to recent Democratic comebacks in regions previously
dominated by Republicans.  They also happen to be areas of
the Democratic electorate where Gore's rival for the
nomination, Bill Bradley, is doing very well.
     We hope Donna Brazile's sketch of the "pillars" of
Democratic strength does not represent the genuine blueprint
for the Vice President's campaign.

***Breakthrough on Federal Education Aid***

This week Sen. Joe Lieberman (D-CT), flanked by Sen. Evan
Bayh (D-IN) and Reps. Cal Dooley (D-CA) and Joe Hoeffel
(D-PA), formally unveiled his legislation to reform federal
education programs, the Public Education Reinvestment,
Reinvention, and Rededication Act.  This "Three Rs"
embodies three key initiatives: real accountability for using
federal funds to improve student achievement in
poor-performing public schools; greater flexibility in how
these funds are administered, through consolidation of dozens
of programs into broad, performance-based grants; and better
targeting of funds to the disadvantaged kids and poor schools
that really need federal assistance.  The "Three Rs" approach,
based on a policy developed by the Progressive Policy
Institute, offers the most fundamental restructuring of federal
education policy since 1965, and a potential vehicle for a
bipartisan breakthrough next year.   For more on this, visit our
web site at
http://www.dlcppi.org/texts/social/education/liebersc.htm.

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