-Caveat Lector-

I hope Saddam doesn't get too angry and take it out on you guys. N.

Fri 03 December 1999  Home  News  Year 2000  Story

'Great Satan' Behind Y2K Woes
06:45AM Wed Nov 24 1999 NZDT
Jonathan Lyons
TEHRAN, Iran (Reuters) - Iran's 20-year-old breach with the United States
has come back to haunt it in the form of the Y2K computer bug, a legacy of
Western technological domination.

Islamic Iran's unique solar calendar may say the year is 1378 but it must
grapple with the feared aftereffects of a Western computer shortcut timed to
the start of the next Christian millennium.

Experts worry that an old method of recording dates on software and chips
controlling electronic systems could go haywire when clocks strike midnight
Dec. 31. Most at risk, say Iranian engineers, is the large base of aging US
technology, largely dating back to before the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

Much of it involves so-called embedded systems, monitors and controllers
largely hidden from view and long-forgotten. The lack of ties with
Washington and the strict US technology embargo against Iran mean experts
here are engaged in a game of hide-and-seek -- often without a map.

Some foreign vendors have gone out of business, abandoned old product lines
or are simply unable to meet all requests for help from their customers.

Most other developing countries face similar challenges. But technology
sanctions imposed by the United States, routinely denounced here as the
Great Satan, have added an extra challenge to Iran's Y2K effort.

``We received a letter from the telecoms ministry that they were looking for
some information from Hughes company ... to tell them whether they are
Y2K-compliant or not,'' Mohammad Sepehri-rad, Iran's Y2K coordinator, told
Reuters. ``But they have not been successful in getting it.''

Sepehri-Rad, secretary of the High Council of Informatics, said similar
problems have been encountered at Iran's two newest oil refineries, which
have US-sourced equipment. ''None of our refineries, except two, has any
problem (because) they have no date-related embedded systems. There are only
two such refineries, one in Arak and one in Bandar Abbas.''

NO HELP AVAILABLE

Appeals to the US government and firms, passed through the United Nations,
have gone nowhere. ``I got word just a few days ago saying they have still
not been successful in getting any help. Even the United Nations cannot get
through,'' Sepehri-Rad said.

A spokesman for Hughes Electronics, a unit of General Motors, said the firm
had turned down an upgrade request for Iran relayed by INTELSAT, the global
satellite cooperative. The Y2K fixes were intended for Hughes' VSAT private
networks used by Iran's telecommunications authority and its central bank.

``We had to turn them down because that's not permitted under US
regulations,'' said Richard Dore, a spokesman in Los Angeles for Hughes
Electronics.

Despite these difficulties, Iranian experts are cautiously optimistic they
will manage the changeover to 2000. In fact, they say, the turmoil of the
1979 revolution, the 1980-1988 war with Iraq and general isolation from the
outside world have insulated Iran from some of the dangers of Y2K.

Iran suffered from a ``technology gap'' due to the revolution and the war,
said Parviz Naseri, a private Y2K consultant to the Iranian government. Many
of the oldest systems are less automated and thus less vulnerable, while the
most recent ones are already Y2K-ready, he said.

``Most technology is pre-1979, or very recent. Also, many of the features in
industrial process control, reliant on date and time, are not being used
here. In the power ministry we have examples of this. They have the
instruments but they have not used all the fully-automated features.''

Iran can also take comfort in the low-tech nature of banking, government
services and most industry.

Even the US embargo has had a bright side: Forced to rely on their own
devices, many state organizations wrote their own programs from scratch,
basing them on the Iranian calendar.

Where old IBM mainframes were involved, they have been traded for newer
models or third-party solutions. Desktop PCs have been upgraded, or swapped
to noncritical uses.

``In our view, only 10 percent of the difficulty lies in IT (Information
Technology). It is a problem, it is being treated, and it has been mainly
solved,'' Naseri said.

Iran's main air traffic control system has been certified Y2K compliant by
international experts. And foreign military attaches say they are satisfied
with the safety of Iran's missiles and other advanced weaponry.

Boeing and Airbus, chief suppliers to Iran Air, have guaranteed their
aircraft as ready. But doubts remain about the Russian-built marine fleet.
As a precaution, the oil ministry has ordered all liquid fuel tanks at
Iran's power plants, which generally run on natural gas, to be filled ahead
of Jan. 1.

Health workers are concerned that some high-tech medical devices may
stumble, a fear common to many countries. And banks plan to print all
customers' balances just ahead of Jan. 1, in case their systems fail.

For his part, Y2K guru Sepehri-Rad is confident Iran is as prepared as it
can be for what is, in the final analysis, a largely unpredictable event.
Still, he says Iran might declare Jan. 1, normally a working day, a holiday
just this once.

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