-Caveat Lector-

  http://twa800.com/news/ww11-15-99.htm
Going After Boeing

Washington Weekly – November 15, 1999

By EDWARD ZEHR

The Seattle Times recently took the Boeing company to task for engaging in "a quiet 
pursuit of far-fetched theories" regarding the crash of TWA Flight 800 in 1996 It 
seems that the company incurred the stern disapproval of the newspaper which noted 
that "Boeing has actually refused to rule out a bomb or missile in the July 1996 TWA 
crash." How gauche of Boeing not to snap to attention, click heels and salute smartly 
when the government barks an order. Once more our vaunted "free" press show themselves 
to be the government's obedient, fawning bootlickers. (With a few honorable 
exceptions, such as the Riverside Press-Enterprise, which reported on the glaring 
discrepancies in the government's account of the crash early on).

With all possible due deference to the editorial writers at the Seattle Times, who 
seem to have bestowed themselves honorary qualifications as aerospace experts almost 
as freely as Oxford cloaked its errant, one-time scholar, Bill Clinton, with an 
honorary doctorate as a consolation
prize for the one he failed to earn as a student there, what actual qualifications do 
they have to utter definitive opinions on so technical a subject? Do they really 
imagine that they are better qualified than Boeing's engineers to understand the 
subject matter? Ah, but Boeing has a vested interest in avoiding possible liability 
for the crash -- they are being sued by family members of some of the crash victims. I 
might add that an inveterate, kneejerk-liberal rag such as the Seattle Times also has 
a vested interest in covering up possible malfeasance by Clinton administration 
officials who have played fast and loose with the crash investigation from the very 
outset.

According to the November 8 Progressive Review, Boeing is presently "conducting 
chemical metallurgical tests, [and] reviewing FBI interviews with witnesses, many of 
whom saw something apparently streaking towards the plane before the crash."

Yes, it would be nice to know why more than a hundred eyewitnesses saw something 
streaking towards the plane just before the crash if, in fact, nothing was streaking 
towards the plane -- you know, abstruse technical considerations such as that.

Occasionally I get e-mail from people who wish to know why I sometimes inject 
psychological considerations into my commentary. The answer is, I do it because our 
present political dementia cannot be fully explained using logical considerations 
alone. I would cite, for example, the low comedy of hardcore administration supporters 
on Usenet (sort of the low-rent district of Internet) trying desperately to make sense 
of the fantasy leaked by government "investigators" to their pals in the mainstream 
media. The hallucination in question had to do with an "explanation" of the light seen 
streaking up toward the aircraft as streams of fuel from the plane's ruptured tanks 
which were somehow ignited and burned from the bottom up, appearing to those on the 
ground as the glow of a missile streaking up towards the plane.

Now, anyone who would believe so preposterous an "explanation" as that must have 
flunked high school physics. (Who takes physics in high school any more? It's far too 
difficult for the little sweethearts -- that's why our engineering and physical 
science graduate schools are chock-a-block with foreign students these days). Not that 
there is anything particularly technical about this issue. Even an individual so 
technically dim as a mainstream anchor person should be able to understand it, 
although none of them seemed to get it. Anyone with so much as half a brain and a 
smidgen of common sense ought to be able to figure out that fuel ejected into the  
atmosphere from a ruptured tank at hundreds of miles per hour is going to atomize and 
vaporize, not fall towards earth in neat little stream while trailing along behind the 
aircraft at full speed like a faithful little puppy dog. How did the Times 
characterize Boeing's investigation -- "a quiet pursuit of far-fetched theories"? I !
wonder if their editorial writers are familiar with the Arab expression, "to strain at 
a gnat and swallow a camel"?

As a one-time aerospace engineer with 35 years of experience, I guess the thing that 
bothers me most about TWA-800 is the number of aerospace professionals who simply do 
not believe the government's version of the mishap. Unfortunately, the writers at the 
Seattle Times seem to lack the intellectual honesty and personal integrity to 
acknowledge this, although they are certainly in a position to know about it. Instead 
of seeking the truth, they set about disinforming the public using snide innuendo, 
unsupported by verifiable facts, shrill name-calling (e.g. "paranoid conspiracy 
theorists") and very little else. All of this is done in pursuit of a smelly little 
hidden agenda which these "journalists" are too dishonest to acknowledge. I wonder if 
they really understand how ugly a picture they are painting of themselves?


I have talked to airline captains who regard the government's version of the TWA-800 
mishap as utter nonsense. One of these pilots told of the many takeoffs he had made 
from Saudi Arabia under temperature conditions far more stringent than those 
experienced by the TWA aircraft at JFK on the evening of the crash. This pilot 
reckoned that if the Boeing 747 did indeed have a design flaw such as the one 
postulated by government investigators he would have died a hundred deaths. Be that as 
it may, there is only one recorded instance of a heavy Boeing commercial aircraft 
having a fuel tank explosion in flight and that one was using highly volatile military 
aviation fuel. Thus, on a purely statistical basis, the probability of the 
government's explanation of the mishap being correct is vanishingly remote. And yet 
the technological dumbbells at the Seattle Times have the temerity to demand that we 
all bow low to the government's dubious decree. That is what one expects of people who 
a!
re guided by illogical motives of which they seem blissfully unconscious.

In a recent interview, former Navy Commander Bill Donaldson, who has investigated the 
TWA-800 crash for two years on behalf of the Associated Retired Aviation 
Professionals, noted that 26 other transport aircraft worldwide have been shot down 
"by a man-portable anti-aircraft missile." Thus there is nothing the least bit unique 
in the concept that the TWA flight was intercepted by such a missile. It was well 
within range of some of the more advanced shoulder-fired anti-aircraft weapons, and 
the eyewitness sightings are consistent with such a
missile being fired at the aircraft. A Lufthansa cargo jet was fired at with such a 
weapon in September, near Karachi airport in Pakistan.

But gosh, that doesn't jibe with the official version of events. Doesn't that mean 
that Donaldson must be a "paranoid conspiracy theorist"? Bill Donaldson is a retired 
Navy pilot with "more than 24 years of experience in virtually all phases of naval 
aviation." Among his other qualifications, Donaldson lists "graduation from the Navy's 
Postgraduate Aviation Safety School in Monterey, California, where I completed the 
long course in aviation safety and crash investigation. I have served as a safety 
officer and crash investigator at both the Squadron and Air Wing levels, and was 
qualified as a maintenance check pilot in six models of prop and jet aircraft Also, I 
am a qualified air traffic controller and served for two years as a Carrier Controlled 
Approach Officer." I would be interested to know what the technical qualifications of 
the editorial staff at the Seattle Times are to address this subject with such implied 
omniscience. If, as I suspect, they have none, I wonder wheth!
er they have ever bothered to get the opinions of people with the technical expertise 
to speak knowledgeably on the subject. If not, what qualifies them to hurl 
unsupported, puerile insults at people who do have the technical expertise to address 
the subject? Is this something
they were instructed to do in the PC playbook? The problem with too many "journalists" 
today is that they are mal-educated, indoctrinated, opinionated far beyond their 
ability to comprehend and sorely lacking intellectual integrity.

Commander Donaldson recently gave interviewer John F. McManus his own version of the 
TWA-800 crash:

      "I believe that a shoulder-launched missile was fired from a small boat 
positioned less than three nautical miles to the southeast of the aircraft. The 
missile punched through the underside of the aircraft at a point where the left wing 
meets the fuselage. Its warhead, a type that explodes immediately after impact, 
penetrated approximately three additional feet into the six-foot-deep tank of fuel in 
that wing.

      The resulting explosion caused a massive over-pressurization of all three 
left-wing tanks blowing open the top skin of the wing. The explosion also impacted the 
empty center fuel tank, resulting in a secondary fuel/air explosion under and in that 
center tank. All of this led to catastrophic failures of the nose, tail, and left 
wing. The plane's pieces, plus the passengers and crew, then plunged into the sea in 
about 30 seconds."

Donaldson characterized the FBI's investigation as a "token effort," noting that his 
own investigation located 20 eyewitnesses the FBI had not even interviewed. Donaldson 
claims that, "Some of these persons were critically important eyewitnesses, people who 
were in boats and were first on the scene and who claim to have seen other suspicious 
boats in the area."

The Commander also noted that the FBI had the Navy's China Lake [California] Naval Air 
Weapons facility study recovered debris from the crash -- until the Navy experts 
recommended that missiles be fired into 747 fuel tanks in an effort to replicate the 
damage patterns observed in
the debris. At that point the FBI quickly terminated its investigation.

The CIA even got into the act with an animated cartoon purporting to show what 
happened to the aircraft after "the fuel tank exploded." It was laughed out of court 
by aviation professionals, and I shouldn't wonder. The CIA version claimed that the 
aircraft climbed 3,000 feet after the nose fell off.

Intrigued by the notion, I ran some numbers on it and even did a small rudimentary 
flight simulation that indicated the aircraft might have ballooned less than a 
thousand feet, using the most favorable assumptions. Yes, I used to do aircraft 
simulations professionally back in the days before Pontius was a pilot (as they used 
to say in the RAF). Those were the days before you could buy one off the shelf at 
Toys-R-Us, which is to say sometime before the Flood.

I am told that another engineer ran some numbers that indicate the aircraft might have 
climbed a bit more than a thousand feet. (Simulating the flight of aircraft that are 
disintegrating is not a very exact science). I bent over backwards to make my 
assumptions conservative, which is what any engineer would do. Nevertheless a lot of 
people assume that I cooked the figures. Let them assume what they will, I can assure 
you that  there is no way anybody, using reasonable assumptions, could massage those 
numbers enough to get that aircraft up by anything like 3,000
feet in its lugubrious condition. The CIA cartoon show was sheer fantasy.

I am also told that the altitude estimates were based on radar data rather than flight 
dynamics considerations. If so, it is possible that the data is spurious. This sort of 
thing is not unknown -- radar sometimes shows things that aren't there. For example, 
the flight data recorder recovered
from the Egypt Air Flight 990 crash site does not confirm previously described radar 
data. (An ominous report surfaced on Friday that fisherman close to the site where the 
crash occurred heard two loud "booms" just before the aircraft plunged into the sea. 
I'll get to that another time).

Commander Donaldson conducted his own tests on the Jet-A fuel used by TWA-800. He 
maintains that you can't even light it with a match unless it is heated to at least 
127 deg F. In 1997 he extracted some fuel from a 747 whose engines had been running 
for about the same length
of time as those of TWA-800 when the mishap occurred. The fuel's temperature was only 
68 deg F. Donaldson described what he did next:

      "Then, I took the fuel home, poured some into a pan sitting in my outdoor 
barbecue, and placed three lighted fireplace matches into the pool of fuel. The 
matches went out! Yet this is the fuel that, under the very same temperature 
conditions, supposedly exploded because of some mysterious spark and brought the plane 
down. Impossible! Even if you heat the fuel beyond 127 and stick a match in it, you'll 
get fire but no explosion."

The point of the exercise is that commercial aviation fuel is designed to burn in the 
engine, not in the tank. The government's explanation of a "fuel tank explosion" is a 
real stretch. If there were even a remote possibility of this happening there should 
have been a lot more such incidents
considering the number of 747 takeoffs there have been under far more adverse 
conditions.

A telling point was made when James Sanders, who was criminally prosecuted by the 
government for helping to expose the fraudulent nature of the mishap investigation, 
was allowed to photograph the debris of TWA-800 in preparing his defense. At 
Donaldson's request, Sanders "took close-up photos of the area where the left side 
wing fuel tank meets the fuselage, and the underneath part of the fuselage below the 
center fuel tank. It is here in this tank that the government said the crippling 
explosion took place."

Guess what? One of Sanders' photos showed the bottom of the center fuel tank to be 
"domed upward 14 inches" If the fuel tank had simply exploded as the government 
maintains, "that metal surface should be domed downward, the result of an explosion 
inside the tank," said Donaldson quite plausibly. Which raises an exceedingly 
troubling question: has the government told us the truth about what its investigators 
have found in the debris? Seen in this light, the inane prattle of the Seattle Times 
editorial writers pales into insignificance. Those guys really don't know anything -- 
they talk just to hear their own words reverberate in the hollow round of their skulls.

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