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</A> -Cui Bono?-

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Peace at any cost is a prelude to war!

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Clinton Countdown

Today is February 2, 2000.  There are only 353 days remaining in the Clinton
presidency.

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Money Can’t Buy Ya Love

There’s just no way for the George W. Bush campaign to spin the New Hampshire
primary results in a positive light.  Bottom line:  He got hisself a
whuppin’.  After a not-so-impressive “win” in Iowa, the
$60-million-dollar-man got his clock cleaned by Sen. John McCain in the
nation’s first primary, 47-31 percent.

But it was even worse than that.  Add in the number of voters who also
rejected Dubya by voting for Steve Forbes, Alan Keyes or Gary Bauer, and well
over 2/3 of the vote went against the anointed “establishment” candidate.
Granted, some of McCain’s support came from non-Republican independent
voters.  But that, in itself, says something - that McCain can attract the
cross-over voters needed to win in November against Al Gore.

And make no mistake.  Al Gore WILL be the Democrat nominee.  He wants it BAD.
 He’s willing to say anything, do anything and be anything to win.  Heck, he
even stole a line from Ronald Reagan in his victory speech last night,
telling supporters, “You ain’t seen nothing yet.”  Yes, Al Gore is ready,
willing and able to rip his opponent’s lungs out to win the presidency - as
he’s proven with Bill Bradley.

Contrast that do-or-die spirit with the Bush track record in these GOP
primaries, and the whole rationale for the Bush anointment - that he’s the
one Republican who can win - vanishes.  If the election were held today, Gore
would have Dubya for lunch.  He just seems to want it more - and is willing
to fight, scratch, claw and kick for it.

On the other hand, Bush’s concession speech last night reminded us of that
lame GOP response to Bill Clinton’s State of the Union speech last week.
Wouldn’t surprise us if the same people wrote it (anybody know where Sig
Rogich is?).

And even though McCain isn’t perceived as a rock-solid conservative, Bush is
perceived as being part of the GOP congressional establishment that has caved
in and lost to Bill Clinton and Al Gore time after time over the past five
years - embarrassing and demoralizing the Republican base.  They just may
take their frustration and revenge out on Dubya, even if it means backing
someone not philosophically “pure”, such as John McCain.

And others - the crowd who were only backing Bush because they thought he was
the best candidate who could win - are having their confidence in that belief
stripped to the bone.  A significant number may begin deserting the S.S.
Dubya - the political Titanic II - and hop aboard the McCain Train.

Here’s the interesting development we’re waiting to see next.  Bauer is
toast
and should get out immediately.  What part of “no” doesn’t he understand?
Question is, will he dutifully follow suit and endorse Bush, like the other
drop-outs from the “establishment” - Quayle, Alexander, Kasich, Dole and
Hatch?

Steve Forbes is on life-support.  We love the guy, but reality is reality.
He hasn’t been able to throw a “hail Mary” and needs an absolute political
miracle to remain viable.  Not likely.  So who does he get behind?

Alan Keyes has actually exceeded everyone’s expectations and will likely stay
in the race.  We think that’s actually for the good.  He’ll keep Bush and
McCain honest in the subsequent debates and make sure neither strays too far
from the Constitution.  But if and when he ultimately does exit the race, who
does he throw his support to?

If the three of them - or really, any two of them - line up behind McCain, it
will completely take the wind out of George W’s sails as he tries to attack
McCain as not being Republican enough.

Here’s what has the GOP establishment in total panic mode right now:  Al Gore
is a much more formidable candidate than anyone expected ... and George W is
much less.  Strap yourselves in, boys and girls.  It’s gonna be a bumpy ride
to November!

*******************************************
Cock-a-doodle-do

“"When Bill Clinton and Al Gore try to claim credit for this (economic)
expansion, it's like the rooster taking credit for the dawn - and about as
believable as Al Gore's claim he invented the Internet."

- RNC Chairman Jim Nicholson, 2/1/00

*************************************************
Post SOTU Reaction

“Urggggg.  Regarding Rogich and the Republican response -- it sucked. Could
it have sounded any more like a Democrat OR a Democrat in drag -- which seems
to be where the Republicans are headed? Could Susan Collins have been any
more of a lifeless tree stump - making Al Gore look good by comparison?  My
dad is a big contributor to Republican causes, but he told me he has stopped
giving because he says they all look like the same Styrofoam cup at the
moment - plastic and mushy and not able to hold much.”

- GOP News & Views reader Diane Alden

*****************************************************
More Post-SOTU Analysis

“In response to the President’s lengthy State of the Union Address, the
Republicans dutifully sent out Senator Bill Frist from Tennessee and Senator
Susan Collins from Maine.  Collins started out well when she scored some big
points suggesting that the Republicans would again try to pass legislation to
eliminate the death tax... Unfortunately that’s all the good there was.
After brushing over winning messages like tax-cuts and missile defense,
Collins went on to talk about education while Frist, a medical doctor, spoke
about healthcare.  It appears that the majority party in the Congress thinks
it can score goals while playing defense.  Fearing that they will get
pummeled on healthcare and education, Collins and Frist were sent to try and
thwart the inevitable assault.  Too timid to propose an agenda the American
people can sink their teeth into - like capping all taxation at 25% of
personal income, individual tax-free Social Security Plus accounts,
restructuring the healthcare system, preserving America’s leadership role in
the world or keeping the Internet tax-free - the Republicans seem to have
chosen to clear the deck of issues and try to somehow sneak to victory.
Simply pointing out how bad the British healthcare system is or why David
Letterman would not have received by-pass surgery in Canada offers nothing in
terms of a positive solution to the high cost of prescription drugs,
insurance or long-term care. ... Republicans should not be afraid to talk
about issues, but they should talk about them in ways that Americans will
understand specifically how it will make their lives better. ... If they do
that we can beat political performers.  If on the other hand this election is
about small ideas and marginal changes, the President may yet save his
legacy.”

- Rick Tyler, “Max Tax News,” 1/28/00

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