China needs an enemy, expert says

United Press International - June 21, 2000 20:40

By ASHLEY BAKER



WASHINGTON, June 21 (UPI) - The Chinese Communist Party's
aggressive military buildup, like that of Nazi Germany and the
former Soviet Union, is fueled by their need to be seen as
fighting outside enemies, a China expert told lawmakers
Wednesday.

"China is carrying out a massive military buildup not because it
faces threats or dangers - it does not - but rather because it
remains a communist dictatorship and needs enemies," said Arthur
Waldron, a professor of international relations at the University
of Pennsylvania. "Absent some systematic change in China, we can
expect a steady level of military tension with Beijing with the
real possibility of a crisis."

Testifying before the House Armed Services Committee, Waldron
also cited the Chinese military's increasing importance in
domestic affairs, stating that it was "in the leadership's best
interest to give them what they want which is the best and most
advanced of everything."

The hearing on China's emerging military comes as allegations of
Chinese espionage at top secret U.S. weapon's labs, the bombing
of the Chinese embassy in Belgrade and possible arms sales to
Taiwan have driven U.S.-China relations to a three-decade low.

Waldron characterized hints by some policymakers that the United
States loosen ties with Japan so as to appease China "deeply
worrying."

"The pattern is so similar to what occurred before World War II:
the cutting of Japan's alliance with Britain, the substitution of
a weak miltilateral system (and) an international tilt toward
China," said Waldron.

Michael Pillsbury, an adjunct research associate at the National
Defense University, told lawmakers that U.S. concerns over China
are made worse by the intelligence community's relative
ignorance.

"Our government and universities invest very little in
understanding Chinese security issues, probably less than ten
percent of what is spent on analyzing the former Soviet Union,"
said Pillsbury. "Perhaps worst of all, our China specialists
disagree vehemently among themselves about what China's strategy
may be."


Copyright 2000 by United Press International. All rights
reserved.


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