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-----

Space Weapons


Everybody's Happy the Missile Missed


But you just wait till we spend a few more hundred billion dollars . . .

THE technical failure of a test of America's National Missile Defence system
was welcomed in London, Moscow and most of the world's other capitals
yesterday.

However, it has prompted a litany of soul-searching in Washington. Miles
above the Pacific Ocean, a ground-launched interceptor failed to separate
from its booster rocket and destroy an incoming dummy nuclear warhead early
on Saturday.

It had been designed to provide evidence that would ease a decision by
President Clinton this autumn on whether to order deployment of the NMD
system.

Whitehall officials admitted to profound relief at the failure of the
American test. They expected it to persuade the President to delay his
decision. Deployment would cause a deep split within Nato and raise a serious
threat to the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty which underpins nuclear arms
control.

But the relief may be short-lived. If Mr Clinton defers the decision to his
successor, the issue will become a subject of debate in the run-up to
November's presidential election. That means that sensitive strategic
decisions may well become straws in the wind of electioneering.

A former administration official said: "Anyone who thinks that having this
test go wrong was a good thing for world peace is deluding himself. It would
have been so much better to have this decided by someone, like the President,
who is not standing for office and can be genuinely statesmanlike."

Congress had set an extremely tight deadline on the NMD decision by its
bipartisan vote in 1998 to deploy such a defence against "rogue states"
following the test firing of a long-range missile by North Korea in August of
that year.

Intelligence reports in America concluded that Pyongyang would be technically
capable of launching an attack on America by 2005, meaning that building work
on radar sites for NMD would have to get under way by the end of this year.
British sources pointed out that the test failed despite efforts by the Pentag
on to "fix" it to ensure success. One source said: "This was not just a
failure. It was a failure in the most idealised conditions."

It is an open secret that there has been considerable disquiet within the
State Department, as well as in Whitehall, at the Pentagon's enthusiasm for a
project that would cause enormous diplomatic headaches, threaten all existing
arms control agreements and risk a rash of new arms races in return for an
expensive system that shows no sign of working. The consensus by foreign
affairs analysts remains that the threat of an attack by a "rogue state"
remains minimal and can be countered by conventional deterrence - the threat
of massive retaliation.

The only circumstances in which Britain would be relaxed about the NMD
proposal is if the Russians agreed to it. But at his first meeting with
Russia's President, Vladimir Putin, last month, Mr Clinton spent hours on the
issue yet made no headway.

George W Bush, the favourite to succeed Mr Clinton in the White House, would
like to see a considerably larger NMD than that proposed even if it meant
abandoning the ABM treaty. Meanwhile, Britain does not want to be forced to
choose between its American ally and its European partners, some of whom
oppose NMD on principle and all of whom oppose scrapping the ABM treaty.
The London Telegraph, July 10, 2000

-----
Aloha, He'Ping,
Om, Shalom, Salaam.
Em Hotep, Peace Be,
All My Relations.
Omnia Bona Bonis,
Adieu, Adios, Aloha.
Amen.
Roads End

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