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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!


                           Wednesday July 19 4:41 PM ET
                        US China-Russia Policy Questioned

                   By PAULINE JELINEK, Associated Press Writer

     WASHINGTON (AP) - The Clinton administration has become ``complacent and
         oblivious'' to China's growing military might and its burgeoning
      ``anti-American'' alliance with Russia, a congressional panel was told
                                    Wednesday.

     The testimony before the House Armed Services Committee came a day after
   Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese counterpart Jiang Zemin joined
     to condemn what they said were U.S. attempts to dominate world order and
                     pledged to stand against American power.

       ``The ... relationship and the new trends within it are sufficiently
   alarming and so increasingly and overtly opposed to vital U.S. military and
    political interests as to deserve our unflagging attention,'' said Stephen
    J. Blank of the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College.

          ``It is clear ... that this is fundamentally an anti-American
    relationship,'' he told the hearing into China's foreign policy, military
                 capabilities and view toward the United States.

      Other witnesses challenged the Clinton administration philosophy that
    China's growing economic prosperity will eventually erode communism there
                        and lead to more democratic ways.

   ``There is a dangerous complacency in these assumptions,'' said June Teufel
             Dreyer, University of Miami political science professor.

    ``Even if the People's Republic of China were to become a democracy, China
        would not necessarily become less of a threat to its neighbors.''

   China, said Richard Fisher, a fellow at the Jamestown Foundation think
tank,
      is pushing ``an ambitious modernization program'' designed to ``subdue
       Taiwan,'' then ``get military dominance in the great Asia-Pacific.''

     ``I am concerned that along with this increased military capability will
    come an increased willingness to use force in ways that directly threaten
    the United States and U.S. interests,'' said committee Chairman Rep. Floyd
                                D. Spence, R-S.C.

       Blank noted that Russia is already helping China prepare for such a
   confrontation in Taiwan, saying Russian-Chinese military transfers amount
to
                           more than $2 billion a year.

     ``Moscow is helping China build capabilities for conflict in the Taiwan
    strait, and these capabilities will be used to deter or confront us,'' if
                the United States comes to Taiwan's aid, he said.

   ``A confrontation with the United States in and around or over Taiwan is
the
     dominant scenario today in China's war planning and training,' he said.

   Ending a one-day summit Tuesday in Beijing, Putin and Jiang signed
documents
    criticizing the proposed U.S. national missile defense system and blasting
   ``hegemonism'' and attempts to interfere in countries' internal affairs.
The
   latter two statements were seen as veiled attacks on NATO, U.S. bullying
and
   last year's war on Yugoslavia, all of which have been criticized in the
past
                       by the two former communist rivals.

     After decades of tension that followed a falling-out in the late 1950s,
    relations between Moscow and China have been steadily improving since the
    late 1980s. Since the 1991 Soviet collapse, China has evolved into one of
   Russia's major trading partners and is the top customer for Russia's ailing
   military industrial complex. Beijing has purchased billions of dollars
worth
                  of jets, missiles, submarines and destroyers.

    ``One of the most distressing things about this Russo-Chinese relationship
       is the fact that the United States has been oblivious and complacent
                          concerning this,'' Blank said.

     The Pentagon has said that despite China's increasing preparations for a
   potential clash over Taiwan, Beijing is unlikely to attack the island
nation
    because the Chinese believe war would jeopardize their economic growth and
                                 world standing.

                                        -

                                   On the Net:

             Pentagon report on security situation in Taiwan Strait:
              http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/twstrait-02261999.html

                   State Department background notes on China:
           http://www.state.gov/www/background-notes/china-899-bgn.html




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