-Caveat Lector-

: The religious mind of Arafat

: By Zvi Barel


: Israel has adopted a convenient position regarding the violence in the
: territories: There are no such things as spontaneous riots; everything
: is
: planned and directed from above. According to this position, there is
: only
: one situation that deviates from the meticulous planning of the
: Palestinian
: Authority and that is when "matters get out of hand." In such a manner,
: Israel wishes to relinquish all responsibility for the reactions of the
: PA.But PA Chair Yasser Arafat did not ask for Ariel Sharon's visit to
: the
: Temple Mount and currently needs a military confrontation like a hole in
: the
: head. Experience has taught Arafat that such confrontations usually
: force
: him to toe the line with the more extreme elements in his camp. His
: control
: over the situation is now being put to the test, not only in the eyes of
: the
: Israelis, but mainly, from his point of view, in the eyes of those
: countries
: whose recognition he is seeking for a Palestinian state. Violent
: conflict
: unravels the unity of the Palestinian position, which Arafat has only
: managed to maintain with much effort.

: Nevertheless, at the present stage of the negotiations, the PA could not

: afford to ignore Sharon's official tour. Sharon's walkabout on the
: Temple
: Mount, escorted by Israeli security forces and passing without any
: reaction
: from the Israeli prime minister, was, according to the Palestinians,
: tantamount to the construction of another settlement, the opening of a
: tunnel or the expansion of a Jewish neighborhood in East Jerusalem - the

: establishment of a fact on the ground in a place where the facts are
: blurred
: and serve as stumbling blocks in the negotiations.

: In the eyes of the Palestinians, the fact that Israel - which has set
: itself
: an iron rule to prevent, even forcefully, any provocative visit to the
: Temple Mount - permitted Sharon's visit can mean only one thing. The PA
: clearly explained the consequences of this visit to Israeli
: representatives.

: The Temple Mount is not merely a political site waiting for a legal
: formula
: that would settle the question of sovereignty over the area. The Mount
: and
: its mosques are at the very heart of the Islamic faith and as such, they
: are
: the joint baby of the Palestinian Authority, the Islamic movements and
: all
: Islamic states - each one of which is laying claim to the site. In
: Arafat's
: view, his responsibility toward Israel on this matter is far less than
: his
: responsibility toward the Arab states and toward his civilian rule, in
: the
: face of the challenge posed to it by the Hamas and other extremist
: movements.

: Arafat's fear - which should be shared by anyone concerned about the
: future
: of the holy sites - is that if he fails in the diplomatic struggle over
: the
: Temple Mount, extremist Islamic elements will cash in on the situation,
: and,
: in the name of the struggle for the Temple Mount, they will take over
: the
: entire peace process as well.

: Television interviews given by leaders such as Hassan Nasrallah, Sheikh
: Ahmed Yassin or Khaled Mashal, the ayatollahs of Iran and even the
: central
: Islamic stream represented by Sheikh al-Azhar of Egypt - calling, on the
: one
: hand, for Jihad and professing their willingness to make peace with
: Arafat
: if he continues the armed struggle against Israel, on the other - are
: evidence of the complexity of the dilemma that Arafat now faces.

: If he does not react to what he defined as Israeli provocation on the
: Temple
: Mount, he will not be able to present himself to the Arab world as a
: secular
: leader worthy of controlling the Islamic holy sites and will not be able
: to
: request and receive Arab support for his diplomatic decisions.

: On the other hand, when he reacts as he has in recent days, he embarks
: on a
: collision course with Israel and the United States, while making new
: "friends" among the leaders of the Islamic movements. Arafat is better
: at
: handling situations that he defines as diplomatic provocations. When
: these
: are transformed into religious provocations, the familiar situation of
: "matters getting out of hand" ensues.

: The events of the past days are, therefore, no more than a campaign of
: restraint and response, and are not an attempt to secure new gains. The
: Temple Mount has not become any more Israeli or any more Palestinian as
: a
: result of these riots. Just like in previous incidents, the level of
: response cannot be controlled by an exact scale outlined by Arafat in
: his
: office. The street has its own criteria, which are not necessarily
: determined by the significance of the event that sparked the response.
: All
: that now remains is the urgent need to reach an arrangement that will
: bring
: the conflict back to its diplomatic proportions and not cause it to
: deteriorate into a religious battle

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