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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!

Secret links with Arafat signal Sharon landslide
By Tom Gross and Inigo, Gilmore in Jerusalem



  SECRET contacts have been initiated between Ariel Sharon and the
Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat in advance of Tuesday's Israeli elections
which Mr Sharon looks set to win by a landslide.
At Mr Arafat's request, three senior aides to Mr Sharon recently held secret
talks in Vienna with Muhammad Rashid, Mr Arafat's most trusted adviser.
According to Israeli intelligence experts, Mr Rashid, an Iraqi-born Kurd, is
the only person with whom Mr Arafat shares full knowledge of the PLO's
worldwide financial holdings, which are said to include billions of pounds in
hidden assets.

Although Mr Arafat had made no secret of his electoral preference for Ehud
Barak, the incumbent Labour prime minister, he authorised the mission to open
contacts with Mr Sharon as it became clear that Mr Barak's campaign was
doomed. News of the Arafat-Sharon contact comes at a time when the Right-wing
former general is moulding his image as a potential peacemaker rather than
hardline hawk.

This is the first time that Israelis have gone to the polls purely to vote
for the post of prime minister and not to choose a party for the Knesset. For
this reason, the issue of personality has become more crucial.

Mr Sharon's campaign team, run by the same Israeli PR agency that swept
Benjamin Netanyahu to victory in the 1996 elections, has portrayed their
candidate as an affable grandfather and family man. Television advertisements
show the 72-year-old Likud leader wandering through a field of wheat in the
setting sun, cuddling a baby lamb and carrying his young grandson.

His team has distanced him from his familiar international image as the
strong man who led Israel into a disastrous war against Lebanon in 1982 and
whose walk to the disputed holy site of Temple Mount in September preceded
the current wave of violence. At a time when there are daily shooting attacks
against Israelis and ferocious demonstrations throughout the Arab world
calling for the destruction of Israel, many Sharon voters say that although
they desperately want peace, above all they want protection.

"Sharon is clear, consistent and confident. He projects trust and power,"
explained Linor Dloomy, an accountant. "Barak on the other hand zigzags all
over the place with the messages he sends out, and he comes across terribly
on TV."

With few policy successes to point to, Mr Barak's campaign strategists have
retaliated with their own series of television commercials demonising Mr
Sharon. If the pollsters are to be believed, they seem to have had little
impact. Rachel Lerner, a computer programmer, said : "The idea that Sharon is
uniquely warlike is nonsense. He probably has less blood on his hands than
Barak does."

Mr Sharon's closest advisers claim that while the general has long been the
bete noire of the Arab world, he is privately a peacemaker and in power might
surprise his critics and Palestinians who know him as the Butcher of Beirut
or Mr Bulldozer. His son Omri, his chief campaign manager, yesterday issued
an unequivocal assurance to the Middle East that there will be no war if his
father wins the election. He told The Telegraph: "We are not threatening war
and we believe we are not going to have a war. I can assure you there won't
be."

Omri, who gave up his career as an investment banker to work for his father
with whom he lives on a farm in the Negev desert, claimed that Mr Sharon had
been "much misunderstood" in the past. He said: "My father is not a
warmonger. The problem he has had is that he was prepared to stick his neck
out and that gave him a bad image." He added that the recent meeting in
Vienna had been very useful: "We opened a channel to talk after the
elections," he said.

Ron Tira, a political analyst, said: "Sharon is much more moderate than he is
perceived to be in the West. He was the minister who forcibly evacuated
thousands of Jewish settlers from Sinai in April 1982, during the final stage
of the Camp David agreement.

He was also foreign minister in the Netanyahu government which in 1998 gave
85 percent of Hebron - Judaism's second holiest city - to Yasser Arafat and
later signed the Wye Plantation deal which agreed to hand over a further 13
per cent of the West Bank to Arafat."

Mr Arafat began putting out feelers to Mr Sharon some time before the Vienna
meeting. When Mr Sharon's wife Lilly died last year, Mr Arafat sent him a
personal condolence card. Mr Sharon returned the gesture last month, when he
sent Mr Arafat a greetings card celebrating the Id al-Fitr holiday which
marks the end of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan.

Despite the talks, Palestinians on the streets of Gaza predicted this weekend
that Mr Sharon's election would lead to a serious escalation in their
intifada, or uprising. A senior official in Mr Arafat's Fatah movement said
yesterday that it would step up its campaign after Tuesday, regardless of the
victor.

Analysts said that it would be in keeping with Mr Arafat's track record to
pursue the tactics of violence at the same time as establishing links with Mr
Sharon.


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