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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!

Maj. Gen MacKenzie-Time to stop the Mr. Nice Guy act
"NATO Bombing Enhanced Milosevic's Grip on Power
Maj.-Gen. Lewis MacKenzie
Citizen Special

http://www.ottawacitizen.com/national/010320/5033773.html

While it can't be admitted publicly, the West is getting more than a little
tired of the Balkans and the inability of too many of its citizens to act
like civilized human beings.

Handicapped by too many centuries of mistrust, foreign exploitation,
atrocities and war, various ethnic communities seem incapable of putting the
past behind them in the pursuit of real peace.

During the last decade and continuing today, the United Nations and NATO have
invested billions of their member countries' tax dollars and hundreds of
their lives in the region with very questionable results. An obsession with
quick fixes and an inclination to opt for easy, risk-free, short-term
solutions has mired both alliances in the all too familiar Balkan quagmire.

Those of us who argued in 1993 for a three-republic solution for
Bosnia-Herzegovina as proposed by the European Union were branded as
appeasers. Two years later a major, U.S.-inspired, Croatian ground offensive
combined with NATO air strikes against the Bosnian Serbs resulted in the
Dayton Accords which saw Bosnia divided into two parts, one a Bosnian Muslim
and Bosnian Croat federation, and the other a Bosnian Serb republic.

The artificial shotgun marriage between the Bosnian Croats and the Bosnian
Muslims was doomed to fail. Two weeks ago, the Bosnia Croats indicated they
were no longer prepared to co-operate within the federation and wanted to
become part of neighbouring Croatia. There is now renewed interest in
Sarajevo in reverting to the EU's original three-republic solution.

Too bad the more challenging, long-term solution was not implemented eight
years ago.

If you consider the situation in Bosnia deja vu all over again, have a look
at what is happening in Kosovo. In the mid-90s, following five years of
heavy- handed, but far from brutal domination of the Albanian majority by
Yugoslavia's then-president Slobodan Milosevic, an independence-seeking
terrorist movement within the Kosovo Albanian community started to kidnap and
murder Serbian security personnel.

Major fighting developed as the Belgrade authorities moved to put down the
rebellion on their sovereign territory. In 1998, NATO threatened to bomb the
Serbs if they continued to react to the independence-seeking Kosovo
terrorists (the CIA's term, not mine) with what NATO described as
"disproportional force."

The Rambouillet talks held in February 1999 were designed to guarantee the
bombing of the Serbs as NATO had convinced itself Milosevic had to be
contained, and the best cover for such an undertaking was a humanitarian
intervention. The fact that the humanitarian disaster, which included massive
ethnic cleansing, occurred after the bombing started, continues to be
conveniently ignored.

Equally ignored is the fact that NATO, in a desperate attempt to reach a
ceasefire with Belgrade before the NATO coalition fell apart, 70 days into
the bombing campaign, quietly removed the two requirements in the Rambouillet
agreement that caused Milosevic not to sign it in the first place.

As a result of the changes, there would be no freedom of movement for NATO
forces in Serbia, and there would be no referendum on independence in Kosovo
within three years.

In other words, Kosovo would remain under Yugoslavian sovereignty
administered for the time being by the UN. By taking the easy way out,

NATO and the UN had created a solution guaranteed to fail.

Needless to say, the Kosovo Albanians were incredulous that their dreams of
independence were now thwarted by the very international community that had
bombed and killed their enemies.

By force, intimidation, coercion and good old diplomacy, the leaders from the
terrorist independence movement managed to take over key positions in the
UN-supervised Kosovo administration. Financed by drug running, a slave trade
in prostitutes and industrial- strength black market activities, the outlawed
military arm of the Kosovo Albanians moved into the UN-mandated demilitarized
buffer zone between Kosovo and Serbia, and started killing Serbian security
personnel -- presumably hoping that the Serbs would overreact and the
international community would once again come to the Albanians' assistance.

Not content with just intimidating the Serbs, the terrorists, more recently
elevated to the more prestigious-sounding "separatist guerrillas" in the
North American press, have started to link up with their Albanian brothers
inside Macedonia itself, and are exchanging fire with Macedonian security and
military forces and NATO peacekeepers.

A greater Albania is their stated objective, and the UN-mandated NATO force
in Kosovo now finds itself under significant international pressure to thwart
the Albanian uprising by interdicting, and if necessary ambushing, Albanian
terrorists as they infiltrate in and out of the UN-imposed buffer zone.

In a move dripping with irony, the UN has invited Yugoslav elite military
forces to enter the buffer zone to assist with the interception of the
Albanian separatists. A year ago, to suggest such a scenario would have been
justification for a sanity check.

Many of those who firmly endorsed the bombing of Yugoslavia now say that
while we might have been duped into it by the Kosovo Albanians, it was all
worthwhile as it brought down Milosevic.

Baloney!

If anything, the bombing enhanced his grip on power. Even his most outspoken
critics at home admired his standing up to the strongest military alliance
ever created.

What mercifully toppled the Milosevic regime was the modestly covert
financial and organizational support for the Yugoslav opposition movement
that was provided by the U.S. and her allies, and which operated from
neighbouring countries.

If it was the bombing that brought down his regime, then let's get busy
bombing Kabul, Khartoum, Peking, Pyongyang and at least a dozen other
capitals of repressive regimes over the next few months -- as a humanitarian
gesture.

The expanding crises in the Balkans have been exacerbated by the
international community's love affair with quick, short-term solutions. There
are no easy solutions left.

Bosnia has to be restructured to reflect the desires of its ethnic
communities and that means three republics, not two.

The militant Kosovo Albanian separatists must be brought under control by the
overpowering NATO military presence in the area. Concurrently, the UN has to
impose a moderate, non-violent and crime-free Kosovo Albanian leadership.

Taking the easy way out and leaving the choice of Kosovo's leaders to a
flawed, pseudo-democratic process dominated by corruption and intimidation
will guarantee that our grandchildren will be peacekeepers in the region 30
years hence. The time for Mr. Nice Guy has long since passed; it's time to
get tough.

Maj.-Gen. Lewis MacKenzie, now retired, commanded UN troops during the siege
of Sarajevo in the Bosnian civil war of 1992.





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