-Caveat Lector-

Source: Arizona State University College Of Liberal Arts & Sciences
(http://www.asu.edu/)

Date: Posted 5/31/2001


Melting Glaciers Signal Global Warming

For several years, evidence has been mounting that the global climate is
steadily getting warmer. But whether the unusual weather patterns alarming
environmentalists -- increasing temperatures, reduced snowfall, and rising
sea levels -- are evidence of global warming or just passing blips in the
earth's notoriously bumpy weather record continues to stir controversy.
Before world leaders unanimously heed their cries of "wolf," scientists
studying climate change must be able to tease apart regional climate
changes and short-term weather fluctuations, such as El Niño, from
permanent changes that are happening worldwide.

ASU geologist Rick Wessels is part of an international team of scientists
studying the climate of the entire earth over several years with the Global
Land Ice Measurement from Space (GLIMS) project. The team, led by
United States Geological Survey (USGS) scientist Hugh Kieffer, is
monitoring climate change by tracking the melting of glaciers across the
earth. The global scale combined with a long study period will give the
scientists the broad perspective needed to determine whether worldwide
changes in climate are actually taking place. But in only seven months of
monitoring, Wessels has already seen melting in glaciers all over Earth,
which provides some solid evidence -- or liquid evidence -- for global
warming.

At the Spring Meeting of the American Geophysical Union in Boston, May
29 to June 2, Wessels and co-author Jeff Kargel, a USGS geologist, will
present the first round of results from this project in a talk titled "GLIMS:
Documenting the Demise of the Earth's Glaciers using ASTER." Wessels
will present evidence that thousands of glaciers are melting, corroborating
similar arguments made by many other researchers over the last few years.
Like shrinking ice cubes in an increasingly steamy atmospheric brew,
glaciers around the world appear to be getting thinner or even
disappearing entirely, says Wessels. The flooding caused by runoff from
these melting glaciers could have disastrous consequences for people
living nearby.

Using images of the earth taken from space, Wessels, along with over 50
other GLIMS researchers from 23 countries, is tracking changes in nearly
all of the 160,000 glaciers around the world, only about 1,000 of which have
been previously studied. Wessels's newest data come from NASA-
operated ASTER (Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and
Reflection Radiometer), which takes detailed color and infrared images of
the entire earth.

Data collection using ASTER is still in the early stages, but by comparing
the newest data with older records, Wessels and his colleagues have
already noted some major changes in the sizes of many glaciers around
the world. "The majority of these glaciers are receding," says Wessels.

Some growing and shrinking is normal for glaciers, and debris-rimmed
lakes within some glaciers may come and go. Despite these fluctuations,
glaciers usually maintain their size over the long term. But Wessels has
seen a shift in the balance of this cycle. "At first glance, there's more
shrinkage than growing," he says, "and there's now a trend for the lakes to
stay and grow," rather than drying up or freezing over.

The newest images show that, in the Alps, where many years of records
track the mountains' ice formations, several glaciers have disappeared in
as little as 40 years. In Argentina, glaciers in the Patagonian ice fields have
receded by an average of 1.5 kilometers over 13 years. And in the
Himalayan mountains, glaciers are losing bulk as continued melting feeds
lakes that sometimes run off to flood surrounding areas. Recently, a lake
atop one Himalayan glacier threatened to overflow its natural dam within
days, forcing local Nepalese engineers to quickly perform a controlled
drain.

Because the melting and retreat is occurring at such a rapid pace,
Wessels and his colleagues think global warming is the most likely
explanation for the loss of glacial ice. "There is definitely a global climate
change," Wessels asserts. Whether the climate warming is a natural cycle
or caused by human activity, such as burning fossil fuels, is still being
debated.




Note: This story has been adapted from a news release issued by Arizona
State University College Of Liberal Arts & Sciences for journalists and
other members of the public. If you wish to quote from any part of this story,
please credit Arizona State University College Of Liberal Arts & Sciences
as the original source. You may also wish to include the following link in any
citation:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2001/05/010529235344.htm


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