-Caveat Lector-

The Daily Telegraph (UK)

June 15, 2001

US 'planned nuclear first strike on Russia'
By Michael Smith

 BRITISH intelligence warned in 1951 that the
Americans were planning to wage a "preventative"
atomic war on the Russians the next year with or
without the support of their Nato allies.
The Director of Naval Intelligence said the United
States military was convinced that "all-out war
against the Soviet Union was not only inevitable but
imminent". Vice-Admiral Eric Longley-Cook went on to
say that the Americans had, accordingly, "gone ahead
to prepare for an inevitable clash of arms with the
Soviet Union, 'fixed' for mid or late 1952."

Details of the report, and the British concerns that
their ally was about to provoke a third world war, are
contained in a new book by Richard J Aldrich,
Professor of Politics at Nottingham University. The
Hidden Hand says Longley-Cook's report, so secret that
only six copies were produced, was the culmination of
two years of tension in which the Russians had
exploded their first atomic bomb, four years before
the earliest Nato intelligence prediction.

During that period, a succession of senior British
officers had returned from visits to America
expressing alarm over the apparent conviction among
their United States counterparts that they should
attack Russia. Longley-Cook said that the Russians
were far too cautious to start a war themselves. The
main threat to strategic stability and the security of
Britain appeared to come from the United States where
McCarthyism was in full flow.

"Many people in America have made up their minds that
war with Russia is inevitable and there is a strong
tendency in military circles to 'fix' the zero date
for war," he said. "It is doubtful whether, in a
year's time, the US will be able to control the
Frankenstein monster which they are creating. There is
a definite risk of the USA becoming involved in a
preventative war against Russia, however firmly their
Nato allies object."

It was not just the view of senior United States
generals and intelligence officers, who seemed
unwilling to endorse a threat assessment based on
"factual intelligence" rather than their own
prejudices. Many ordinary Americans shared their
opinions. There was an apocalyptic view among the
inhabitants of major American cities, "who visualise
in their own concentrated home town the ruins of
Hamburg and Berlin", Longley-Cook said.

"These and other Americans say, 'We have the bomb,
let's use it now while the balance is in our favour.
Since war with Russia is inevitable, let's get it over
with now'. Some talk of an 'ultimatum from strength',
but many more believe in the necessity for 'smashing
the Russians' at the earliest possible moment."

There was certainly evidence to support the British
assessment. One US general had said that the West
could not afford to wait until Europe or even America
was devastated by a nuclear holocaust. "We can afford,
however, to create a wilderness in Russia without
serious repercussion on Western civilisation. We have
a moral obligation to stop Russia's aggression by
force, if necessary, rather than face the consequences
of delay."

Another US general said that his country was already
at war with Russia. "Whether we call it a Cold War or
apply any other term we are not winning. It seems to
me that almost any analysis of the situation shows
that the only way that we can be certain of winning is
to take the offensive as soon as possible and hit
Russia hard enough to at least prevent her from taking
over Europe.

"If we plan and execute the operation properly, the
weight of our attack in the early stages may be
sufficient to compel Russia to accept our terms for a
real peace. It will not be a preventative war, because
we are already at war."

Most copies of Longley-Cook's report were ordered to
be destroyed once read but one was passed to Winston
Churchill after he returned to power in late 1951. He
was initially highly dismissive, even suggesting that
Longley-Cook must be a communist and ordering that "a
sharp eye should be kept on the writer".

But in April 1952, after returning from Washington
having failed to obtain a veto on US strikes from
British bases, he had changed his mind. He told his
private secretary: "I want to see the secret report
prepared by the late Director of Naval Intelligence
and sent to me by the First Lord when I was in
America. Let me have it back again."

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