-Caveat Lector-

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Subject: Ze'ev Schiff: What the Palestinians think- want to destroy Israel
Date: Wed, 27 Jun 2001 03:53:34 -0400
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Ze'ev Schiff: What the Palestinians think - want to destroy Israel

Ha'aretz 27 June

Many things have changed in Palestinian society since Arafat launched the
military campaign against Israel. Everyday life has changed in many aspects,
and so have public opinions and positions.

Israelis diligently used to read public opinion polls conducted by
Palestinian research centers or experts; today such polls are rare, and hard
to carry out properly because of the closure imposed by the Israel Defense
Forces on Palestinian towns and villages. Nevertheless, even if the
scientific accuracy of these polls is now somewhat faulty - they are still
worthy of our attention. Results of the latest poll conducted this month to
examine Palestinian opinions on relations with Israel were published this
week by the Jerusalem Media Center, headed by Rassan al-Hatib. It is the
41st such poll carried out by the center.

There is no good news in the results of this poll, although 38.1 percent
said they still support future peace agreements with Israel. Like many
Israelis, most Palestinians (53.9 percent of those polled) oppose the Oslo
Accords. A very high percentage of Palestinians - 79 percent - continue to
support the Intifada, representing a rise from 70.1 percent in December
2000. Furthermore, 68.6 percent say they now support suicide attacks against
Israelis, compared with 66.2 percent in April, and only 26.1 percent in
March 1999.

These figures naturally reflect a high level of frustration among
Palestinians, who now believe that only the use of force will enable them to
achieve national goals.

But most troubling is the way in which the Palestinians polled see the goals
of the current Intifada. One could assume that a vast majority would have
replied that the aim of the current conflict is to end "the Israeli
occupation" and set up a Palestinian state, as declared by the Palestinian
leadership.

But only 45.6 percent gave that answer, while 41.2 percent said that the
goal of the current Intifada is a "complete liberation of Palestinian
land" - "complete liberation," in other words the destruction of the state
of Israel.

Some 9.2 percent believe that the Intifada's goal is to achieve a tactical
improvement in conditions for negotiating with Israel.

An additional expression, which effectively means an end to the state of
Israel, was used in another question included in the survey. In that
question, participants were asked to express their opinion about the
possibility of solving the conflict and military confrontation by setting up
a "binational state" on the entire territory of Palestine.

This tendency toward expanding the goals of the current Intifada is also
apparent in the attitudes exhibited toward the Jewish settlements in the
territories. On this issue - which is a central goal of Palestinian
propaganda - the Palestinians have already clinched a significant
achievement, in the Mitchell Committee's demand to freeze all settlements,
even with regard to their natural growth needs. Furthermore, this freeze is
supposed to only be part of confidence-building measures, while the future
of the settlements is left by the Mitchell Committee to the final status
negotiations.

Yet, even if an end is put (to use the terminology of the pollsters) to the
settlements in general - 67.1 percent say that they do not agree to stop the
Intifada. Only 25.1 percent say that if "the Jewish settlement" is stopped,
the Intifada can come to an end.

In light of these answers - specifically the view which sees the goal of the
current Intifada as the liberation of the entire territory of Palestine -
the Palestinian claim that Israel is responding to the Intifada with too
much force and causing undue suffering is surprising.

It is strange that the Palestinians on the one hand wish to bring an end to
the state of Israel, while on the other hand complain about its anger and
response.

Finally, the Palestinians have a clear answer to one question troubling many
Israelis.

Is Arafat in control of what is happening in the Palestinian Authority? Some
71.6 percent believe that he has full control.


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