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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!

Singapore's military buildup
U.S. assists city-state improve defenses to help deter China

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Singapore, better known for its electronics industry and financial services
than its defense posture, is steadily modernizing its armed forces with the
help of the United States to secure expanding economic interests in the
Asia-Pacific region. As part of Washington's efforts to contain China through
new military allies, Singapore will transition from a small, inert power to
one of the principal military players in the Asia Pacific.

Singapore, a city-state of 3.2 million people that likes to think of itself
as the Switzerland of Asia, has outlined plans to acquire dozens of new
attack helicopters, fighter aircraft, warships and other long-range land, sea
and air capabilities. These new tools will help round out a steady military
buildup begun in the mid-1990s to help Singapore actively ensure regional
stability.

Singapore is the Asian region's third-largest financial center, after Japan
and Hong Kong. It has carved itself out a small but lucrative niche in the
semiconductor manufacturing industry, producing 8 percent of the world market
in 1999. Singapore is also known for its stable political environment and
strong legal system. Moreover, unlike Switzerland, it has the vast
opportunities of an emerging Asia on its doorstep.

But the modernizing of Singapore's armed forces is transforming it into a key
link in the security chain that the United States is building around China.
Within the decade, Singapore will evolve from a relatively neutral
participant to a major regional player – a development reminiscent of its
days as a British military fortress during World War II. Washington will not
look solely to Singapore to keep Beijing in military isolation, but the tiny
nation will once again play a vital role in regional security affairs.

Like Israel, Singapore lacks strategic depth and is outnumbered by
potentially hostile neighbors. Its defense strategy, therefore, is two-fold:
Build an offensive-minded security force that can strike at potential enemies
before they harm Singapore, and seek the support and protection of the United
States.

Singapore, which spends $4 billion per year on defense, is well positioned to
acquire the weapons and technologies it needs. The arsenal it is building
will allow it to destroy enemies on the ground, pre-emptively seize strategic
territory, prevent rising piracy and intervene quickly and effectively in
Indonesia, Malaysia and other likely trouble spots in the contested South
China Sea.

On July 10, Singapore announced that it is seeking bids for up to two dozen
cutting-edge fighter jets, at an estimated value of $2 billion, to replace
its ageing fleet of A-5 Skyhawks. The deal would be signed in 2004, and
Singapore is looking closely at Boeing's F-15 Eagle and Lockheed Martin's
F-16 Fighting Falcon, according to Bloomberg.com. The U.S. Department of
Defense this month also made Singapore eligible for an additional 12
Boeing-built AH-64 Apache attack helicopters and related components at an
estimated cost of $617 million. Singapore currently has eight of the
tank-busting choppers.

In April, Singapore commissioned the RSS Persistence and the RSS Endeavor,
the last of four amphibious attack vessels being built to replace Singapore's
old County-class Landing Ship Tanks and Victory class corvettes. The new
amphibious ships, which can displace 6,000 tons and command a range of 5,000
nautical miles, are outfitted with state-of-the-art communications and other
automated tools that allow Singapore to operate effectively alongside the
United States and other advanced militaries.

On land, the first indigenously designed All Terrain Tracked Carrier (ATTC)
was delivered to Singapore's army in May. The ATTC "can transport troops and
equipment over soft muddy ground and difficult terrain impassable to other
vehicles," making it useful in a number of combat support and service
missions, Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Tony Tan Keng Yam said
March 8.

In tandem with its weapons purchases, Singapore is unfolding a "total
defense" strategy that includes alliances with like-minded nations. So far
this year, Singapore has conducted an anti-submarine warfare exercise with
India, dispatched soldiers to participate in the United Nations peacekeeping
mission in East Timor, sent airmen to Canada for an air warfare exercise and
hosted a 16-nation mine-countermeasures exercise – the largest in its
history.

Perhaps most significantly, Singapore this year also allowed a U.S. Navy
aircraft carrier, the USS Kitty Hawk, to make a port call for the first time.
The navy has increasingly used Singapore as a repair base for its smaller,
Pacific-based ships since it was kicked out of its Subic Bay base in the
Philippines in the early 1990s. Navy officials have been pressing for
permission to build a dry dock in Singapore to repair aircraft carriers.

The Kitty Hawk's March 22 visit to Changi Naval Base is telling. Though
Singapore's strategy pays homage first to national survival, it also
dovetails with U.S. efforts to contain China. The Kitty Hawk's visit came
immediately before an American spy plane was downed in the South China Sea,
leading to a standoff between Washington and Beijing. Chinese leaders almost
certainly viewed the port visit as heralding yet another U.S. naval "base" in
the region, this time with direct access to the South China Sea. But
Singapore does indeed appear to be becoming a de facto U.S. base.

Singapore is not Washington's only potential ally in its quest to contain
China. Australia already has taken its place in the anti-China security
chain; Adelaide earlier this month called on the U.S. Navy to help fix
technical problems with its Collins-class submarine development program.

Japan is also slowly taking on a greater security role at Washington's
urging. Navy officials tell STRATFOR that Washington has its sights on other
potential allies – for instance, raising the prospect of a return to Subic
Bay and seeking ties to other players, such as Thailand and Indonesia.

Though small, Singapore will play a sizeable part in the U.S. strategy.
Boasting an increasingly modern and highly capable fighting force, working to
better integrate its forces with those of the United States, Australia and
other regional militaries, and located at one of the world's most strategic
chokepoints – both economically and militarily – it will emerge later this
decade as a front-line outpost in the escalating military confrontation
between the United States and China.




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