-Caveat Lector-

Palestinian Authority Threatened by Violent Infighting
******************************************************

At 8:30 am (local time), Wednesday morning,Radio Palestine
suddenly interrupted its regular broadcasts for a solemn announcement:

"All the forces (guilty of) assailing national unity at this moment of
fateful struggle should understand the fearful responsibility they bear
in determining the destiny of the Palestinian people."

This announcement brought to an overt climax the conflict raging in the
last fortnight inside the Palestinian Authority between the veteran
ex-Tunis based leadership led by Yasser Arafat and the field activists.

DEBKAfile's Palestinian sources emphasize that this conflict is not the
result of Arafat's presumed efforts, as reported by most Israeli media,
to hold down the combative Hamas, Jhad Islmi and the Popular Front, in
order to establish seven quiet days and move forward to the next stages
of the Mitchell recommendations. The diplomatic initiative conducted by
Foreign minister Shimon Peres and various European diplomats to prove
Arafat's efforts in this regard are totally irrelevant, because the
violent confrontations now tearing through the Palestinian camp have
nothing to do with differences over political or even military strategy.

What is happening is the first open uprising by the forces of the
intifada against Arafat's regime.

Starting in Nablus a fortnight ago, elements of the Fatah, Tanzim,
Hamas, Jihad Islami, Hizballah and the Popular Front, rose up against
Arafat and his veteran cronies.

Last week, Arafat, with the help of West Bank General Intelligence
commander Tewfiq Tirawi and the head of Military Intelligence, Mussa
Arafat, was able to subdue the Nablus insurrection. He then went off to
Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf Emirates, to try yet again to open
purse strings and release the funds promised him at the Amman Arab
summit earlier this year.

He had no notion - any more than did US and Israeli intelligence experts
- that the flames from Nablus would spread so quickly to the Gaza Strip.
None of them appreciated the force and depth of the Palestinian street's
alienation from Arafat and his regime.

It flared Sunday night, July 22, according to DEBKAfile's Palestinian
and Gulf sources, at a roadblock that Mussa Arafat set up on the western
approach to Beit Lehiyeh to detain a mortar crew on its way back from a
shooting attack against Israel targets. The crew was a mixed one, as are
most Palestinian teams of late, this one composed of Fatah, Hamas and
Jihad Islami militants. Mussa Arafat had been told to arrest the crew -
not for the act of firing the mortars against Israeli targets, but
because did so without authorization from Saher Habash, Yasser Arafat's
terror master for the Intifada Popular Commands.

The crew was therefore guilty of insubordination to the Chairman's
authority.

But the men in the field were not cowed. Monday night, July 23, hundreds
of angry members of the popular committees from all the Palestinian
organizations in the field mobbed Mussa Arafat's house in Gaza. They did
not merely shake fists and heap abuse on this nephew of the Palestinian
leader; they also fired threatening shots - in the air this time.

Tuesday, July 24, Habash put in an early morning call to Yasser Arafat
in Abu Dhabi and told him to return home at once, warning him that a
popular revolt was developing. From intelligence reports, he understood
that local team commanders from all the Palestinian movements, including
Arafat's own Fatah, were planning to call an emergency meeting to
approve the resumption of mortar fire against Israeli targets.

The use of mortars was chosen as the most convenient vehicle to enable
the local commanders to escape their operational subordination to Arafat
and start acting independently.

Those commanders, many of them Fatah members, believe that Arafat erred
when he halted the mortar fire in deference to US, Israel, and European
pressure. They think that their disobedience to the Chairman's orders
will be the best way to prove to the Palestinian street for the first
time since the intifiada erupted ten months ago that Arafat is not the
absolute ruler of the Palestinian Authority and that others have a say
in dictating events.

Saher Habash warned his boss that if this movement is allowed to gather
steam, it would become a full-blown armed revolt and threaten his
regime.

Arafat was back in Gaza the same day.

Wednesday morning, he ordered Radio Palestine to issue its dramatic
warning.

Israeli and US intelligence forces who have propped up Yasser Arafat and
his Authority for so many years pitched in this time too. Out of the
blue, Israeli electronic and print media 'discovered' that the West Bank
Preventive Security chief, Jibril Rajoub, was a major gunrunner,
smuggling into the West Bank mortars and shells. Tawfiq Tirawi was
described as leading the fight against this illegal traffic.

In this theater of the absurd, the West Bank strongman,  Rajoub, hitherto
regarded as a benign force in the Palestinian camp, was suddenly
depicted as the source of evil, while Tirawi, who is personally
responsible for the cruelest acts of terrorism on the West Bank, was
morphed into a model upholder of law and order.

DEBKAfile 's political analysts note that Jibril's arms importing trade
is an old story to which a blind eye was turned in appreciation of a
Palestinian leader considered most trustworthy by Israel and the
Americans. However, in the interests of sanitizing Tirawi, so as to
encourage him to throw all his support behind Arafat in his hour of
peril, Jibril was thrown to the dogs.

DEBKAfile 's political analysts doubt strongly that the tactics leading
to this gambit originated in the top policy-making levels in either
Washington or Israel. They may not even be aware yet of the full
implications of the Palestinian upheaval. But when they are fully
apprised, they may very well reverse the political, intelligence and
military actions taken by their agents on the spot.

Much depends on Arafat's success in keeping the lid on the simmering
Palestinian pot. He may have banked down the outbreaks against his rule
in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, but he has yet to come to grips with
the first real breach driven by the intifada in the Palestinian field
command.

*********************
The GAMLA News Ticker

<A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/";>www.ctrl.org</A>
DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER
==========
CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic
screeds are unwelcomed. Substance�not soap-boxing�please!  These are
sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'�with its many half-truths, mis-
directions and outright frauds�is used politically by different groups with
major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought.
That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and
always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no
credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.

Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.
========================================================================
Archives Available at:
http://peach.ease.lsoft.com/archives/ctrl.html
 <A HREF="http://peach.ease.lsoft.com/archives/ctrl.html";>Archives of
[EMAIL PROTECTED]</A>

http:[EMAIL PROTECTED]/
 <A HREF="http:[EMAIL PROTECTED]/";>ctrl</A>
========================================================================
To subscribe to Conspiracy Theory Research List[CTRL] send email:
SUBSCRIBE CTRL [to:] [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To UNsubscribe to Conspiracy Theory Research List[CTRL] send email:
SIGNOFF CTRL [to:] [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Om

Reply via email to