-Caveat Lector-

Special Dispatch - Egypt
July 31, 2001
No. 248

An Egyptian Intellectual:
Arabs Must Use the Demographic Factor Against Israel

In the London based daily Al-Hayat (1), Dr. Wahid Abd
Al-Magid, the editor of Al-Ahram's "Arab Strategic Report"
yearbook, wrote: The way to end the Arab-Israeli conflict
is through changing the demographic balance within Israel's
pre-1967 'Green Line' assuming  that Israel will have to
resort to racist policies.  Dr. Abd Al-Magid's plan is
based, primarily, on Israel's Arab community stopping
Jewish immigration to Israel and supporting the settlement
of Palestinians inside 'The Green Line,' in order to
establish one Palestinian state with Jews living "under the
umbrella of our Arab culture":

In an article titled "Arabs must take advantage of the
demographic threat on Israel," Dr. Abd Al-Magid wrote:

"...The Arabs of 1948 [i.e. Israeli Arabs] may become a
majority in Israel in 2035, and they will certainly be the
majority in 2048, a century after their Nakbah and first
defeat."

"We must establish scenarios for the crisis' management in
the future. In these scenarios, there should be a special
status for the 1948 Palestinians. It is not long before
they become the supreme [decision-makers], who control the
conflict..."

"The demographic threat does not derive solely from the
1948 Palestinians' natural increase, but also from the
infiltration of thousands of Palestinians into Israel.
These stay in Israel and create facts on the ground through
marriage with citizens of the 1948 population..."

"Therefore, there is a possibility that Israel would have
to expose its racism and try, in vain, to hide [the scale
of this phenomenon] through policies of denying some of the
social rights of the 1948 Palestinians, or through various
oppressive measures..."

"This would require a serious Arab action... that would be
difficult, unless the political elites and the security
apparatuses in some Arab countries heal from the disease of
suspecting and fearing the 1948 Palestinians... We must
support the connections [between Israeli Arabs and Arab
countries] so that better opportunities develop for Arab
action whose purpose is to make use of and increase the
demographic threat that faces Israel."

The first goal should be "an organized action to expose the
racism of Zionism and with an effort to renew the UN
resolution that equates Zionism with racism, in order to
exercise external pressure on Tel Aviv that will decrease
its ability to carry out domestic measures [to counter]
that demographic threat. Today, there are Arab efforts to
launch a campaign against Israel in the UN International
Conference Against Racism that is organized by the UN in
South Africa.  This should be the beginning of a continuous
action and not a seasonal action that will end with the
conference."

"The second goal is to confront the Jewish immigration that
the Jewish Agency tries to encourage once again - after the
numbers of immigrants to Israel have decreased in the first
six months of this year... True, the continuation of the
Intifada guarantees the foiling of the Zionist efforts to
increase the immigration, and may even encourage emigration
in the opposite direction, but the Arab league, with the
cooperation of Arab non-governmental organizations, can
also have a role by starting a dialogue with the Jewish
organizations in [the former USSR] states."

"Not all Jews are Zionists, and not all immigrants are
Israel lovers. Some of them were forced to immigrate under
the pressure of economic and social conditions that are
being used by the Jewish Agency to encourage their
immigration to Israel. We can act to foil the role of this
Agency, through dialogue with the Jewish organization in
the immigrant-exporting states. Our claims should not be
limited to the moral aspect. We could describe to the Jews
of Russia and its neighbors the situation of Russian
immigrants in Israel, more than half of whom suffer of
conditions that are no less difficult than those that had
made them immigrate, in addition to the disappointment and
the marginalization felt by those immigrants, a phenomenon
that was mentioned by Ana Isakova in an important article
in Maariv."

"A third goal, which can be shouldered by the civil
economic non-governmental institutions in the Arab world
and especially in Jordan and Egypt, is to support the
movement of Palestinians from PA territories and from
elsewhere into Israeli 'Green Line' borders. Such a
movement exists, but it is random and requires organizing,
especially since the Israeli authorities have increased
their counter-measures."

"We are capable of increasing the demographic threat
against Israel, if we demonstrate the necessary
determination. It is high time for long-term planning of
the management of the Arab-Israeli crisis, whose life is
still long. We must give the 1948 Palestinians the status
they deserve, because without them, we cannot make
Palestine again Arab - and not bi-national - Arab Palestine
in which Jews could - if they wish to - live strong and
respected under the umbrella of our Arab culture, rather
than as oppressors and oppressed."

Endnote:

(1) Al-Hayat (London-Beirut), July 29, 2001.

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