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Forbes: Fed Making Same Mistake as BOJ
NewsMax.com Wires
Wednesday, Sept. 19, 2001
SINGAPORE -- Publisher and businessman Steve Forbes on Wednesday blamed the
U.S. Federal Reserve and some of its past decisions on interest rates and
monetary liquidity for the current U.S. recession, and to some extent, the
world recession.
Forbes, the president of Forbes Inc., spoke at the Forbes Global CEO
Conference, held for the first time outside the United States.

He said the Fed should not have tightened interest rates three years ago,
should have loosened them at a much faster pace this year, and had made the
mistake of keeping liquidity tight, up until last week's terror attacks on
New York and Washington.

"The Federal Reserve is making the same mistake as the Bank of Japan," he
said. "The same thing is beginning to happen in the U.S. It is cutting
interest rates, but is keeping money supply tight."

After the terror attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, central
banks around the world, including the Fed, have started to enable liquidity
in the system. Central bankers acted in unison to stabilize financial
markets, injecting more than $80 billion of short-term funds in the banking
system to meet demands for cash.

As a rule of thumb to assess the appropriate level of liquidity in the
economy, Forbes said, the price of gold should be higher than $300 per ounce,
and should stabilize between $300 to $320.

Forbes pointed to three main reasons for the U.S. economic recession: the
"mistakes of the Fed," the level of taxation and the rise in regulation in
the high-tech sector.

Forbes argued that the Fed has been working on the "strange theory" that
prosperity causes inflation. "Experience shows this theory is nonsense," he
said, pointing to the 1980s, when the United States experienced a prolonged
expansion period with falling inflation.

According to Forbes, the tightening of the interest rate led instead to
deflation, with a shortage of money, which reverberated across the world, as
70 percent of all U.S. dollars printed in the United States leave the country.

Forbes accused the Bank of Japan for being "overly tightened." He said, "It
needs to loosen policy if it is to avoid a meltdown of the banking sector in
Japan."

In both 1996 and 2000, Forbes campaigned unsuccessfully for the Republican
nomination for the U.S. presidency. His platform called for a flat tax,
medical savings accounts, a new Social Security system and a strong national
defense.

Forbes said the current level of taxation penalized Americans. Contrary to
popular belief, he said, the recent tax cut was small. "The tax cut was like
a cup of tea posing as a bottle of whiskey," he said. "Very weak in its
impact."




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