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Thursday, November 15, 2001

Super smallpox Saturdays?
By Drs. Glueck and Cihak
© 2001 WorldNetDaily.com
In 1957, we had Sabin Oral Sundays to inoculate against the
scourge of polio. With the current smallpox scare-athon, do we
now need Super Smallpox Saturdays?

Dr. Donald A. Henderson, director of the new Office of Public
Health Preparedness, and a recognized smallpox expert, says,
"no," it would do more harm than good. But the Centers for
Disease Control has proposed state governments set up
emergency blanket powers to control citizens in order to control
disease. We go with Dr. Henderson.

The facts
Smallpox once spread wildly in fearful epidemics, decimating unfortunate peoples and 
causing permanent blindness and scarring in many of the survivors. Smallpox spreads 
from one infected person to the next, mostly by viru
s particles in the tiny droplets coughed into the air. However, unlike anthrax 
bacteria, the smallpox virus only multiplies and spreads in human beings and in 
specialized tissue culture laboratories. Also unlike anthrax,
it can't live more than a few weeks outside a human host.

The last known case occurred 25 years ago in Somalia. The only acknowledged remaining 
samples of the virus are stored in two laboratories – one in Atlanta and one in 
Siberia.

Why do people die of smallpox? In 1999, the "Consensus Statement of the Working Group 
on Civilian Biodefense" wrote that death from smallpox "most likely results from the 
toxemia associated with circulating immune complex
es and soluble variola antigens." This roughly means that we don't have a very good 
understanding of how the smallpox virus kills people. Yet in the decades since 
smallpox was eradicated, the power of basic supportive med
ical treatment (such as the use of IV fluids and medicine to help control fever and 
pain) has exploded. Many of these new treatments would help treat smallpox victims, 
reduce the severity of infection, and save lives.

Terrorists would most likely release smallpox at a crowded public event or in a 
densely populated area. We estimate that simultaneous attacks, releasing the virus at 
several major sports stadiums, would likely infect less
 than one out of a thousand Americans.

Smallpox patients can be very sick as soon as a week after infection with the virus 
but – and this is vital – they don't spread the virus until after they're sick in bed 
and the spots on the skin start to develop. One pat
ient may infect two or three others on average, before the disease is recognized and 
quarantine procedures initiated, but these patients are not out spreading the disease. 
Advances in hospital construction such as air-flo
w control and filtering also help prevent spread of the virus.

Antibiotics don't control the smallpox virus. Other treatments are available, but 
testing could take years. About half of all living Americans were vaccinated decades 
ago – no one knows how much residual protection these
old vaccinations provide.

If smallpox does break out, vaccination within four days after exposure can prevent or 
significantly reduce the severity of illness. Over 10 million doses of vaccine are 
available in this country, although its effectivene
ss is a bit uncertain because many doses are old and of uncertain activity. The 
federal government recently ordered 40 million new doses. Delivery of the first batch 
was originally scheduled for 2004 – officials now hope
for earlier delivery.

As with all medical treatments, smallpox vaccination has complications, including 
death. About one in one thousand people had complications in the past. About two out 
of a million vaccinated people died of these complicat
ions.

The decision
Because of these advances and the relatively small supply of vaccine, we agree with 
Dr. Henderson. Hold off vaccinating the general public until there is a demonstrated 
outbreak. If there were enough vaccine to go around,
 we would leave the choice and decision up to individuals and families, in 
consultation with their own physicians and local medical officials.

However, because the risk of smallpox exposure, although low and uncertain, is 
nonetheless real, we conclude that there might be a need for a Super Smallpox 
Saturday. But only in places where actual cases of smallpox occu
r. The general public should not be encouraged or required to risk injury or death 
from treatments for still hypothetical risks.

There they go again
In a recent development the CDC has proposed a "model state emergency health powers 
act" to all 50 state legislatures. If passed, these laws would authorize everything 
from forcible vaccination (and rationing of care) to
seizure and destruction of private property. Although we
recommend that states do review their laws, the blanket powers
proposed could do more harm than good.

And governments, like doctors, should "First, do no harm."
Michael Arnold Glueck, M.D., of Newport Beach, Calif., writes
extensively on medical, legal, disability and mental health reform.
Robert J. Cihak, M.D., of Aberdeen, Wash., is the immediate past
president of the Association of American Physicians and
Surgeons. Both doctors are Harvard trained diagnostic radiologists.
Collaborating as The Medicine Men, they write a weekly column for
WorldNetDaily as well as numerous articles and editorials for
newspapers, newsletters, magazines and journals nationally and
internationally.

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