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---------- Forwarded message ----------
Date: Fri, 16 Nov 2001 22:00:11 -0600
From: Jack <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: Master W2 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: Global Warming Myths You Had Better Be Aware Of!

Global Warming Myths

NOW THAT YET another confab on the 1997 Kyoto global warming protocol has ended with 
participants patting each on the back for being such good enviros, you can expect even 
more pressure on President Bush to embrace the pact.
According to polls, Americans support the pact, which ostensibly will reduce 
greenhouse gas emissions by 5.2 percent below 1990 levels by the year 2012. Alas, the 
public has bought into four myths that beg to be debunked.
Myth No. 1: Some 98 percent of scientists believe that global warming is real -- as 
former Veep Al Gore wrote in his 1992 book, "Earth in the Balance." To the contrary, a 
1992 Gallup poll found that only 17 percent of climatologists were convinced that 
human-induced global warming was real.
In June 2001, the National Academy of Sciences presented Bush with a report, endorsed 
by 11 top scientists, that many newspapers reported as confirmation that catastrophic 
predictions on global warming are true and that the Kyoto protocol is a much needed 
remedy. The report did note that "temperatures are, in fact, rising" and are "most 
likely due to human activities." Less reported was the follow-up clause: "but we 
cannot rule out that some significant part of these changes are also a reflection of 
natural variability."
As NASA's James Hansen -- one of the 11 scientists and a believer in global warming -- 
testified before the Senate, "There is no fixed 'truth' delivered by some body of 
'experts'." (Indeed, some scientists believe the phenomenon could be benign.) Far from 
endorsing Kyoto, Hansen added, "It is impractical to stop CO2 (carbon dioxide) from 
increasing in the near term, as fossil fuels are the engine of the global economy." 
Rather than push for Kyoto's reductions for carbon dioxide, Hansen believes it may 
make more sense to concentrate on reducing ozone, soot and methane.
Myth No. 2: The Euros are heroes on Kyoto.
You can credit Western European countries with strong transit systems and superior 
automobile fuel efficiency -- not to mention using nuclear generators to produce 
power. But it's been easy for the Euros to support Kyoto because, at the 1997 summit, 
they shrewdly negotiated a baseline year of 1990 -- when their pollution was thick 
from coal-fired and Soviet-style plants. By 1997, many European countries already had 
reached the "goal" -- for Europe, 8 percent below 1990 levels -- they had negotiated.
By 1996, Germany was close to 15 percent below its 1990 levels, and the United Kingdom 
was down by almost 5 percent. And for all of the Euros' hammering of Bush for not 
supporting Kyoto, Romania is the only industrial country to have ratified the pact.
Myth No. 3: The United States is a lone holdout on Kyoto.
It's true that Bush walked away from the pact, as the leader of no other country has 
done. It's also true that Kyoto exempts China -- the world's No. 2 greenhouse-gas 
emitter -- and India and other developing nations. Advocates argue that developing 
nations shouldn't be held to standards that would thwart economic development -- but 
Kyoto has no goals for these countries.
Myth No. 4: Kyoto is doable, if only Bush would go with the flow.
The pact would require that the United States reduce greenhouse gases to 7 percent 
below 1990 levels. Last week, the Energy Information Administration reported that in 
2000, greenhouse emissions grew 3.1 percent. They're now 14 percent higher than 1990 
levels. If the pact-mongers had cared about crafting a deal that is doable, they'd 
have picked achievable targets for all countries -- not just Europe. So while 
negotiators are congratulating themselves for cleaving to Kyoto, they should know that 
the only sure thing they've gotten out of the pact is some good-old America-bashing.
E-mail Debra J. Saunders at [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
<mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>.


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