-Caveat Lector-

From
http://www.larouchepub.com/other/2002/2904ecevit_iraq.html

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This article appears in the Feb. 1, 2002 issue of Executive
Intelligence Review.

War on Iraq Would Be
'Catastrophic': Ecevit

by William Jones

The red-carpet treatment given Turkish Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit,
during his week-long visit to Washington on Jan. 14-20, may have been
motivated, on the part of certain circles, by an attempt to
"acclimatize" him to the possibility of U.S. military action against
Iraq. But he made no pretense of agreeing with the Wolfowitz-Perle
cabal's policy of launching "preemptive" military action against
neighboring Iraq's Saddam Hussein.

At his July 17 press conference after his meetings with President
George Bush and other U.S. officials, EIR asked Ecevit what he would
say concerning any military action against Iraq. Ecevit replied that
it would be "cata
strophic" as far as Turkey was concerned. "I understand that a definite decision about 
how to solve the so-called Iraqi question has not yet been reached," Ecevit said. 
"President Bush, of course, mentioned it to me in ra
ther strong terms yesterday, saying, as he did so on various occasions publicly, that 
America cannot stand Saddam Hussein."

At a joint press availability before their meeting, President Bush had responded to a 
question on Iraq by reiterating what he has been saying for the last month. "I expect 
Saddam Hussein to let inspectors back into the co
untry," Bush said. "We want to know whether he's developing weapons of mass 
destruction. He claims he's not. Let the world in to see. And if he doesn't, we'll 
have to deal with that at the appropriate time."

"Well, a way out can be found, of course, and should be found," Ecevit continued, "but 
I hope that it will not include a military operation, because such an operation could 
be catastrophic for Turkey, even if Turkey did n
ot participate in it. You know, I am sure, that we have suffered a lot as a result of 
the Gulf crisis, the Gulf War, when Iraq was virtually divided into three parts, 
particularly two parts; one major part adjoining Turke
y. And this has cost us a lot of money, a lot of lives, and we don't want the same 
thing to happen again."

The utopian faction, which includes co-thinkers of Deputy Defense Secretary Paul 
Wolfowitz in the administration, are mooting a "Balkanization" of the Iraqi nation 
into a Kurdish section in the north, a Sunni section (min
us Saddam Hussein) in the center, and a Shiite entity in the south. If this were to 
occur, as the Turkish leader warned, there would be even greater calls for an 
independent Kurdistan, which would threaten the integrity o
f Turkey, which has a very active Kurdish minority population in the eastern part of 
the country. "But the human mind is imaginative," Ecevit said, "and I'm sure that we 
can find a better way out for the solution."

Pipeline Politics

The importance of Turkey was underlined by the tremendous attention Ecevit received on 
his visit. Aside from his meeting with President Bush on July 16, Ecevit also met with 
Vice President Dick Cheney, Defense Secretary D
onald Rumsfeld, Commerce Secretary Don Evans, and Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill, as 
well as International Monetary Fund (IMF) Director Horst Köhler and World Bank 
President James Wolfensohn. There was certainly a lot of
 "courting" going on.

With the blessing of the Bush Administration, Turkey looks as if it will succeed in 
the dubious goal of obtaining a deal with the IMF. During Ecevit's visit, the U.S. 
State Department announced on Jan. 16 the creation of
a joint United States-Turkey Economic Partnership Commission, thereby upgrading the 
economic cooperation and the trade relationship with Turkey. At his press conference, 
the Prime Minister also announced that the Baku- Ce
yhan pipeline—a major project for building a pipeline from the Caspian Sea which does 
not pass through Russia or through Iran, but through Turkey—was again on the table. 
The pipeline, developed more for political than eco
nomic reasons during the first Bush Administration, has remained something of a dead 
letter, largely due to the lack of funding for such a major undertaking, when it is 
not even known how much oil can be gotten out of the
 Caspian Sea.

While President Bush has announced a "new relationship" with Russia's President 
Vladimir Putin, there are efforts being made by the Brzezinski faction to use the "war 
on terrorism" to establish a permanent military presen
ce in Central Asia, against Russian influence in the area, and to use Turkey as a 
counter to Russia in the primarily Turkic-speaking countries in this part of the world.

In addition, Turkey's new strategic relationship with Israel has also enhanced its 
importance in the eyes of the Perle-Wolfowitz faction, who work hand-in-glove with the 
"Mega" networks comprising the extreme right- wing
of the Israeli political scene. Turkey realizes this carries the danger of being 
placed in confrontation with Russia, on behalf of this faction of "new imperialist" 
war-mongers.

In response to another question from EIR at his Jan. 17 press conference, Ecevit 
indicated that he felt that Turkey would not be placed in such a position. "With 
regard to the Caspian oil and gas, sir, the Baku-Tbilisi- C
eyhan gasline project is a very important project not only for economic reasons, but 
also for strategic and political reasons.

"Our relation with Russia does not present a difficulty," Ecevit continued. "I have 
been able to detect in recent months that a much warmer atmosphere seems to be 
emerging between the United States and the Russian Federat
ion, and maybe we could all cooperate in other forms of gas and oil pipeline projects 
so it will not be any handicap in the way of normal and friendly relations between the 
West and Russian Federation."

Time will tell whether Turkey will indeed be willing to serve as a
"marcher lord" for the New Imperialism. Turkey's own disastrous
economic situation would benefit greatly by increased regional
economic cooperation, in particular with their great neighbor to the
north, Russia.

In addition, there is Turkey's significance over the past century, as
a secular nation with a Muslim majority, in which Ecevit takes great
pride. Thus Turkey would certainly take a beating in the Muslim world
were it to enlist as a centurion in the "New Empire" scenario, which
clearly aims to foment a "clash of civilizations" against the entire
Muslim world.
End<{{{
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